It’s finally here- Week 13 of the 2022 season, and another DraftKings main slate. We are back offering you DFS advice to try and help you navigate your way to victories throughout the season. The players selected here are based on their price, their ability to hit value and likely ownership. The selections are leaning more towards GPP slates, rather than cash (50/50) slates. But let’s get into it
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Patrick Mahomes @CIN ($8,300)
Mahomes is almost the definition of a slate-breaker. He has thrown for over 300 yards in his last six games, with multiple TDs in 4 of those. In total this season he has thrown multiple TDs in 8 games. This Chiefs offense is one of the best in the league, and this game has a high O/U with expectations of a shootout.
Joe Burrow v KC ($6,900)
Burrow feels like he is constantly being undervalued by DK. The offense really goes with the power of his arm and his receivers, and this game has a high O/U with a tight (expected) margin. If Ja’Marr Chase returns to the fold in this one as is expected then Burrow’s ceiling is among the highest on the slate. Might be a little chalky though, as people pivot from Mahomes in this game.
Trevor Lawrence @DET ($5,900)
Lawrence has been performing well for fantasy recently, especially last time out against the Ravens. Finishing the game with 321 yards and 3TDs, and then being able to follow that up with a game against Detroit is nice. The Lions have had some decent performances, but they are still a weak unit and can be targetted. This game is a nice move away from the KC @CIN game too, with a healthy O/U.
Also consider Geno Smith @LAR ($6,100), Derek Carr v LAC ($5,600) & Jared Goff v JAX ($5,300)
Josh Jacobs v LAC ($7,900)
Jacobs showcased his slate-breaking ability last week, where he melted the Seahawks defense for just over 300 total yards, six receptions and 2 TDs. Next up is a Chargers defense that can do next to nothing when it comes to stopping teams running over them. Feels like he is going to chalky though, despite the pricetag.
Aaron Jones @CHI ($6,900)
The Packers offense hasn’t really hit the highs of previous seasons, but the ground game has been performing. Jones had one of his best games of the season against Chicago in Week 2 (170 total yards, 3 receptions and 2 TDs), and the defense has just become weaker since then (through trade and injury). With the Packers looking like they are either going to put out a banged up Aaron Rodgers, or Jordan Love who has seen limited action, they are likely to give the ground game more focus.
David Montgomery v GB ($6,200)
We can stay in the same game for another slate-breaker. The Bears offense have been establishing the ground game on offense, and Montgomery doesn’t really have alot of competition for touches with Khalil Herbert on IR. The Packers defense have struggled to defend the position for seasons. The Eagles managed to combine Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders for over 300 rushing yards last week. With Justin Fields, we could see this duo combine for a decent total on the ground.
Dameon Pierce v CLE ($5,900)
Pierce hasn’t had the best of times in recent weeks, but he is still getting a decent amount of volume. (You have to discount the absolute implosion on offense last week). The Texans offense needs to try and establish the run early, and the Browns defensive line have struggled to stop defenses this season with just shy of 30DKPts given up to the position this season.
Isiah Pacheco @CIN ($5,700)
Pacheco over the last three weeks has been getting alot of carries in this offense, averaging 18 carries per game. The Bengals defense has been tough against RB production this season, but with the strength of this offense there are plenty of scoring opportunities. The sub-$6k price tag is nice too. If he was more involved in the passing game he would be a smash.
Also consider Joe Mixon v KC ($7,100), Jamaal Williams v JAX ($6,000), Latavius Murray @BAL ($5,300), Brian Robinson @NYG ($5,300) & Zonovan Knight @MIN ($4,600)
AJ Brown v TEN ($7,800)
REVENGE game! Brown has an opportunity here to really make a statement against the Titans, who allowed him to leave instead of paying him. Brown has been a really important part of this Eagles offense, with 831 yards and 7 TDs on the season. With the Titans secondary allowing an average of 41 DKPts to the position (4th highest in the league) this could be a bloodbath.
Christian Kirk @DET ($6,300)
Exposure to this game is something I want. Two defenses that have struggled and two offenses that are able to move the ball effectively. Lawrence has really started to find his feet in this offense. With Kirks strong target share in the offense, he has great potential with DK’s PPR scoring.
Brandon Aiyuk v MIA ($6,100)
Aiyuk looks like he is doing what he did last season, turning it on towards the end of the season. With his target share and redzone opportunities, he is a nice play most weeks. But, when you consider that Deebo Samuel could miss this game, Aiyuk would become the primary receiver for the team against this Miami defense that has allowed production through the air this season.
Garrett Wilson @MIN ($5,300)
Wilson is having a great rookie season with some really strong performances this season. The thing is, he seems to be able to perform at a higher level when it isn’t Zach Wilson throwing the ball. Like 12DKPts a game better without him. The Vikings secondary is among the worst in the league, so Wilson offers nice salary relief on the slate.
George Pickens @ATL ($5,100)
Pickens has shown he has the ability of making big plays. He has really established himself as one of Kenny Pickett’s primary targets in this offense, and he has been enjoying secondary coverage as teams look to deal with Diontae Johnson. The question will be how much volume there will be, with the Steelers looking to run the ball as often as they can.
Nico Collins v CLE ($4,200)
Collins is going to be the primary receiver for this Texans offense with Brandin Cooks set to miss the game. This game could really be the battle of the ground game, with both offenses happy to run the ball and equally struggling to defend it. A $4.2k price tag is nice too, with alot of expensive studs on the slate.
Also consider Ja’Marr Chase/ Tee Higgins v KC ($7,900/ $7,200), Amon-Ra St. Brown v JAX ($7,100), Amari Cooper @HOU ($6,400), Tyler Lockett @LAR ($6,000), Christian Watson @CHI ($5,200) & Treylon Burks @PHI ($4,600)
Travis Kelce @CIN ($7,900)
When it comes to the TE position and slate-breakers, it’s Kelce that is the immediate thought. He is just that good. Might be chalky, but he is literally nearly 100 DK points ahead of the TE2 this season. Hard to overcome that kind of positional advantage.
George Kittle v MIA ($5,000)
Kittle is a nice pivot away from Kelce on the slate against this Dolphins defense. They have struggled against TEs all season, and this 49ers offense could be without Deebo Samuel for this game. With a half-decent O/U in this game, Kittle could see plenty of involvement in the offense.
Logan Thomas @NYG ($2,900)
The Washington offense is happy to give the ball to QB Taylor Heinicke and let him sling it out. The Giants defensive line has been a mean unit all season, which lends itself to checkdowns which you can see with the 14DKPts average they have given to the offense. A nice sub $3k option.
Also consider Pat Freiermuth @ATL ($4,300), Foster Moreau v LAC ($3,600), Tyler Conklin @MIN ($3,100) & Evan Engram @DET ($3,000)
This slate I feel like there are a few options, but I keep really coming back to one of these two. The slate has some offenses that have been struggling, but have the ability to click for a big score.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ATL ($2,600)
The return of T.J. Watt in this defense looks like it has put the energy back into this defense. The defensive line are finding more success, and that is covering the frailties of their secondary. Atlanta’s offense isn’t high-powered, which should give the Steelers a real opportunity here.
Houston Texans v CLE ($2,300)
This game is going to be getting alot of coverage, with the narratives involved. The Texans are set to face a familiar foe, who hasn’t played a single snap since January of 2021. There is no doubt there will be alot of emotion here, which could help the Texans defense at home.
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Image Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports