Going into any season, the information that people look for is the same- here we look at 2022 busts selections. We are going to give a few at each position, with a quick rationale for why. This will be updated throughout the offseason, as ADPs change.
QB 2022 Busts Selection
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Dak Prescott (DAL)
Now, in QB rankings there is always a large middle group. Prescott is part of that group, but for me, he should be lower than that. The Cowboys have lost a big player for them in Amari Cooper, and lost a great role player in Cedrick Wilson.
I’d let someone else draft him, in the hope that Michael Gallup steps up to fill the role of Amari Cooper.
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Ryan Tannehill (TEN)
Tannehill is really only going to be considered in Superflex leagues as a second QB. The thing is, it’s a brave decision. The team are one of the most run-heavy offenses in the league and just moved their alpha receiver A.J. Brown.
With the team also allowing Julio Jones to leave, there aren’t any big impact pass receivers on the offense. Yes, before you mention it, the team brought in Robert Woods from the Rams, but coming off the back of a knee injury I don’t have high expectations for him.
RB 2022 Busts Selection
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Javonte Williams (DEN)
Williams could be a player that makes this list look silly come the end of the season because he is really talented. The issue is that the team brought back Melvin Gordon, who is likely to steal carries, and Russell Wilson who is a much more reliable QB.
Don’t forget that Wilson himself is a player that is involved in running the ball, and that just sucks the workload that is needed to be a top RB.
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Josh Jacobs (LV)
Josh Jacobs isn’t having the best offseason in the world, with the Raiders opting to decline his fifth year option and then drafting an RB. With Josh McDaniels operating a huge timeshare in New England, there is no reason to think that won’t happen here in Vegas.
When you then factor in the top-tier WR the team brought in (Davante Adams) the rushing volume is likely to come under pressure when you have other volume receivers in the offense. There are better RB2’s available. I’d rather take a shot on upside, then be hoping at best to make ADP.
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Damien Harris (NE)
Harris is a fine RB. The issue is that he has such a reliance on scoring TDs for fantasy. He didn’t have 1,000 yards rushings, and had barely 200 rushing attempts last season. Despite that, he scored 15 TDs! Harris is ok, but don’t gamble your fantasy season on a player that is so reliant on a number that can change drastically season to season.
WR 2022 Busts Selection
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Tyreek Hill (KC)
Well, Tyreek, you aren’t in Kansas anymore. There is no doubting the talent of Hill. The doubts come in how he is going to be used in the Miami offense.
The QB is clearly a downgrade from Patrick Mahomes, and Hill will need to learn a whole new playbook. The team also have Jaylen Waddle, who has extremely strong chemistry with Tua Tagovailoa, and Mike Gesicki on the roster.
That’s putting to one side the depth piece of Cedrick Wilson that the team brought in. If I’m taking a WR at the top of the draft, I need fewer question marks than this.
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DeAndre Hopkins (ARI)
The ADP of Hopkins is going to adjust to take into account of his six-game suspension. But even so, Hopkins feels over-valued even if he didn’t. The Cardinals offense has just brought in another receiver in Marquise Brown, as well as veterans A.J. Green and Zach Ertz, Hopkins isn’t likely to enjoy the target share that he enjoyed up until his 2021 season.
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Tyler Lockett (SEA)
Lockett has been a good fantasy asset for years. The reason for much of his production though was his chemistry with Russell Wilson. With Wilson now gone, he will need to deal with the combination of Drew Lock and Geno Smith. You can’t discount him entirely, with the targets he will get, but that ceiling has been lowered significantly
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Chris Godwin (TB)
Godwin tore his ACL at the end of the season, and while he might be ready to play when the season starts, he is going to need some time to get back to his best. As a result, he is going to be overdrafted for what he can do for your roster from the start of the season.
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Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)
There is no doubting that St. Brown is talented. The thing is, he is going to be overdrafted. Finishing the season strongly, and being a value last season, he is likely to be targeted by managers in drafts. As a result, he is just not going to be on many rosters of mine.
The Detroit offense isn’t likely to be a potent one, which really limits his value in fantasy. In PPR-leagues, he is going to be a solid player on your roster if you can get him. But based on the current draft position, I won’t.
TE 2022 Busts Selection
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Dalton Schultz (DAL)
Schultz is a player that I think is going to suffer from Amari Cooper leaving the Cowboys. The team as a whole is going to need to change how it operates and that is likely to impact the TD production that Schultz had. With Michael Gallup likely to step up in the offense, the offense is more likely to share the TDs rather than Schultz get a large percentage of them as he did last year, joint-leading the team with 8.
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Dawson Knox (BUF)
Knox had nine receiving TDs last season, second on the team. That is great, but I don’t think I can rely on that being repeated. The Bills have moved on from Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders, which is good news, but there is still competition.
The team have brought in veteran Jamison Crowder to likely work out of the slot, while Gabriel Davis looks set to make a big step up in the offense.
The TE position is a gamble outside of some early selections, so it depends where you can pick him up, but I’m fine missing out on him.
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