Welcome back to another week of 2021 buy and sell dynasty edition, here we are looking at Week 4 targets. This is a bit harder than it looks as I will try and garner you some valuable assets every week and look at some other assets you can move on from. Perceived value and actual value to both you and the consumer are very important factors and I understand not every trade is doable in all leagues. With that being said let’s look at some players I am trying to grab and some I am trying to move on from.
Dynasty Buys
Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND)
Jonathan Taylor is currently RB28 in PPR scoring and it seems the right time to start sniffing around to see how the current Taylor owner is feeling. Taylor was out-snapped and outscored by Nyhiem Hines this week and has only had two receptions the last two weeks. It may take some convincing still however as Taylor is still in the Top 3 consensus Dynasty commodities coming into Week 4. To get the ideas churning I would be willing to give up a 1st rd pick and a Chris Carson for Taylor in a PPR league. I would give up a Derrick Henry for a Taylor as well if you are a Henry owner.
I think Taylor has all the talent in the world however unfavorable situations so far in the Colts season have caused some of his value to waiver. We knew the first handful of weeks were going to be tough for the Colts as their schedule was challenging. The Colts offensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders is 27th and they have played the 8th most difficult schedule as well based on the same metrics. The time is now to go and get a player that will help your team for years to come.
Bryan Edwards (WR, LV)
Another player that I am intrigued with and his value is interesting as he is currently WR #59 on Fantasy Pros Dynasty rankings. He is an up-and-coming asset I am targeting in trades going into Week 4 his target share has been abysmal only getting 10.6 percent of targets and 0% in the RZ. However, he is still coming up with big plays at opportune times to help this team succeed.
Surely Carr is taking notice of one of his receivers who is always making him look good right? Edwards is currently #17 in Fantasy points per target according to Player Profiler and is also 7th in Yards Per Reception and 3rd Yards Per Target. You are buying now with the idea that Edwards continues to grow and get the target share by the end of the year and going forward. His snap share has steadily gone up since Week 1 hopefully Carr realizes what he has in Edwards as well. Willing to give up a 2nd rd pick for Edwards and/or a veteran running back like Melvin Gordon, Leonard Fournette, Kenyan Drake.
Kirk Cousins (QB, MIN)
Not often does a 33-year-old QB make the buy list in Dynasty yet here we are. Kirk Cousins is on pace for 5200+ yards and 45 touchdowns and is currently QB6 in Fantasy points. Okay, yea you say but he can’t keep this up, right? Well, you may be right however being the QB6 is nothing new for Cousins as he has finished QB6 both in 2016 and 2017 in Fantasy points per game and also has finished in the top 12 5 out of the last 7 seasons. Cousins has a firm grasp of this offense and is making great throws despite having an offensive line that could use some help. The Vikings this season are currently 8th in pass attempts and the offense looked just fine without Dalvin Cook against Seattle.
In the past six seasons Cousins leads all QBs with the most 300 yards 3 TD and 0 Int games over Mahomes who is second. Cousins has been a model of consistency and his chemistry with his receivers and ability to constantly overachieve despite the noise is the reason I am grabbing Cousins if I can get him for the right price. According to Fantasy Pros Cousins is the #22 QB in dynasty rankings so the price shouldn’t be crazy unless it’s a Super-Flex league. Happy to give up a 2nd and possibly some more picks in a Super-Flex. In a one QB league, the price will be cheaper. He might even be a priority pick-up for you off the waiver wire. Nonetheless, I am trying to get Cousins on my roster who will have one more contract another 3-4 years of high production.
Dynasty Sells
James Robinson (RB, JAX)
If you are a Robinson owner today is the day… or the week depending on when you read this to SELL on all your shares of Robinson. Robinson came into this week in a nice spot against an Arizona defense that ranks 19th in the NFL in Rush Defense DVOA. He succeeded in getting the lion’s share of work and coming up with a touchdown in Week 3. With that said this coaching regime doesn’t seem to like Robinson very much. They drafted Travis Etienne in the off-season and Carlos Hyde is not going away and has already been a throne in the side of Robinson’s disciples.
After a week where Robinson saw a 59% snap rate and 65% of rush attempts, there is no better time to get some value as Robinson had only 16 carries in Weeks 1 and 2 combined. Robinson according to Fantasy Pros is holding an RB25 ranking in Dynasty ranks. I have been on the record saying I believe Robinson is just a guy. He is not overly explosive and that is fine but not exactly league-winning material. I understand you are asking but Why?
Let’s look at some stats from Player Profiler currently, the Jags have a -6.68 game script rating which ranks 27th in the NFL. I believe this is important because Carlos Hyde ran nearly the same amount of routes as Robinson in this Week 3 game. While Robinson took advantage of the early game script the amount of work he got once the game flipped became closer to equal. Robinson also ranks 23rd in yards created which is a stat that shows all yards earned above and beyond of that which were blocked.
This is the most glaring for me as he isn’t a game-changer just more of a meat and potatoes guy. I do believe the Jags will move on from Robinson sooner than later. So I am going to attempt to get some value for him this week. Target underperforming receivers or package a 2nd round pick for a Joe Mixon, Antonio Gibson, Ezekiel Elliott type if possible might be high but worth a shot. In my experience trying to grab a WR may be easier.
Mike Gesicki (TE, MIA)
Might be too obvious but Gesicki garnered a whopping 12 targets from Jacoby Brissett on the weekend which was nice if you are currently stashing Gesicki but you were probably not a beneficiary as he has been really bad in the first couple of weeks with just 3 receptions total. There is a lot of chatter on Gesicki at the moment and the Quarterback situation gets more muddied by the day. Gesicki will be an undrafted free agent after the season and I am sure he will be trying to earn a big-money contract the rest of the season but this Dolphins offense has a million targets and there is no way he can sustain that amount of target share in this offense as he did in Week 3. I am looking to sell Gesicki to a TE needy owner maybe package Gesicki and another asset for Kittle to see what happens.
Chris Carson
While I was not always a Carson believer I grew to like him in Fantasy so much so I am at the point where I am trying to move on again. Chris Carson has been a model RB2 for four straight seasons and he will continue to be again this year I believe. Despite Seattle’s best efforts to find someone to replace him spending Draft capital on guys like Elijah Penny and Deejay Dallas, no one has been able to usurp him.
First, it was the fumbles that left me worried about Carson’s future however now it is just more of the injuries that always pop up for Carson mostly for the fact that he is a no non-sense type of back that is in that blue-collar mold. Nothing super flashy just gets the job done. The last couple of weeks he has been losing more and more snaps in the passing game and that is concerning for Fantasy owners.
Alex Collins and Travis Homer have legitimately started affecting his value. I do believe with Carson’s injury concerns the team will continue to limit his touches in a way to keep him healthy throughout the season. Seattle will undoubtedly look to upgrade the running back position next season as Carson has a voidable final year on his contract. Of course, they could keep him on a cheaper deal but I fully expect the Seahawks to look to add more to their corps going forward. If you can get a 2nd round pick I wouldn’t scoff at the notion of trading Carson but I would be targeting teams that are looking to win now as I do believe Carson will continue to have value in 2021.
Thank You for taking the time to read my Dynasty Buy and Sells. Let me know the players you are targeting and or selling this week on Twitter my handle is @cmoney52. DM’s are always open to help and discuss all things Fantasy and Gambling. Have a good week.
So that’s it for the 2021 season week 4 edition of dynasty buy and sell. Remember, you can find all of our dynasty articles here, and all of our work is posted across our social media channels. We are on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Mark J. Rebilas – USA TODAY Sports
