We are here to the first-ever Black Friday game in the league history of the league, making the 2023 season unique, and the DraftKings showdown slate- Miami @New York. The Dolphins offense, led by Tyreek Hill has been lighting up defenses, and now faces a tough test against this Jets secondary. The Jets came into the season with alot of hope, and now have Tim Boyle leading their offense. Not sure that was really the plan for the team. But, hey it’s football on a new day and anything can happen. The Jets defense has been a great unit, keeping the team in games. The O/U has been set at 40.5, with the Dolphins more than a TD favorite.
DraftKings Black Friday Showdown 2023 – Miami @New York Captain Picks
Tyreek Hill ($18,600 Capt/ $12,400 Flex)
Hill is just elite, which is why he is priced up so high. The matchup is tough against the Jets. But the way Hill is being used and schemed, he just can’t be stopped. Once he has the ball in his hands all bets are off. Has has six games with over 100+ yards, with two in this last three games. And only failed to score in two games this season. The clear CPT choice on the slate.
Jaylen Waddle ($14,400 Capt/ $9,600 Flex)
Waddle has been flying under the radar this season, as all headlines have been on Hill in the offense. Has been getting a solid number of targets, and has boomed in some games where the defense has really tried to limit Hill. Think I’ll only really have him as a CPT play as a pivot from Hill. But not many shares in the flex. He will boom, or struggle to hit value.
Breece Hall ($11,400 Capt/ $7,600 Flex)
If you want to go with a Jet at CPT, then with the uncertainty at QB it really needs to be Hall. The pricing means you can put him in and then stack studs in your flex spot. Hall has been getting plenty of work on the ground with double-digit carries in 8 of the 10 games he has played, along with involvement in the passing game.
DraftKings Black Friday Showdown 2023 – Miami @New York Flex Picks
Tua Tagovailoa ($11,000 Flex)
Tua has been good this season, largely dragged along by the performances of Hill, with five games with over 300 yards through the air and six games with multiple TDs scored. You could opt for him in the CPT spot, but I much prefer him as a flex. On paper this is a tough matchup, but with the talent he has around him, he should have a decent game here.
Raheem Mostert ($10,200 Flex)
Mostert could have a great game here, and be under the radar. The Jets secondary has been great, but the team have allowed production on the ground this season. Achane has been limited this week, and might not even play, so Mostert could see plenty of volume here. If the Dolphins get up to a big lead, Mostert could be put in charge of clock management. If he finds the endzone once or twice, he could smash here. Great flex, with sneaky CPT appeal.
De’Von Achane ($9,000 Flex)
Achane has been limited all week, and he was pulled out last week with a knee injury. This price feels really high given those circumstances. If you are going to enter a massive number of lineups, sure have a few with him as his ownership will be low. But, you can’t expect much at all from him here.
Garrett Wilson ($8,600 Flex)
Wilson is getting a massive target share, with 103 this season. The issue is that those targets are coming from QBs that have struggled to get him the ball consistently. For this game he has Tim Boyle throwing him the ball. Volume play on DK, but there really is a low ceiling in this offense. Just go for Hall and move on.
Tim Boyle ($6,000 Flex)
Boyle has some appeal here as the starting QB, but for the price of a backup. He hasn’t been a great player in his career, but this pricing is just too good to pass up. If he hits double-digits then he would just about hit value. The Dolphins have given up an average of 18.5 DKPts to the position this season, don’t expect him to hit that- but if he does he smashes.
Tyler Conklin ($3,200 Flex)
Conklin was outperformed last week, but he is the second receiving option in this offense. With a new QB throwing the ball, a nice big-bodied receiver close to the line of scrimmage could be a popular target. Decent floor here with DK’s PPR scoring, but a limited ceiling in this offense.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
Allen Lazard (WR, NYJ) $4,200 Flex – Lazard is a cheap WR2. But he isn’t doing anything of note this season in this struggling offense. A new QB can shake things up, but Lazard at this point is just a big-body you hope falls into the endzone.
