Divisional weekend is here and another 2023 DraftKings showdown slate this time Kansas City @Baltimore. The AFC championship is shaping up to be a nice game. The news is that Mark Andrews seems to be able to be activated here, so the Ravens should be at full strength. The O/U is around 45, with the Ravens favored by around a FG.
DraftKings Conference Showdown 2023 – Kansas City @Baltimore Captain Picks
Lamar Jackson ($18,900 Capt/ $12,600 Flex)
Jackson was the clear CPT choice against Houston, and is in another spot where he should have another strong game. His dual-threat is almost unmatched, with 2 TDs on the ground and another 2 through the air. I’d expect the Chiefs to adjust better to him than the Texans did, but he still has a great floor-and-ceiling combo here.
Travis Kelce ($14,700 Capt/ $9,800 Flex)
Kelce was a CPT play I wrote up last week as a cheap option with great upside and he reminded people of his talent with a 5 catch, 75 yard,s and 2 TDs against the Bills. He is the first read in the offense for Mahomes, and can make plays when needed. Should have a solid floor with DK’s PPR scoring, and has shown he has multi-TD upside. Great flex if you don’t go him as a CPT.
Isiah Pacheco ($14,100 Capt/ $9,400 Flex)
Pacheco fell just three yards short of the 100+ bonus against the Bills. He is given nearly all of the volume in the backfield, and runs with anger. The Baltimore defensive line are a good unit though, limiting the Texans to a combined 38 yards on the ground. Think that is likely to impact his ownership, but I think he is going to be a strong flex option (with CPT appeal) with his volume here.
Gus Edwards ($10,500 Capt/ $7,000 Flex)
Edwards is a CPT or nothing for me constantly in these showdowns. With his lack of involvement in the passing game, his outlook is heavily reliant on his work on the ground and near the redzone. Has the ability to find the endzone multiple times, or struggle to get 50 yards. Don’t go crazy here, but if playing multiple lineups, mix him into your lineups.
Mark Andrews ($9,900 Capt/ $6,600 Flex)
Andrews was seen running last week, but wasn’t activated. I’m going to work on the assumption that he is going to be activated here. Hasn’t played since mid-November, but still leads the team in receiving TDs. The pricing here allows you to spend up on flex options too. This play isn’t without risk though, as he could be eased into the offense- hurting his floor.
DraftKings Conference Showdown 2023 – Kansas City @Baltimore Flex Picks
Patrick Mahomes ($11,000 Flex)
Mahomes led the Chiefs to a victory last week, but he didn’t have a great fantasy performance. The Ravens defense are one of the best units in the league in limiting production to the QB position. With the way the Chiefs receivers have been playing this season (inconsistent) Mahomes has a low floor here and a limited ceiling. The ability is there, but think he is a better flex than CPT on this slate.
Rashee Rice ($8,600 Flex)
Rice has been a great receiving option for the Chiefs this season. Has over 100 targets in the regular season, and a great (scoring) performance against the Dolphins to start the playoffs. Struggled to make an impact against the Bills, with just 4 catches for 47 yards, but that’s a decent floor. If he breaks coverage he could smash value here.
Zay Flowers ($8,400 Flex)
Flowers is a great receiver, and fits in well into this offense. Has scored 4 TDs in his last six games. Doesn’t have a great floor in this run-first offense. But he has a great ceiling with this speed and route-running ability. The Chiefs secondary has been effective this season, limiting receivers production to just 27.9 DKPts on average this season.
Isaiah Likely ($6,400 Flex)
Likely’s fantasy outlook is entirely dependent on if Andrews is able to suit up here. Has performed well since Andrews was sidelined, especially in finding the redzone. Has 6 TDs in his last six games, with 4 in his last three games. But, if Andrews is back, that ceiling is really limited- even if the team decides to ease Andrews back into the offense slowly. If he isn’t Likely is a nice TD-dependent flex option.
Odell Beckham Jr. ($5,400 Flex)
Beckham has now had two games with only one target in each, with limited production as a result. Infact, since his big performance against the Rams he has only totaled 5 catches for 72 yards in his last four games. His snap count last week is a little worrying though, he was out-snapped by Agholor and Bateman. Decent GPP stack with Jackson on the slate.
