It’s finally here- Week 14 of the 2022 season, and another DraftKings main slate. We are back offering you DFS advice to try and help you navigate your way to victories throughout the season. The players selected here are based on their price, their ability to hit value and likely ownership. The selections are leaning more towards GPP slates, rather than cash (50/50) slates. But let’s get into it
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Joe Burrow v CLE ($7,000)
Burrow is looking like he can do no wrong. He has led the Bengals to four wins, and had 30 DKPts or more in two of his last three games. With his favorite target Ja’Marr Chase back on the field Burrow’s ceiling is high against this Cleveland defense. The $7k price tag helps in targetting better receivers than you could get if you opted for Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes who are all $1k or more.
Kirk Cousins @DET ($6,100)
Cousins has had an ok season, but hasn’t really crushed in any games yet this season. This game is expected to be high-scoring, and I’m expecting that Jared Goff is going to be highly owned as a stack with St. Brown. I’m looking to go the other way and look to the Vikings aerial attack. Last week the Jaguars struggled through the air, but the Lions still give up a league high 25.2 DKPts to the position. If you can afford it, a nice stack with Justin Jefferson.
Tyler Huntley @PIT ($5,500)
Getting a mobile QB on a decent run-first offense at this price is extremely interesting. The Steelers defense has improved with the return of T.J. Watt, but they can still give up plays, as shown by the lacklustre Colts offense moving the ball on them. With Huntley’s rushing floor, he offers a massive amount of salary relief. A low-owned option with upside.
Also consider Geno Smith v CAR ($6,200), Trevor Lawrence @TEN ($5,700) & Jared Goff v MIN ($5,600)
Derrick Henry v JAX ($7,900)
Henry hasn’t been hitting the same highs that he typically has at towards the end of the season. But, he has a great chance to put things right against this Jaguars defense. In his career, including when he played second fiddle to DeMarco Murray he has averaged 104 yards and 1.3TDs. I just can’t not consider Henry on this slate with the matchup.
Tony Pollard/ Ezekiel Elliott ($6,700/ $6,100)
The blueprint to success in this one is going to be pretty much the same as last week against the Colts. The defense of Dallas is fantastic, which should mean they can force the Texans off the field consistently. With short fields, that brings scoring opportunties. That should mean plenty of carries for Pollard and Elliott, and fantasy production to follow. Of the two I prefer Elliott as he has been given the ball consistently in short yardage situations, especially at the goal line.
D’Andre Swift v MIN ($5,800)
Swift was off the injury report last week, and performed with 111 total yards. Another good sign was that he was able to carry the ball for a season-high 14 times. With his pass-catching ability too, it’s a nice (cheap) play in a game that is expected to be high-scoring.
Isiah Pacheco @DEN ($5,700)
Pacheco is leading the backfield in carries, and at the price that makes him viable here. There are alot of receivers that I like on the slate, so I’m happy to make a concession here. Jerick McKinnon still being involved in the offense hurts him a little, but that’s factored into the price. I’m looking to him to continue his scoring streak, and continue to get the odd target against a middling Denver defense.
Latavius Murray v KC ($5,200)
We can stay in the same game for another cut-price slatebreaking option. Murray has stepped up in this backfield with 47 carries and 9 receptions in his last 3 games. The issue is that there hasn’t been alot of production to follow, with 231 yards and a single score. The Kansas City Chiefs have struggled to limit RBs running on them recently though, so the opportunity is there to hit value. At the price, it allows you to really attack the receiver position.
Also consider Dalvin Cook @DET ($7,300), Travis Etienne @TEN ($6,400) & Najee Harris v BAL ($5,800)
Justin Jefferson @DET ($9,000)
Jefferson is a player that I want to pick up on this slate. This game is expected to have points in it, and Jefferson will be looking to put the record right after struggling against Detroit in Week 3. Jefferson has 7 games where he has 100+ receiving yards, and another where he was just 2 yards short. With his ability through the air he should be able to eat in this matchup. If you go this way, you are going to need to make concessions elsewhere though- so build your lineup accordingly.
Amon-Ra St. Brown v MIN ($7,800)
St. Brown is becoming chalk each week, his price is going up but he just continues to perform. Now? A matchup against the Vikings makes him well worth considering. Jared Goff has been looking to him constantly, with one of the highest target shares in the league, and the Vikings secondary is awful. He feels like his floor at the moment is around 20-ish points. Sometimes you eat the chalk…..
