When it comes to DFS, everyone looks for those slate-breaking players (and if you are not, then you should be!), players who can win you the big bucks if they have a day and lower ownership, even better! This especially matters in tournaments, where you are looking to differentiate from your competition and sometimes even yourself and your other lineups, as opposed to cash games, where you would be after more ‘safer’ lineups to secure a more likely pot of cash.
These articles will highlight those players who I feel can break the week’s slate and players you should be, at the very least, considering, going for position-by-position.
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Studs (3x plus return): 17
Average Joes (2.1 – 2.9x return): 18
Scrubs (2x or lower return): 15
We mentioned in this article and saw last week how down bad this Baltimore secondary are by giving Joe Burrow one of the best QB stat performances of all time. Now I am not a huge fan of going back to the well, especially after this QB burnt us last week, but Matthew Stafford ($7,100) is an anomaly in this case. Stafford now has this privilege and honestly has the perfect set of weapons to reenact Cincinnati’s performance this week. The alpha will and is always there in Cooper Kupp ($9,500), who is an absolute joke of a player and would be unlucky not to be the OPOY in 2021. Then there is the deep threat in Van Jefferson ($5,300), who should suit this game and matchup to a tee based on what we saw in Week 16. And OBJ could break off for a big play also.
It is a beautiful bounce-back spot for Stafford. Do not overthink this.
On the lower side of salaries, there will be a lot of traction towards Trey Lance ($4,800) and rightly so at the price. We have seen glimpses of Lance’s capabilities earlier on this season in Week Four and Five, where the rookie showcased his passing talents then rushing upside in back-to-back weeks. The game plan appears to allow Lance to throw the ball a lot, much like his Week Five outing against Arizona, reducing his rushing frequency which, according to his fellow teammates, had been a safety blanket of Lance’s. Those same teammates have publicly said Lance has made significant strides in practice at distributing the football and is taking more risks. Make of that what you will.
This week, Lance’s task is to beat a Houston team that ranks top 12 against QBs on fantasy ppg over the last four weeks, albeit with some reasonably friendly matchups in that spell and collecting 16 INTs on the season sixth-highest in the league. This is not an easy matchup for Lance, much like the one against Arizona. I am not pessimistic here, but I do not see how Lance wins tournaments this week. Cash games could be a different story, but all signs point towards Lance struggling or going back to old habits, which cost him the job in the first place.
I assume that San Fransisco will beat Houston through the run game, which they have been terrible at defending, but we will focus on this later. Overall, Lance is an okay play this week, but I would be surprised if he achieves the hype everyone is giving. But I hope I am severely wrong for all the Lance truthers this week.
Patrick Mahomes ($7,800) was also a standout to me. After the Kansas City QB spread the ball around last week, I expect more of a pass funnel to return this week, with Tyreek and Kelce seeing a lot of the ball. Derek Carr ($5,800), if he can recover from his bruised ribs in time for Sunday, could also be a sneaky 3x play that goes under-owned.