The 2020 NFL season is well and truly underway, meaning time for some DraftKings Week 11 selections! The weeks have seen some great action on the field and some big scoring players. Hopefully, that continues for this week and beyond!
Throughout the season, I shall be providing players that I feel you should include in your lineups, with some rationale. So, let’s dig into whom I am thinking of slotting in my lineups for Week 11!
Justin Herbert ($6,800)
Herbert has had a great start to his career in his rookie season. Last week against Miami he was held to under 200 passing yards for the first time, but still managed to have a successful fantasy week.
The most impressive thing about Herbert is his passing yardage floor. He averages 291 passing yards this season, just shy of the DK bonus on passing yardage. With New York struggling to stop teams passing the ball, allowing an average of 23.4 DK points to the position he is a fantastic option for your lineups this week.
Teddy Bridgewater ($6,400)
After two back-to-back practices of limited capacity, Teddy B is preparing to suit up and start at QB for Carolina in Week Eleven.
Carolina takes on Detroit in Week Eleven, a defense who has not been impressive whatsoever this season, giving up points all over the field. This has not stopped with the QB position, where a per game DK average of 21.2 has been accumulated.
Update: Bridgewater is currently a game-time decision with a knee injury. So be ready for a quick pivot if needed. However, the matchup against Detroit should be one that he is able to get a decent total in, giving the lack of pressure the defensive line can apply.
Further update: Bridgewater is now expected to miss the game.
Tua Tagovailoa ($5,800)
Tua, in the first few starts of his NFL career, has been dependable. His 519 passing, five touchdowns and zero interceptions have led the team to an unbeaten 3-0 start since his inclusion to the starting lineup. However, the defense has had a substantial part to play in that 3-0 record.
As you may have gathered, has not set the world alight so far in the DK world. 21.4 and 14.7 have been the point totals of his last two starts. We would need a bit more from him here to generate the value we are after, but I think the Miami QB can do it.
Tua, although the stats may not suggest, has been improving each week and I like the rookie to continue his impressive play against Denver at Mile High.
The late concussion news on DeAndre Swift ($6,400) was frustrating as he would have featured in this article and been a centrepiece. However, they are still some great plays below!
Mike Davis ($6,800)
We see this narrative all the time when it comes to DK, and it rarely fails. The chalky play one week fails to perform in our lineups then the next week he smashes it when the ownership is a record low. Well, I believe the Week Eleven version of this scenario is Davis.
Davis could not have a better matchup also in facing Detroit, who statistically rank the worst at defending the running back position, giving up 36.6 DK points on average per game to the position.
People will be put off playing Davis this week but fool me twice, shame on me.
Damien Harris ($5,700)
Harris, as mentioned in our start/ sit article this week, has stepped up as the early-down back in this offense. Harris will have buzz around the fact that Houston has been unable to find a way to limit production from the position. If you need a floor play, then Harris is worth consideration
However, you do need to be aware that Harris does lack upside in this matchup. New England haven’t used Harris in the passing game, and have given Rex Burkhead ($4,600) the goal-line touches.
Burkhead is also worth consideration, but he is a risky pick given his occasional usage. Making him a GPP play, rather than one to use in cash games. Sony Michel is also expected to have a role in this game, but I believe he will have limited involvement, given the time he has spent on the sidelines.
Kalen Ballage ($5,600)
Ballage is the next name that escaped the clutches of Adam Gase and now looks to be an effective player. Ballage stepped up from the practice squad to have 33 attempts in the past two weeks.
This week he matches up against New York, a team that has given up an average of 27.2 DK points per game. There has been some buzz around Austin Ekeler returning, but I can’t see the team rushing to bring him back. If they do, then I’d avoid Ballage with question marks over the split of work.
J.D McKissic ($5,200)
Twenty-nine targets in the last two games! I mean calling McKissic a running back feels wrong, even a wide receiver hitting those numbers would be outstanding.
McKissic’s 17.9 DK performance in Week Ten only saw him be ticked up by $300 this week, which makes me think that DK feels this is production he cannot maintain. However, so long as Alex Smith is the starting QB, I would disagree.
Cincinnati, besides Indianapolis, has not faced a team that utilises their running backs in the passing game to the quantity that Washington does and may struggle defensively.
Honourable Mention: Salvon Ahmed ($4,800) – A running back seeing plenty of touches in a favourable matchup in which Miami should control the game. The return of Brieda does not concern me too much, not this week anyway.
Keenan Allen ($7,400)
I was put off playing Allen last week in lineups due to the coverage he was going to see in Xavien Howard, and that proved to be a correct decision, with the receiver only scoring 12.9 DK points. However, this week Allen is a decent bounce-back spot against New York.
