Divisional weekend is here and another 2023 DraftKings showdown slate this time Tampa Bay @Detroit. A number of headlines last week for both teams. Tampa Bay were able to get a comfortable win over the Eagles. But the biggest (and loudest?) story was the Lions winning their first playoff game in a generation. The O/U here has been set at around 50 points, with the Lions a 6-point favorite.
DraftKings Divisional Showdown 2023 – Tampa Bay @Detroit Captain Picks
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($16,800 Capt/ $11,200 Flex)
St. Brown should have a huge game here against this poor secondary. Just gets so much volume in the offense and is productive with it. Hard to see anything, other than injury, stopping him from being scripted out of the game. Maybe not the same ceiling as Evans here, but has a great combination of safe floor and ceiling.
Mike Evans ($15,300 Capt/ $10,200 Flex)
Evans has plenty of ability and has a great ceiling here. Has the ability to boom with his deep threat, or his size in the redzone. With Tampa Bay likely to throw it, there should be plenty of volume through the air here. Has a great opportunity to be the highest-scoring player on the team here. With only a small price difference though, think I prefer St. Brown as CPT.
Jahmyr Gibbs ($12,900 Capt/ $8,600 Flex)
The Lions split the carries out of their backfield, but Gibbs is the upside play with his passing game work. Tends to get 4/5 targets a game, and can find the endzone in any game. Think the way the Lions get a result here is throwing the ball, to avoid a tough Tampa defensive line. That gamescript suits Gibbs more than Montgomery. Good flex play, but has some CPT consideration (albeit limited) as a pay-down option to save some salary.
Rachaad White ($10,800 Capt/ $7,200 Flex)
White is a volume play out of the backfield. Has only had three games all season where he hasn’t had double-digit carries, and even in two of these he had 7 targets in each of them. Hasn’t scored in any of his last three games, so feels like he is due to find the endzone with the touches he has had in the offense. Although the Lions were the best unit against RBs this season, with just an average of 15.7 DKPts to the position.
DraftKings Divisional Showdown 2023 – Tampa Bay @Detroit Flex Picks
Jared Goff ($10,000 Flex)
Goff has shown his ability as a QB this season. Takes what he is given by the defense and moves on. That’s not to say he doesn’t have upside though, with 5 games of 300+ yards and nine games with multiple TDs this season. This Tampa Bay defense is going to be giving him plenty of soft spots to target, which should give him a decent floor and ceiling. With the funnels in the offense, hard to see him outscore his receivers. Great flex play as part of a stack with St. Brown.
Baker Mayfield ($9,600 Flex)
The way that Mayfield has led this team this season has been fantastic. Lead the team to a comfortable win over the Eagles with a 337 yards and 3 TDs performance. Detroit has given up plenty through the air this season, giving up 21.9 DKPts to the position (third highest in the league). The team are going to need to throw the ball to get a result here. Great flex play- especially in a stack with Evans.
David Montgomery ($7,800 Flex)
Montgomery is the early-down back in the offense, but his role is limited to production on the ground as the team look to involve Gibbs through the air. Has double-digit carries in (nearly) all the game he has played this season. The only game he didn’t? Against Tampa Bay where he suffered an injury. He has upside with his redzone usage, but not sure he hits value here without a TD.
Chris Godwin ($7,600 Flex)
Godwin has been a consistent play in this Tampa offense, but has only had two big games this season. A scoring play against the Eagles saved his game, but the team didn’t need to force the action with how comfortable the victory was. Should have a decent floor here, but Evans is the upside play in the offense.
Sam LaPorta ($6,600 Flex)
LaPorta has had a fantastic rookie season, with 120 targets leading to 86 receptions for 889 yards and 10 TDs. Has great route-running ability and size, as well as the trust of his QB. The pricing here is fantastic given his normal floor for the Lions as the second read in the offense. Has multi-TD upside too against a defense that has given up an average of 14.9 DKPts to the position this season.