Dalvin Cook (RB, NYJ) $4,000 Flex – Cook’s role is being squeezed in the offense. Hall has been getting a chunk of the work in the offense, and Abandikanda has been getting more work too. At this price he is only going to hit value if Hall is injured, or he falls into the endzone with his limited touches.
Cedrick Wilson Jr. (WR, MIA) $2,600 Flex – Wilson split reps with Chosen last week. But has been used as the WR3 in the offense this season. With the targets that Hill and Waddle get, he has been a TD-dependent option. The secondary is a legit unit, so could struggle to hit value unless the Dolphins get up to a big lead.
Robbie Chosen (WR, MIA) $2,400 Flex – Chosen was more involved last week, splitting work as the WR3 with Wilson. Has the ability to get deep if given the opportunity, so could smash value on one or two passes with the right placement.
River Cracraft (WR, MIA) $2,200 Flex – Cracraft has been on the field mainly as a blocker, and has popped in previous seasons. This Jets secondary is a great unit though, so on a limited workload, it’s hard to spend up here with the complete lack of floor.
Braxton Berrios (WR, MIA) $2,000 Flex –
Jeff Wilson (RB, MIA) $1,800 Flex – Wilson didn’t get to suit up last week, as the team opted to put Ahmed out on the field. But Ahmed is now on IR, so Wilson has a good chance of being involved in this one. Especially with Achane limited too. Has a good opportunity to smash at this price, but needs a few things to happen for that to unfold.
Durham Smythe (TE, MIA) $1,600 Flex – Smythe has been the starting TE when he has been healthy this season, but missed last week and has been limited in practise this week. If he plays I like him as a punt here.
Chase Claypool (WR, MIA) $1,400 Flex – At some point this season Claypool is going to play and blow up in the redzone, catching two passes for 5 yards and two scores. But, it’s hard to trust him week to week with his limited involvement in the offense.
Israel Abanikanda (RB, NYJ) $1,200 Flex – Has been getting more work, and squeezing Cook’s role in the offense as the RB2. Has the speed to make big-plays if given the opportunity, worth a punt.
C.J. Uzomah/ Jeremy Ruckert (TE, NYJ) $1,000/ $400 Flex – Uzomah has been the TE2 in the offense, but was completely pushed to the side by Ruckert last week. With his role in the offense, I’m not willing to punt $1k here. Instead, I’d opt for Ruckert who is being developed to be the TE2 in the offense. Boyle could look to checkdown to a big-body close to the line of scrimmage- at the price he doesn’t need much to hit value here.
Xavier Gipson (WR, NYJ) $800 Flex – Gipson has been decent in a WR3/WR4 role for the Jets combined with his return duties. Only getting a few targets a game, so would be a punt. But, a change in QB can mean a change in focus.
Julian Hill (TE, MIA) $200 Flex – Hill could be the starting TE for the Dolphins if Smythe is unable to play. That was the same last week though, when he caught his only target of the game for 10 yards.
DraftKings Black Friday Showdown 2023 – Miami @New York Kickers and DSTs
The kickers have some appeal on this slate, given the way the Jets defense has frustrated teams this season. Jason Sanders ($5,400) should get plenty of opportunities if the Jets defense are able to get some stops. Has seen limited work this season though, with only 12 FG attempts this season, so know there isn’t a massive floor here. Greg Zuerlein ($5,000) could end up being the highest-scoring offensive player here. The Jets under Boyle could really stall out, giving plenty of opportuntities. The issue will be if the Jets defense can’t make some stops and the Jets have to push the action.
The Dolphins DST ($5,200) have alot of appeal here as the Jets are set to play a backup QB in a struggling offense. The team have managed to record 31 sacks this season, and forced 15 turnovers this season. They have playmakers that can make plays if given the opportunity. The Jets DST ($3,800) are the reason the team have been competitive in games this season, as their defense has kept the scores low. Tua has struggled with sacks and turnovers at points in this career, and the Jets DST could be a nice GPP play with low ownership against this offense.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of San Francisco @Seattle! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Jim Rassol – USA TODAY Sports