We are right around the corner from Week 3 of the 2021 season, and that means DFS action with DraftKings. When it comes to DFS, everyone looks for those slate-breaking players (and if you are not, then you should be!), players who can win you the big bucks if they have a day and lower ownership, even better! This especially matters in tournaments, where you are looking to differentiate from your competition and sometimes even yourself and your other lineups, as opposed to cash games, where you would be after more ‘safer’ lineups to secure a more likely pot of cash.
These articles will highlight those players who I feel can break the week’s slate and players you should be, at the very least, considering, going for position-by-position.
Week Two Review
Week Two was bizarre, as well as being incredibly frustrating. Don’t get me wrong, it was not as bad as the previous week, but it was not the redemption I was after from the opening games. DAL v LAC completely underwhelmed everybody, and it was the one where I felt most drafters had to have pieces. When in fact, the ATL v TB game was the game to zone in on, where I had pieces, but not enough on the ATL side of the ball. Kupp going off hurt a bit, as quite frankly, I was under-owned on him, but I still maintain that Woods will have his boom week sooner rather than later.
I think many of us got burnt in Week Two, but there are no excuses.
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Studs (3x plus return): 2
Average Joes (2.1 – 2.9x return): 5
Scrubs (2x or lower return): 2
Kyler Murray ($8,300)
It seems pretty simple to include the highest-priced QB and DK QB1 in this type of article, and quite frankly, it is why he is in this article. Two 4x return performances will do that for you in this case, and this is not 100% down to Murray’s rushing upside.
The Arizona QB has thrown for 689 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions whilst boasting an 80.6% completion rate on his passes from the Week Two win over Minnesota. Mightily impressive for a third-year QB who, in 2020, as a sophomore, averaged out at 73.5% for a completion percentage.
There is a cost for this uber efficiency, however. That cost, you may ask? Their pace. Per data from @Cooper_PFF_Data, we can see this quite evidently, with Arizona being in the ‘Slow, efficient’ quadrant. Murray is taking his time in the pocket and letting his playmakers do the talking, Rondale Moore being the exemplar of that through two weeks.
Arizona’s Week Three opponents, Jacksonville, post up in the ‘Fast, inefficient’ zone via the same data source, providing an excellent game script from a Kyler point of view. Their inefficiency should allow Kyler to profit from an extended amount of plays, and his efficiency with the ball will allow for a maximum allowance of DK points and his weapons.
I don’t think Kyler’s ownership will be as high as some expect, which is why I like Murray this week.
Daniel Jones ($5,800)
There is no way that Danny Dimes should be this cheap. A guy who has achieved 22 and 29 DK point finishes through the first two weeks and has shown top tier rushing upside, so high that Lamar and Jalen Hurts would be impressed by. One hundred twenty-two rushing yards and two touchdowns have only added to the solid passing yardage for two weeks, with connections to Sterling Shepard, particularly, looking strong.
The downside? Jones is only averaging a passing touchdown a game in 2021. Ultimately, this average needs to increase moving forward if New York wants to get off their doughnut record, but will Jones need to against Atlanta in Week Three? Atlanta has shown their terrible defense is back again in 2021, leading to incredibly fast-paced games, with Atlanta topping the league in terms of pace. New York has not been slow-paced either on offense, albeit inefficient overall.
I feel there is enough here to play Jones comfortably in GPPs as a pivot.
Other potential Slate-Breakers to Consider
- Lamar Jackson ($7,800)
- Matt Ryan ($5,400)