When it comes to DFS, everyone looks for those slate-breaking players (and if you are not, then you should be!), players who can win you the big bucks if they have a day and lower ownership, even better! This especially matters in tournaments, where you are looking to differentiate from your competition and sometimes even yourself and your other lineups, as opposed to cash games, where you would be after more ‘safer’ lineups to secure a more likely pot of cash.
These articles will highlight those players who I feel can break the week’s slate and players you should be, at the very least, considering, going for position-by-position.
Week Seven Review
Another solid week for myself in Week Seven makes it back-to-back weeks for 4x returns on stakes, which I cannot complain about whatsoever!
As referred to last week, these types of weeks are ultimately easier to pick your lineups because you have fewer scenarios to consider, fewer players to evaluate, etc.
Apologies for my running back picks. They were terrible. The Cincinnati game was one I called horribly. Mixon got nowhere near the work I thought he would get, and instead, Chase had a career day. Luckily the field was lightweight on Chase, so his impact was minimal, but that won’t happen again from my perspective and the field.
On the other hand, happy with the returns on plays like Godwin, who became more obvious as the week went on, Ertz in his debut for Arizona, and Jalen Hurts continues to prove his matchup-proof qualities.
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Studs (3x plus return): 7
Average Joes (2.1 – 2.9x return): 12
Scrubs (2x or lower return): 6
The QB position this week is not the most appetising whatsoever. I have listened and read hours worth of content this week, trying to see if I could sway the other way on certain players and scripts, but I cannot, and that is worrying for this slate’s viability.
Josh Allen ($8,100) is someone I am confident will smash once again this season against Miami. The Buffalo QB put up a very modest 17.6 DK points in Week Two against their division rival, but you have to expect that to change on home turf. My rationale for this theory is down to Tua playing more than four snaps this game, which he could not manage in the reverse fixture. There is a competitive game this time around, and to be honest, Tagovailoa is likely playing for his life as a Dolphin in Week 8, and that sucks to write. Maybe that makes him of equal value at $5,500 but expect Allen to have another ceiling performance, especially if he sneaks one in on the ground too.
Plays like Justin Herbert ($7,300), Matt Ryan ($5,900) feel like traps to me. The latter especially, with that Carolina secondary only getting stronger when Stephon Gilmore set to make his debut in Week 8. Herbert could struggle with the passing game as his weapons on the outside do not traditionally suit the norm of beating Belichick, so Ekeler could be the key in that one, but we will get onto that.
Early ownership projects Joe Burrow ($7,100) to be a solid leverage play at 1.4% currently. It makes based on the $900 price hike, but it considers who they are facing, New York with Mike White under centre. The run game may have a factor here, but they cannot do it all.