Opening up Sunday’s 2020 DraftKings Showdown round of Super Wild Card Weekend, we see a repeat of last year’s divisional-round matchup, with Baltimore @Tennessee. Tennessee stunned Lamar Jackson and the Ravens last year, coming out 28-12 winners. That was largely to another monster game from Derrick Henry. 12 months later and Henry is still putting up ridiculous numbers, and comes into this game off the back of a 250-yard rushing game, in which he scored 39 DKPTS. The Ravens are currently 3-point favorites here, with an O/U of 54.5, the highest of all six games this weekend.
DraftKings Showdown: Baltimore @ Tennessee Captain Picks:
Lamar Jackson ($18,000 Capt/ $12,000 Flex)
This choice shouldn’t take much explaining. Despite a slow start to the season, Jackson has improved dramatically down the stretch. Infact, he is averaging 28.5 DKPTS across his last 5 games of the year. Whilst Jackson is most renowned for his rushing ability, this Titans defense has been straight-up awful against the pass; only 3 teams have surrendered more passing yards this season. Only the Detroit Lions have seen opposition QBs throw more TDs against them this year, and QBs are throwing an average of 2.25 passing TDs against Tennessee. Jackson has a solid matchup here, and whilst he had an average performance versus them in Week 11 (17.54 DKPTS), he has shown enough quality in the closing games of this season for me to lock him in as a solid choice in the Captain spot.
Derrick Henry ($17,400 Capt/ $11,600 Flex)
The Baltimore run-defence has been solid this year, but not elite. They’ve allowed the 13th-fewest yards on the ground and DKPTS per game. That is due to the fact they have only surrendered 7 rushing TDs this season, tied for the fewest in the league. Regardless, Henry is just not human. Time and time again this year, he has shown how elite he truly is, especially through December and January. In last year’s divisional meeting between these two, he went for 195 yards on 30 carries. He could easily repeat that on Sunday. Even when playing from behind, Tennessee seems to trust Henry and still pound the rock.
Mark Andrews ($10,800 Capt/ $7,200 Flex)
Despite a mediocre performance in Week 17, Andrews still drew 7 targets, and should see even more action this week. He put up a 5-96-1 stat-line in their Week 11 matchup, and is still one of Jackson’s favorite targets. Tennessee are middle of the pack versus opposition TEs, but Andrews has proved time and time again, what an elite TE he is. As a result, I fully expect him to have a big game on Sunday afternoon. This is the cheapest he has been on a showdown slate all season, and it makes perfect sense to play him as Captain.
DraftKings Showdown: Baltimore @ Tennessee Flex Picks:
Ryan Tannehill ($10,400 Flex)
As a Dolphins fan, I will always have a place in my heart for RT17. He’s declined slightly from his elite season last year, but as still had himself a solid year. Finishing the regular season as QB7 in total fantasy points. With Baltimore entering the game as favorites, Tannehill could be forced to throw a fair deal. Similarly, he has a nice amount of rushing upside, as we saw last week in Houston, where he ran for 38 yards and 2 TDs versus the Texans. In fact, he’s actually scored 5 rushing TDs in his last 3, so could certainly find the end zone with his legs again this week. This Baltimore defense has been solid versus the pass, but it’s Tannehill’s threat in the run game that makes him an attractive choice here.
Marquise Brown ($8,800 Flex)
Tennessee’s defence has been woeful this year, especially versus WRs. They rank 2nd-worst in DKPTS and receptions per game, 3rd-worst in TDs to opposition wideouts, and 4th-worst in yards per game. Combine that with Brown’s sudden uptick in form over the last few weeks of the season, and this seems like a match made in heaven. He’s hit pay dirt in 5 of his last 6, and I expect him to score again on Sunday against this porous defence. If this game stays as competitive as the spread suggests it will, Jackson may still be asked to air it out a fair bit, and I like Brown’s matchup in this one.
Corey Davis ($8,000 Flex)
Another matchup I love this week is Corey Davis’, who look set to line up opposite Marcus Peters. Davis has been inconsistent this season however, so perhaps is more of a tournament play here. Despite this, he did go for 113 yards when these two sides met in Week 11, with 83 of those coming when he was being covered by Peters. This year, Peters is allowed a 62.8% catch rate in coverage, to go with 13 yards per reception. Davis is certainly viable here, perhaps as a pivot off A.J. Brown.
Gus Edwards ($4,400 Flex)
Again, to save some salary on this slate, Edwards is definitely a guy with some value. Whilst Dobbins is the clear RB1 in Baltimore, Edwards still sees his fair share of usage. In the last 5 weeks of the season, Dobbins saw 49.54% of offensive snaps, compared to Edwards’ 37.67%. Similarly, they seem to split usage in the red zone to, as in that same span, Dobbins has had 15 rushes within the 20-yard line, and Edwards, 13. Whilst Dobbins certainly has more upside here, I would not overlook Edwards in this one.
Justin Tucker ($3,800 Flex)
One of, if not the best kickers in NFL history should always be in play on a Ravens showdown slate. He’s almost guaranteed to hit 100% of his FGs, no matter how far or how much pressure he’s under. I would roster him into your line-ups with all the confidence in the world.
Cameron Batson ($200 Flex)
A real stab-in-the-dark, deep-tournament play here, but Batson is minimum priced, so only needs a catch or two to hit decent value. Brown and Davis are the only healthy wide receivers to have seen more snaps than him this year. So if you need a minimum price guy to be able to fit in all the studs, Batson looks like the most viable play.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2020 Showdown of Cleveland @Pittsburgh! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Tommy Gilligan – USA TODAY Sports