The team who look to be destined for the No.1 pick have not been able to stop anything this season, so I am expecting Allen and Los Angeles to have their way with them in Week Eleven. This is as well as averaging 41.7 points allowed per game to the WR position.
Terry McLaurin ($6,900)
McLaurin is having a great season as the lead receiver for Washington. This is despite having a number of different QBs throwing him the ball (Alex Smith is the third starter this season). McLaurin has seen at least seven targets in every game this season, but averages just over nine in each game.
McLaurin now faces up against Cincinnati, who have given up an average of 42.4 DK points to the position. Cincinnati don’t have enough on defense to stop McLaurin, and he should have a good chance to add to his three scores this season.
Diontae Johnson ($5,900)
Johnson still sits at a value under $6k. That is far too low, as despite the time he has missed, is just five targets behind being Pittsburgh’s lead receiver.
In the games that Johnson has played a full game, he has averaged seven receptions for just shy of 85 yards and just under a TD in each game. That’s fantastic production, and that’s before you factor in the matchup against Jacksonville, who have allowed 40.7 DK points on average to the position.
Jakobi Meyers ($4,900)
When I ask you to name the player who has the second-highest target share in the league from Weeks Five-Ten, I bet Meyers would not have come to your mind.
The Pats wide receiver has seen a 31.6% target share since Week 5 (37 targets off of 106 routes ran in this same period also), only beaten by Davante Adams. The rookie has very much been Cam Newton’s ‘go-to’ receiver no matter the matchup.
Even if Edelman were likely to come off IR (which is looking unlikely this week), I would still play Mayers with confidence, going up against the eleventh-worst defense at defending WRs (40.3 DK points giving up to the position per game).
Curtis Samuel ($4,700)
Gadget play Samuel is an excellent play to slot in your lineups this week, especially with how Carolina is utilising him.
The receiver has been seeing a consistent target share (five to nine targets each week) and some work out of the backfield, so points potential is there for Samuel more than most.
The carries are of course the exciting element of all this, as the receiver tends to see these in the end zone predominately. With the league-worst defense against running backs up next in Week Eleven, Samuel’s cameos as a back could be more effective than we have seen this season.
Hayden Hurst ($4,400)
Following a similar warpath to Week Ten, Hurst is someone who meets the criteria that warrants a solid play at a very volatile position in DFS.
Like Engram last week, Hurst has seen a consistent target share over the previous three weeks (7,7 and 8 targets in that time) and if Ridley does not get up to speed by Sunday, then Hurst should continue to see this level of targets.
This would be in a matchup also in which is favourable, with New Orleans giving up 15.2 DK points per game to the TE position.
Austin Hooper ($3,900)
Hooper didn’t get the targets that many owners would have been hoping for last week (two), but that was more down the weather than anything else. The key thing is that Hooper was on the field for 85% of the offensive snaps.
A matchup against Philadelphia gives Hooper a chance to get back on track this season, against an opponent who give up 15.8 DK points per game to the position.
We mentioned earlier how impressive the Miami defense has been over the last few weeks, well they are a great play this week travelling to Mile High.
Drew Lock is at the time of writing, unlikely to play on Sunday due to severe strain on his ribs. This would make one of Brett Rypien or Jeff Driskel the starter at QB for Denver.
Miami’s defense has been averaging 9.2 points per game against starting QBs, so imagine their points potential against a backup?
The sky is the limit if you ask me.
Cleveland’s defense this season is one that is like a fine wine in many ways, it seems to age well.
Cleveland as a defense is one which has a consistent level of production as a unit when it comes to sacks. The unit rarely records below two sacks in a game, no matter the opposing offense they face.
Cleveland takes on Philadelphia in Week Eleven, a struggling offense which is allowing Wentz to be sacked 3.5 times, as well as the Philidelphia QB himself throwing 1.2 INTs per game on average this season.
The points potential in this matchup is too great to turn away from, and it is hard to understand why this DST has not been priced up.
NFL 2020: DraftKings Week 10 Selections – My lineup as it stands
QB1: Tua Tagovailoa
RB1: Mike Davis
RB2: JD McKissic
WR1: Keenan Allen
WR2: Jakobi Meyers
WR3: Curtis Samuel
TE: Hayden Hurst
FLEX: Terry McLaurin
So, there are our DraftKings selections for Week 11 of the NFL 2020 season! Who have we missed out? You can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram. And remember, if you need some help for your season-long leagues you can find our rankings here.
Image Credit: Robert Hanashiro – USA TODAY Sports