Josh Reynolds ($5,400 Flex)
Reynolds performed well in his revenge game against the Rams last week as the Lions progressed. Caught 5 of his 7 targets for 80 yards. Although he is the WR2, he is behind LaPorta in the receiving game. That limits his floor and upside in this offense. Has some GPP appeal with Kalif Raymond ruled out here, which should mean Reynolds is on the field more.
Cade Otton ($5,200 Flex)
Otton had a big game against the Eagles, with his best game of the season, catching 8 of his 11 targets for 89 yards. With the volume that the passing attack is likely to have against the Lions he could have another big game here. Think it’s far more likely that he reverts to around 4 targets, as he was in the regular season. Has scoring potential, which you likely need for him to hit value here.
Trey Palmer ($4,400 Flex)
Palmer has established himself as the WR3 in the offense, but as with most of the receivers last week, didn’t get much usage in a comfortable victory. Palmer was able to bring in one of his two targets for a 56-yard TD though. He has similar upside against this secondary too, and is a nice pay-down option in a game Tampa Bay are going to need to throw in.
Jameson Williams ($4,200 Flex)
Williams was a play I really liked last week as a receiver for the Lions, but ultimately the team went with Reynolds who had more snaps. He has the raw talent and speed to perform here, but with only a few targets each week he is a GPP-only option. With how he has struggled this season, if he does hit, he should have low ownership.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- David Moore (WR, TB) $2,800 Flex – Moore caught a 44-yard TD pass last week against the Eagles, as one of his three targets. He could so the same as a deep ball threat, but hasn’t had more than three targets in a game this season- so no real floor.
- Chase Edmonds (RB, TB) $2,400 Flex – RB2 in the offense, but White is dominating the volume here. Likely to only get a few carries in the offense, with a few targets. He could hit value here, but likely needs to score to do so against this Detroit defensive line.
- Deven Thompkins/ Rakim Jarrett (WR, TB) $1,200/ $200 Flex – Depth WR pieces who see minimal work. Would need to likely score to hit value here. With limited combined volume, there is a literal zero floor here.
- Donovan Peoples-Jones (WR, DET) $1,000 Flex – Should be the WR4 for the team with Raymond ruled out in this game. Not sure if that will mean he is productive or not. He didn’t get a single target last week when he was in the same role. But as a deep-threat he could hit value on a single target.
- Craig Reynolds (RB, DET) $800 Flex – RB3 in the offense. Would need an injury to hit value here. Would be able to do it, even against this defensive line, at the pricing. But very limited upside.
- Brock Wright (TE, DET) $400 Flex – Wright is a big-body TE, but rarely involved through the air. Instead he is used as a blocker, and LaPorta works as a receiver. Would only need a few targets to hit value here, but far more likely to dud.
- Ko Kieft (TE, TB) $200 Flex – Big body near the endzone. Only has 5 targets for the whole season, although one was for a score. At this price, he could hit value with minimal production, but far more likely to dud here.
DraftKings Divisional Showdown 2023 – Tampa Bay @Detroit Kickers and DSTs
Playoff games often come down to the performance of the kickers, and they could make a difference here. Chase McLaughlin ($4,800) has been great this season, hitting 29 of his 31 regular season attempts with a long of 57-yards. Hit all three attempts last week too, including one 50+ attempt. If Detroit can force some stops, McLaughlin has the leg to convert and should see decent volume. Michael Badgley ($4,600) has been great for the Lions since signing for them in December. Hit all of his FG attempts, including a 54-yard attempt last week against the Rams. If Tampa are able to force some stops, Badgley should be a reliable option playing in a dome.
The Tampa DST ($3,600) were a huge reason why the Bucs were able to progress in the playoffs, constantly putting the Eagles under pressure. They are going to try and do the same thing here, but Goff playing at home is much better. GPP option if they can unnerve Goff and force some turnovers. The Lions DST ($4,000) have been priced up, and have been asking their fans to make it tough for the visiting team. The home crowd are going to be a big factor here, but think that is more likely to help them in real-life rather than in fantasy scoring. GPP-only in a gamescript where Mayfield struggles with turnovers.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the Divisional Showdown 2023 – Tampa Bay @Detroit! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Raj Mehta – USA TODAY Sports