Justin Watson ($2,400 Flex)
Watson only had a single target last week, and that’s massively impacted his price this week. Was still on the field a massive amount though. Great cheap flex option here with his deep threat. Kinda feels like a dart-throw with how inconsistent he has been this season, but I feel slightly better about his outlook than the other Chiefs receivers.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- Nelson Agholor (WR, BAK) $5,000 Flex – Agholor has been getting more usage in the offense, but has still a limited floor with the lack of aerial volume. He is a borderline dart throw on the slate. If he were cheaper I’d be more set on him. Think he could struggle to hit value here with his limited snap count.
- Justice Hill (RB, BAL) $4,600 Flex – Hill has spotty usage, with Edwards often handed the ball and Hill used in the passing game and a game of pace back. I don’t mind him at this price, as it takes into account his lack of floor. And with DK’s PPR scoring, he could have a decent game here if the Ravens have to check the ball down (assuming that the Chiefs limit Jackson’s ability on the ground).
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR, KC) $4,400 Flex – MVS caught two of his four games for 62 yards. For some reason he finds the ball deep in the playoffs. He is on the field a chunk, but massively inconsistent and only a dart-throw on this slate.
- Rashod Bateman (WR, BAL) $3,200 Flex – Bateman was on the field for a huge amount of the snaps last week, only Flower was on the field more. Didn’t translate to much production though, with only 3 targets (all caught) for 39 yards. If he maintains that snap count, he is a decent pay-down option on the slate.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB, KC) $2,600 Flex – Limited volume in the offense with how Pacheco performs. Would need Pacheco to get injured, or to find the endzone to hit value- even at this price with his limited volume.
- Kadarius Toney/ Mecole Hardman/ Richie James (WR, KC) $2,000/ $800/ $200 Flex – The Chiefs receivers have been inconsistent this season, but they all have speed and can make plays if given the opportunity. There really is no floor to speak of after the chunks of volume taken out by Kelce and Rice. All of these are TD-or-bust options on the slate. With that, I’d tend to go with James as the cheapest option at min-price. If he manages to make a special teams play, he would smash value.
- Noah Gray (TE, KC) $1,800 Flex – Gray caught all three of his targets for 16 yards last week. That’s pretty much what you are hoping for. Even if there was an injury to Kelce, I don’t think he sees too much more volume in the offense. Far more likely to dud than anything, but if he finds the endzone he hits value.
- Dalvin Cook (RB, BAL) $1,200 Flex – Cook had 8 carries in the victory over the Texans. That was a really comfortable victory though, so unless this game is a blowout it’s going to take an injury for him to hit value here.
DraftKings Conference Showdown 2023 – Kansas City @Baltimore Kickers and DSTs
The kickers could be the key difference in this game. Justin Tucker ($5,200) is one of the greatest kickers of all time. He has also been a key man for the Ravens in being able to move the scoreboard when the Ravens have struggled on offense. Had two FG attempts last week against the Texans, hitting both, with a long of 53 yards (would be his long on the full season). Should be able to hit double-digits I’d have thought here. Harrison Butker ($4,800) has been great this season, hitting 33 of his 35 attempts in the regular season, and six of six in the playoffs. With the difficulties the team have had with their receivers, he has been given lots of opportunities this season. Think that trend continues here, and he should have a decent floor here.
The Ravens DST ($4,200) are a great real-life defense who are capable in making plays. In the regular season they managed to get 60 sacks and force 32 turnovers. Mahomes has been good this season, but he has also struggled behind his line and suffered with turnovers too this season. They also managed to limit the Texans last week and will be feeling their momentum from the end of the season. Decent GPP upside here. Chiefs DST ($3,600) feel like they are a little bit of a long-shot GPP play. They have playmakers, but you need something out of the ordinary for them to hit value. I kinda feel that if you go for the Chiefs DST it’d be a nice idea to go with James at min-price as a WR for a special teams score.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the Conference Showdown 2023 – Kansas City @Baltimore! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Joseph Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports