It’s finally here- Week 18 and the final Saturday slate of the 2022 season, and another DraftKings main slate. We are back offering you DFS advice to try and help you navigate your way to victories throughout the season. The players selected here are based on their price, their ability to hit value and likely ownership. The selections are leaning more towards GPP slates, rather than cash (50/50) slates. But let’s get into it
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Kansas City @Las Vegas
On a short slate, Patrick Mahomes ($8,400) is hard to ignore with his ability to blow up. The Chiefs still have the #1 seed to play for collectively, and Mahomes is 429 yards shy of Peyton Manning’s season record of 5,477 yards. This season, he has had two games right around that total- so it could happen with the pieces on offense and the weakness of the Raiders defense.
On the other side of the ball, Jarrett Stidham ($5,400) looks to be the starter for the Raiders again, and the discount is real. Stidham was great against a tough 49ers defense, throwing for 365 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs. The Chiefs secondary is (on paper) a much easier unit to play against, so there’s little to put you off here. Stidham is the ‘bottom’ QB play for me on this slate.
I’m not really interested in Joshua Dobbs ($5,100). He did fine last week against the Cowboys in a strange game for the Titans, but there isn’t really too much upside here with this run-first offense. If I’m paying down, I’d opt for Stidham as I said before.
I think with the pricing on this slate the chalk is going to be Trevor Lawrence ($6,100). A ‘win-and-in’ for both teams, with the Jaguars likely to exploit the weakness in the Titans secondary, and has been looking comfortable in the offense. Hasn’t thrown a TD the past two weeks, but that was really due to the matchups. In the reverse game earlier this season, he thre for 368 yards, 3 TDs as well as sneaking in for a TD on the ground. With the discount from Mahomes, and matchup, he is going to be heavily owned.