Going into any season, the information that people look for is the same- here we look at 2021 busts selections. We are going to give a few at each position, with a quick rationale for why. This will be updated throughout the offseason, as ADPs change.
QB 2021 Busts Selections
Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans
In the past few seasons, Tannehill has looked great after getting out of Miami. For fantasy though, there are concerns. The offense operates by rushing the ball primarily, reducing passing attempts. That combined with the team letting some important pieces of the offense leave (Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith) spell a struggling season for the Titans signal-caller.
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars
Lawrence is without a doubt a fantastic talent. But the issue is that he is still a rookie coming onto a team that has a mix of young talent and players that have some question marks surrounding them. He is still going to have weeks where he is very fantasy viable, but I wouldn’t bank on him to be massively valuable for the full season.
RB 2021 Busts Selections
Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns
Chubb is the leading rusher on an offense that puts running the ball effectively at the top of the list to get the chains moving. So why is he on the busts list? The involvement of Kareem Hunt. Hunt is used as the pass-catcher out of the backfield, which can limit the involvement of Chubb in poor game scripts. An RB2 at an RB1 price.
Antonio Gibson, Washington Football Team
Let me start off by saying clearly- don’t hear what I’m not saying. Gibson is going to be giving you RB2 production, I just don’t see it being RB1 production which is roughly where he is going. Gibson was hugely efficient when scoring TDs on the ground, factors away from the average. Even more efficient than uber-efficient Alvin Kamara. I’m expecting Washington to be a better offense than last season, but I’m not banking on a lot of RB1 weeks.
Ronald Jones, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jones’ role in this offense looks like his role is being squeezed. The team brought back Leonard Fournette, who is likely to take solid carries on early downs, and signed Giovani Bernard who is going to take targets away. The only way for Jones to be fantasy relevant at this stage is going to be if there are injuries on the depth chart.
WR 2021 Busts Selections
Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams
Woods is a player that I don’t think is going to mesh with Matthew Stafford being brought in to lead the team. Stafford hasn’t had this many offensive weapons available to him in his career (the depth, obviously he played with Calvin Johnson). In PPR leagues he isn’t going to be as bad, but with his TD rate being low throughout his career you are better looking at different options at the top of your fantasy drafts.
Corey Davis, New York Jets
Receivers that change team normally struggle to begin with. Davis moved to join the Jets in the offseason, after having an inconsistent time with Tennessee. The Jets offense is likely to be one of the worst in the league this season. With limited scoring opportunities this season, Davis is going to find it difficult to return the value you need to invest.
Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens
Brown was the leading receiver for the Ravens last season, a run-first offense. This offseason the team made moves to add receiving weapons for Lamar Jackson. That increased opportunity, along with the inconsistent play of Brown so far in his career- stay away.
TE 2021 Busts Selections
Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins
This is about target share, it just isn’t there for Gesicki. The offense is likely to take a step forward, but with the team taking Jaylen Waddle at the top of the draft to reunite with his college QB, it’s unlikely that Waddle is going to need to compete too much for targets.
Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team
Thomas was given plenty of targets last season, but that doesn’t mean too much for this season. The offense has changed with the signing of gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick. Moving away from the checkdown nature of the previous starters. With the signing of Curtis Samuel this offseason, Thomas is likely to see more pressure on his target share.
Image Credit: Jim Brown – USA TODAY Sports