It’s finally here- the Conference round of the 2022 season, and another DraftKings main slate. We are back offering you DFS advice to try and help you navigate your way to victories throughout the season. The players selected here are based on their price, their ability to hit value and likely ownership. The selections are leaning more towards GPP slates, rather than cash (50/50) slates. But let’s get into it
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Jalen Hurts v SF ($7,200)
Hurts has been great for fantasy this season, running and throwing the ball effectively. Infact, last time out he had almost double-digit fantasy points just from the work on the ground. With the added ability of his receivers, he has a great floor and ceiling on the slate. With Mahomes dealing with an ankle injury, Hurts is the ‘premier’ option this week.
Joe Burrow @KC ($6,800)
My preferred play on the slate though is Burrow, who offers a saving on Hurts, but has a great ceiling this week. Burrow has plenty of receiving weapons and the Chiefs secondary has struggled this season. In four of his last five games against the Chiefs he has scored at least 20 DKPts. On a short slate, salary savings can’t be overlooked.
Also Consider Brock Purdy @PHI ($5,300)
Christian McCaffrey @PHI ($8,000)
McCaffrey is questionable for play with a calf injury, but he is expected to suit up. With the volume he gets on the ground and through the air, he has a decent floor- which you are definitely paying for here. But, even with injury McCaffrey has a good opportunity for a good total with him on a scoring run running back to Week 13.
Joe Mixon @KC ($6,500)
I had concerns for Mixon’s production (not volume) behind this offensive line last week, and he just dominated. I had him as a play for volume, but the Bengals managed to keep the Bills defensive line in check, allowing Mixon to find space to run into. The Chiefs are on paper a worse unit against the run, making him a strong play on this slate with the volume he should get.
Isiah Pacheco v CIN ($5,300)
The Chiefs could be welcoming back Clyde Edwards-Helaire for this one, but that is more likely to cut into the role of Jerick McKinnon rather than Pacheco. Pacheco was a big part of the reason the Chiefs managed to keep things moving when Mahomes was struggling for mobility in the pocket with his ankle injury. Against the Bengals in Week 13, he ran for 66 yards and had a TD, with another 16 yards from two receptions- good enough to hit value at this price.
Miles Sanders v SF ($5,200)
Sanders might end up bricking against a tough 49ers defensive line, but is getting volume on the ground. The issue is, the volume is only on the ground, with only 26 targets this season. The Cowboys struggled on the ground last week, with Elliott and Pollard combining for 48 yards. But, if the Eagles commit to the run, Sanders could be productive here.
Also Consider Elijah Mitchell @PHI ($4,900) & Samaje Perine @KC ($4,500)
Ja’Marr Chase @KC ($7,600)
Chase is an elite play at the WR position. Made the Bills secondary struggle whenever he wanted, as he has done all season against whoever they are playing. Chase has a solid floor as the target leader in the offense, and his ability gives him a huge ceiling too. When these two teams met back in Week 13, Chase caught 7 passes for 97 yards. Something that he should be able to repeat here.
A.J. Brown/ DeVonta Smith v SF ($7,000/ $6,800)
This duo is having a great season alongside each other as the focal points of the Eagles aerial attack. The weakness of this 49ers defense is through the air, and both of these are in-line for a strong game as a result.
Brown is the ‘lead’ receiver, but can struggle to get in games where he has been getting tight coverage. With how he plays in the offense though, he could absolutely blow up.
Smith has been facing secondary coverage all season, which has really helped his production. Has been more consistent than Brown week to week, and has shown a good ceiling too. To end the regular season he was in fantastic form, with high yardage totals and scoring TDs.
Deebo Samuel @PHI ($5,700)
Samuel hasn’t been the fantasy force this season that he was last year, especially with the addition of Christian McCaffrey in the offense. Still getting targets in the offense, and being used out of the backfield, so the usage is there. The Eagles secondary are a strong unit, but Samuel’s varied usage should allow him to have some production.
Tee Higgins/ Tyler Boyd @KC ($5,400/ $3,800)
With how the Bengals offense has been able to move the ball through the air, one (or potentially both) of these receivers are going to be productive for fantasy. Higgins’ big body has been used effectively in the offense this season, especially in the redzone. Him and Chase can also co-exist, so you can go for a larger stack with the two of them.
Boyd has been hit-or-miss this season. Been on the field plenty this season, but has been struggling for targets consistently. With Hayden Hurst operating out of the TE position with dumpoffs, and niggling injuries for Boyd he hasn’t got a safe floor. But, with the way the Bengals are going to play here, he could be a decent cheaper option on the slate.
Kadarius Toney v CIN ($3,700)
Toney is a gadget player for the Chiefs, with sparing use in the offense. But, he has the ability to make plays and could perform against this Bengals defense. A dart throw with a very low (pretty much zero) floor, but a decent ceiling- especially if he takes a play to the endzone.
Also consider JuJu Smith-Schuster v CIN ($4,700), Brandon Aiyuk @PHI ($4,400) & Marquez Valdes-Scantling v CIN ($3,600)
Travis Kelce v CIN ($7,800)
Kelce is elite. That was shown last week where he dragged the Chiefs through the divisional round with a 14 reception, 98 yard and 2 TD game. Frankly, he is unplayable with how the Chiefs find him space. The Bengals held Dawson Knox last week, but that was more a function of the overall offensive struggles. Kelce is in-line for another big week on the slate.
Dallas Goedert v SF ($4,100)
Goedert has been working as a great piece of the Eagles offense. He is behind the elite duo of Brown and Smith, but the Eagles really just don’t throw to the RB at all (have thrown a total of 61 times in the regular season. The 49ers are going to bring the heat upfront, but as we saw against the Cowboys, that can lead to checkdowns- and Goedert has ability with the ball in his hands.
Hayden Hurst @KC ($3,000)
Hurst has continued his role of being used as a short yardage receiver, but despite the problems of their offensive line is still managing to run routes. Infact, the Bengals brought in additional blocking TEs to free Hurst to be able to run. The Chiefs were right around mid-table in the league in defending the TE position, with an average of 12.2 DKPts
Philadelphia Eagles v SF ($2,800)
The Cowboys were able to bring pressure to Purdy in the pocket, as he struggled to throw 200 yards and no TDs. This Eagles pass rush is truly no joke and will be making him see ghosts. The Eagles added another 5 sacks to their season total against the Giants. This unit is no joke, able to rack up sacks while hunting for the ball. A nice play if you can spare the $500
Cincinnati Bengals @KC ($2,300)
The Bengals are likely my favorite play, and are likely going to be popular on the slate. They performed incredibly well against the Bills, limiting their offense on the ground and in the air. That performance didn’t translate to fantasy points, but against either a hobbled Patrick Mahomes or Chad Henne, the Bengals have a great opportunity to do it.
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