DraftKings SMF Showdown 2023 – Jacksonville @Buffalo

Another DraftKings showdown slate this time Jacksonville @Buffalo. The second UK game of the season, and should be a good one. Stadium is White Hart Lane, which tends to play a little faster than Wembley- so bare that in mind. O/U is 48.5 and the Bills are around a TD favorite.

DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Jacksonville @Buffalo Captain Picks

Josh Allen ($18,300 Capt/ $12,200 Flex)

Allen is an elite fantasy option in any game. Has massive upside with his arm talent, and rarely just duds out completely. Think he is the clear CPT choice here.

Stefon Diggs ($17,700 Capt/ $11,800 Flex)

Feels a little expensive, but this is a game that Diggs should really excel in. This secondary doesn’t really have the talent to deal with his route running, and he has only really struggled this season in the blowout game against the Raiders. Has a chance to outscore Allen too, nice pivot from Allen at CPT.

Christian Kirk ($9,900 Capt/ $6,600 Flex)

A Jaguars CPT play feels a little forced. But, if you want to go for one it feels like it has to be Kirk. Kirk is seeing plenty of targets which is great with DK’s PPR scoring. The pricing is great too, and allows you to slot in alot of the Bills studs.

DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Jacksonville @Buffalo Flex Picks

Trevor Lawrence ($11,000 Flex)

Lawrence has been priced up slightly from last week, but hard to really know why. Doesn’t really have a great ceiling, as he just moves the ball well and allows others to make the plays. Hard to justify the price tag with the other options on the slate here.

Calvin Ridley ($9,800 Flex)

Ridley has been good this season, but has disappeared on the field a little too. Last week, he only caught two passes, but one was for a score. Should be able to have a decent outing against this Bills secondary without Tre’Davious White. Could flop though with lack of targets in the offense- 11 of this season 28 targets came in the season opener.

Travis Etienne Jr. ($8,600 Flex)

Etienne should see plenty of work in this one. Had 20 carries last week against Atlanta, but couldn’t really get too much going. This week should be a bit easier for him if the Jaguars can get the ball moving through the air. With the number of touches and targets he gets, due to score a TD at some point.

James Cook ($8,400 Flex)

Cook seems to have staked a claim for the starting RB position, and despite seeing fewer touches, managed to get into the endzone. Only really going to be a worthwhile play if the game ends up being a competitive one.

Gabe Davis ($7,200 Flex)

Potential showdown wrecker. In any given game, Davis can make huge plays and put up points quickly. Really has to do that with minimal opportunity though, with Stefon Diggs getting a very heavy target share in the offense.

Evan Engram ($5,800 Flex)

Engram is getting a decent target share, with 29 of the team’s 143 (20%). Great floor with the target share. Isn’t getting the same usage in the redzone though, which limits his upside on the slate. A great option at the price though.

Zay Jones ($5,600 Flex)

Jones could play his first game since Week 1, after missing time through injury. Seen limited practices, which can give you some confidence he is healthy. As mentioned before, this secondary is without White, and Jones deep threat means he only needs to catch a few passes to have a big game. Nice pricing on the slate.

Dalton Kincaid ($5,000 Flex)

Kincaid is a great receiver, and has been seeing some targets. The thing is though, after you take out the targets for Diggs there isn’t a massive amount to go around. Knox has been Allen’s redzone weapon in the past few seasons too, which hurts Kincaid’s floor and ceiling. At the price, think I’ll look elsewhere (although I’ll take a few shares in GPPs)

Latavius Murray/ Damien Harris ($4,000/ $3,600 Flex)

Murray feels expensive on the slate, considering that he is only getting 4-5 touches on average in each game. Two TDs in the opening four weeks though, and it’ll take something like that (vulture TD) for him to get anywhere near value.

Harris is in a similar role to Murray, limited workload, but isn’t even getting the goal-line work. Going to need an injury to Cook to hit value here. Even then, could see him get vultured by Murray.

Dawson Knox ($3,800 Flex)

Knox has really seen his workload hit by the team bringing in Kincaid. Has redzone upside, and will need to fall into the endzone to hit value here. Feels like a bit of longshot to hit value, even at this price.

Tank Bigsby ($2,200 Flex)

Not seeing a massive workload in the offense, as shown by the pricing. Seems to be getting some work in the redzone though, so worth getting some exposure on the chance he scores again in this one.

Dart Throw Plays (Various)

Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:

  • Khalil Shakir (WR, BUF) $1,400 Flex – not making the WR3 role his own, despite being on the field a decent amount. I’d rather take a stab a cheaper option.
  • Deonte Harty (WR, BUF) $1,200 Flex – Harty is in the battle for the WR3 role for the Bills. Not alot of volume, and didn’t manage to get on the field for a large snap count last week.
  • Jamal Agnew (WR, JAX) $1,000 Flex – The return of Jones in the offense is going to limit Agnew to the WR4 role and returner duties. Has upside with his big-play ability, and could see slightly more snaps if Jones is eased back into action.
  • Trent Sherfield (WR, BUF) $800 Flex – In the WR3 for Bills dice-throw, Sherfield is my preferred option. Getting snaps, and cheapest. Definitely a punt option, with not alot of floor and his ceiling is probably not too much higher, unless he scores an unlikely TD.
  • Luke Farrell (TE, JAX) $200 Flex– no doubt that Engram is the starting TE and is dominating targets, but Farrell has been getting some work and could hit value on minimal work at the price.

My favored plays from the above are Sherfield, and Farrell as a real punt.

DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Jacksonville @Buffalo Kickers and DSTs

The kickers here have been great this season. Tyler Bass ($4,800) has scored double-digit points in 3 of his four games this season. The Bills offense gives him plenty of opportunity to kick, and with his leg talent and accuracy, he makes the most of them. Brandon McManus ($4,200) has double-digit games in 2 of his four games this season, including last week in Wembley. If the Jaguars stall on offense, he should be able to keep the scoreboard moving.

The Bills DST ($4,600) are missing some playmakers, but are a good real-life defense. But, with Lawrence’s ability to look after the ball, feels like they are going to be over-owned in the hopes that they do something like they did against Washington. The Jaguars DST ($3,200) aren’t a strong unit, but they have speedy players that can convert if given the opportunity. Would need Allen to have one of his huge turnover games for the Jaguars to hit value here.

So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of Jacksonville @Buffalo! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on TwitterFacebook, or Instagram.

Image Credit: Jasen Vinlove – USA TODAY Sports