The 2023 season is wrapping up tonight, with the Super Bowl- and as ever there are plenty of props available. No doubt you are looking for those gems in thousands of props available. I am here as your resource as well and we’ll be diving into spots that I like a lot. Keep in mind that using all your bankroll on one game is not something that we should be doing. Whether you are a casual in for just one game or a seasoned NFL bettor being mindful of what you are spending and how much is always sound advice.
When betting on the Super Bowl I like devising a script on how I believe the game will turn out and bet accordingly. If you like the 49ers or the Chiefs you should be able to devise a game plan on how that would look. If you are playing the showdown slate, you find our coverage on that here.
This should be a good Super Bowl. Both teams have played well most of the year. The Chiefs need to win on the outside whether that is with Kelce or one of their ancillary receivers that is where the data says you need to attack this 49er defense as they have exceptional LBs and are very tough to throw against inside the numbers. Here are some good markets to target.
One play props can be enjoyable as an early cash or a late one here are a couple to consider
Marquez Valdes Scantling (WR, KC)
O/U 19.5 Rec Yards -110 (Over) & a 20+ Yd reception +160
Much maligned MVS is known for his field-stretching ability but has come up with a big catch in all the playoff games so far. I am not sure if he will get too many opportunities, but the 49ers have given up 6 20+ gains in the past two games and if it is going to happen with the Chiefs it will be one or two guys with MVS being one of them. MVS is also boasting a 82% or better route participation in all three playoff games according to Action.
Justin Watson (WR, KC)
O/U 12.5 Longest Reception -116 (Over)
The other big play threat on this team that everyone forgets about is Justin Watson. He is exactly the type of player that the Chiefs could get a big play from. He hasn’t been utilized much if at all in the playoffs but his longest reception is at 12.5 and I believe that is achievable here.
Kyle Juszczyk (RB, SF)
O/U 4.5 yds rec -110 (Over)
He has had 2+ catches and 5+ yards in 3 straight games coming in and it only takes one. No, I don’t expect a repeat of last week’s 3 for 23 game but 1 catch for 5-6 yards is definitely doable and something we could see get done in one hit.
Brock Purdy (QB, SF)
Int Yes -116
Mr. Irrelevant has been discussed plenty in the lead-up to the Super Bowl and for good reason. Purdy does like to take chances and this is a big game for him. I don’t know if he can just stay conservative this whole game and not try to challenge the Chiefs secondary. He may not need to but I think Spagnuolo’s defense can confuse him enough to give us one bad throw.
A few quick Money Markets
Pacheco o66.5 yds rushing -110
Samuel o80.5 rush/rec yds -116
Karlaftis to record a sack yes +130 Leads all Chiefs in sacks this postseason with 2.5 he is sneaky.
Jake Moody to Miss a FG +250 Young Kicker in the biggest game of his life.
Samuel 2nd half anytime TD +350 I think Samuel scores in this game and rather avoid the slow 1st half.
Purdy 2 Int +400 What if it all goes wrong…
Rashee Rice 1st Qtr TD +1000 Rice has scored the 1st TD 20% of the time this season for the Chiefs. This isn’t exactly that and we have a little bit of safety built in just in case Chiefs aren’t the first TD in the game without taking a hit on odds we get better odds.
Any Non QB to throw a passing TD +3500 It’s the SB. It could happen I like the odds if you are doing low dollar-amount dart throws. This is the one.
4 Legs @+550
CMC 4+ Rec
MVS o19.5 yds rec
Deebo 75+ Rush/Rec
Mahomes o1.5 TDs
I think that will wrap it up for me. There should be enough here for everyone. I like the Chiefs to win a close one by less than 7 pts but who knows, sit back and enjoy the game with a couple bets and remember to bet responsibly. As for me, you can catch me on Twitter @Cmoney52 always happy to discuss gambling, fantasy, and everything in between. Until next time see you soon.
Image Credit: Kirby Lee – USA TODAY Sports