Here we are the playoff season of the NFL 2020 season, and time for my DraftKings Week 14 Selections. For those of you whose fantasy football seasons may be over, there is no better time to get involved with Daily Fantasy Football, especially with the actual playoffs just around the corner!
Throughout the season, I have been providing players that I feel you should be including in your lineups, with some rationale and this week is no different! So, let’s dig into whom I am thinking of slotting in my lineups!
Patrick Mahomes ($8,100)
Every time the Kansas City QB is on the main slate, you should be considering him in your lineups.
With only one sub-20 DK point performance this season, Mahomes’ floor is super high and has hit his ceiling of 3.5-4 times value consistently, making it more than achievable. This is made evident by the QB reaching this the last two times he has been on the main slate (34.48 v CAR and 35.28 v TB).
Miami’s offense, whether marshalled by Tagovailoa or Fitzpatrick should keep this game competitive, allowing Mahomes to achieve the value needed for your lineups.
Justin Herbert ($6,800)
After a tough Week 13, I will happily go back to the Los Angeles QB here in Week Fourteen. Belichick and New England have a history with limiting rookie QBs over the years, and Herbert fell victim of that familiar tale in Week 13, totalling just 6.36 DK points.
The soon-to-be offensive rookie of the year gets a beautiful bounce-back spot in Week 14 against Atlanta, a defense that is allowing 26.6 DK points to Herbert’s position, the highest per game total in the league.
Derrick Henry ($8,700)
It is King Henry season as we all know. The Tennessee running back averaged 26.3 per game in December 2019, so the running back has a history at this time of year. Furthermore, the Tennessee back should come in at low ownership following his dud 6.9 point performance in Week 13.
King Henry and his compatriots take on Jacksonville in Week Fourteen, a team who have given up 29.1 DK points per game to the RB position this season.
We rarely see Henry have back-to-back underwhelming performances and I do not think it will happen in Week 14.
David Montgomery ($6,500)
After the Chicago running back failed me a few times this season, Montgomery gained my trust last week in my cash lineups, scoring 27.1 points. That trust gained was also accompanied by a notable price hike increasing $1,000, but that feels warranted in many senses.
Whilst Montgomery was sharing some carries with Patterson in Week 13; the back did see 100% of the RB touches last week, which sets off ‘bellcow’ alarms.
That last statistic is particularly encouraging with Houston being Chicago’s opponents in Week 14. Houston has allowed a per game of 32.8 DK points to Montgomery’s position, the second-highest total in the league.
JD McKissic ($4,900)
With Gibson likely out of Week 14 with a turf toe injury, McKissic immediately came on my radar as a value play on this slate.
In Gibson’s early Week 13 exit, McKissic saw a 74% snap count and 48.4% of the running back touches, both of these percentages led the team. Also, McKissic saw the majority of his touches in the passing game with 10 receptions in the win against Pittsburgh. This in a points-per-reception (PPR) scoring format like DK is valuable to have in your arsenal.
San Francisco in Week 14 is not an ideal matchup, only giving up 20.1 DK points per game to RBs. However, McKissic, with the passing volume he is getting, has a great chance of achieving value for his price.
Tyler Lockett ($7,200)
Slot receivers against New York have always been a matchup we have been targetting this season and Lockett is one of the best slot receivers out there.
We target this matchup in particular as New York cannot slot receivers. Jacobi Meyers (12-169) and Kennan Allen (16-165-1) are prime examples of this in the 2020 season. With Lockett seeing a 56.8% of his snaps come from the slot, you can classify the Seattle receiver as such.
My expectation, as you may gather from reading through this article, is that I am expecting New York to keep this game competitive like they have the past few weeks against their opponents.
Therefore, there will be plenty of opportunities for Lockett to take advantage of this matchup and return value in your lineups.
Christian Kirk ($4,700)
The Arizona wide receiver has had it tough the past weeks. A combination of difficult matchups and his QB, Kyler Murray being hampered with injury has nullified his productivity, with Kirk only scoring 6.1 DK points combined in the last two weeks.