Ja’Marr Chase v CLE ($7,900)
Chase returned back to action last week against Kansas City, and shook off the rust quickly, as he ended up with 7 receptions for 97 yards. The Browns secondary on paper are a tough matchup, but when you consider that most teams run the ball against them, their 33.6 average DKPts is misleading. This is the cheapest we will get Chase for a while I would have thought, a nice stacking option with Burrow.
Christian Kirk @TEN ($6,600)
Kirk signed a big deal with the Jaguars in the offseason, but has managed to justify it with his production this season. The Titans run defense is a decent unit, but their secondary is just awful. As a result, I’m expecting the Jaguars to air the ball out to expose that weakness. Kirk is getting a healthy target share and averaging 9.5 targets over the last 4 weeks.
Garrett Wilson @BUF ($5,900)
Wilson seems like he isn’t being priced up just right. He has a tricky matchup against the Bills, but he is just getting opportunities constantly through the air in this offense. Last week he had 15 targets! You just can’t really find that level of opportunity at this price.
DJ Moore @SEA ($5,500)
Moore has had a massively mixed season to say the least, as have the whole Panthers offense to be honest. But, with the team returning to Sam Darnold I have confidence in Moore. Moore has a great relationship with Darnold, and that was clear to see last week. Darnold only attempted 19 passes, and Moore was targetted for 6 of them! I’m expecting the team to have to throw the ball a little more in this game to keep up with the Seattle aerial attack
Nico Collins @DAL ($4,600)
Collins is performing at a decent level for the Texans. Last week he was saved by falling into the endzone, but there were enough targets still. The Texans are going to need to throw the ball against Dallas, and with the team averaging 37 pass attempts the last four weeks. I’m not expecting a huge score, but Collins has nice upside and a (somewhat) safe floor, even in a tough matchup. **DECLARED OUT OF THE GAME. I’d pivot to Phillip Dorsett or Amari Rodgers as cheap plays**
Also consider DK Metcalf/ Tyler Lockett v CAR ($7,100/ $6,500), Amari Cooper @CIN ($6,200), Deebo Samuel v TB ($6,100), Brandin Cooks @DAL ($4,900)
Travis Kelce @DEN ($7,600)
Kelce had a rare dud last week, just about failing to high double-digits, which would have buried your lineups. But, Kelce is always worth consideration on a slate. He is the primary target in an effective Kansas City offense, and offers huge boom game potential. On this slate he is going to be slightly underowned to previous weeks, as people overreact to his struggle last week. With how I want to attack this slate I won’t have Kelce in too many lineups.
T.J. Hockenson @DET ($5,100)
Hockenson feels like a chalk selection at the position on the slate. With the alot of good WR and RB options, Kelce is an easy-ish fade, and Hockenson has slotted nicely into this offense. This game against his old team is set to be one of the highest scoring on the slate, so you definitely want to get some exposure to it.
Chigoziem Okonkwo v JAX ($2,700)
Okonkwo might end up being highly owned on the slate, as he has been enjoying some buzz this week. He has field-stretching ability, and has a decent matchup against Jacksonville. Will look to build on his season best from last week, catching four passes for 68 yards.
Also consider Pat Freiermuth v BAL ($4,500), David Njoku @CIN ($3,900) & Cade Otton ($2,800)
Dallas Cowboys v HOU ($3,800)
I don’t normally want to spend up on DST. The reason being that you can normally get by with a cheaper play, and use the money elsewhere. But, I think this might be an exception. The Cowboys defense are just a mean unit, capable of getting after the QB constantly and forcing turnovers. With the big-play ability they have too they can get multiple scores and I wouldn’t be surprised.
Pittsburgh Steelers v BAL ($2,800)
The return of T.J. Watt to this defense has really improved how it is working. The pass-rush has been dialled up, and that is protecting their weak secondary from being exposed. With Lamar Jackson likely to miss this game too, this Ravens offense could really struggle to get too much production. With the history of backup Tyler Huntley struggling with turnovers too, this is a nice mid-level option. But it’s going to be a popular option.
Carolina Panthers @SEA ($2,200)
The Panthers are the cheapest option on the slate, but they are an ok play if you want to spend up elsewhere. The Seahawks offense has been able to put up points, but has allowed teams to sack their QB, giving up 9 in the last 4 games. The Panthers led by Brian Burns have been able to record 25 on the season, and have made many QBs see ghosts in the pocket.
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