Week Fourteen could see the tides turn for Kirk when it comes to his production. With DeAndre Hopkins likely to be occupied by shutdown corner James Bradberry, meaning Kirk will see a combination of Isaac Yiadom and Darnay Holmes, who have been not as talented as Bradberry this season.
Murray and this Arizona offense will get back on the right track at some point and with this selection, I believe it to be this week, with Kirk being a full beneficiary.
Breshad Perriman ($3,900)
With Mims’ ($4,100) missing out on Sunday due to a family emergency, Perriman becomes a great play.
The New York receiver should take over Mims’ seven to eight target share this week, which has been one of the highest target shares in the whole league over the last month.
In addition, New York is taking on Seattle this week, a team who as we know give up the most DK points per game to WRs at 50.7 per game. Admittedly the defensive unit has been better the last few weeks, only giving up 110 receiving yards. However, their opponents, in New York and Philadelphia have been poor and I expect Darnold and Co. to put up a better offensive performance this week.
I never thought I would be writing that in this 2020 season.
Collin Johnson ($3,600)
Since Glennon has taken over as Jacksonville’s starting QB, Johnson has been a consistent target for the veteran (8 targets in W12, 6 targets in W13). The rookie receiver is making the most of his opportunity also, scoring 19.6 points in W12 and more recently 12.6 points in W13.
Johnson now takes on Tennessee in Week 14, a team who give up 43.5 DK points per game to WRs.
Johnson, for me, is one of the best values on the slate, if not the best and should be a consideration in your lineups.
Cole Kmet ($2,900)
After playing a fair amount of Kmet in my Week Thirteen lineups, I am more than happy to go back to the rookie again this week.
Since Turbisky’s re-introduction at QB, Kmet has taken over as the starting tight end in this Chicago offense. Kmet’s snap count has increased the last two weeks (79% in Week 12 and 95.3% in Week 13), as well as seeing 33 routes run in each of those weeks. Furthermore, Week 13 saw Kmet back up the above with production, 5-37-1 was the result.
Chicago now takes on Houston in Week 14, a team who have allowed a per game average of 270 passing yards per game, leaving room for Kmet to produce a decent return for your lineups in what should be an open-ended offensive shootout.
New Orleans ($3,800)
New Orleans as a defensive unit has been on fire as of late, hitting double-digit DK point totals in four of the last five weeks, with Atlanta last week being the anomaly.
Week Fourteen sees New Orleans take on rookie QB Jalen Hurts in his first start in the league, which historically is a good omen for opposing defenses when it comes to points scoring.
Whilst Hurts is more of a mobile QB than Wentz, the prospect of this defense getting to the QB and disrupting Hurts is genuine and one you should consider in your lineups despite the price.
Like New Orleans, Carolina are one of the in-form defenses in the league, scoring 17 and 19 DK points in the last two games.
Carolina’s defensive unit is coming off of a bye taking on a Denver offense, which has been turnover-prone all season. Lock has thrown thirteen INTs in nine games this season and has mostly helmed the offense that has allowed the second-most fantasy points to defenses (12.5 per game). – only Dallas (12.8 per game) allow more.
Furthermore, Seattle QB Wilson without the sacks, is prone for a turnover also, averaging nearly an INT thrown a game with ten INTs thrown in the eleven games he has played this season.
At such a low price, an eight-ten DK point performance would be an incredible value and is achievable based on the other points made.
NFL 2020: DraftKings Week 14 Selections – My lineup as it stands
QB1: Justin Herbert
RB1: Derrick Henry
RB2: David Montgomery
WR1: Keenan Allen
WR2: Curtis Samuel
WR3: Collin Johnson
TE: Dalton Schultz
FLEX: JD McKissic
So, there are our DraftKings selections for Week 14 of the NFL 2020 season! Who have we missed out? You can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram. And remember, if you need some help for your season-long leagues you can find our rankings here.
Image Credit: Joe Camporeale – USA TODAY Sports