Another DraftKings showdown slate this time Miami @Kansas City. An international game, being played in Germany (Frankfurt). There hasn’t been a game played there yet, so hard to know how the field plays. But, this game is expected to be a high-scoring shootout. The O/U for this one is the highest of the week at 51, with the Chiefs a slight favorite.
DraftKings SMF Showdown 2023 – Miami @Kansas City Captain Picks
Tyreek Hill ($18,000 Capt/ $12,000 Flex)
Hill faces off against the Chiefs, and is going to want to prove a point. Not sure if I really need to add too much more. Already has 1,014 yards and 8 TDs this season. 5 games with over 100 yards (one with 215 yards) and only failed to score in one game this season. Has a great chance to be the highest scorer on the slate. Easy (and popular) CPT choice on the slate.
Patrick Mahomes ($17,400 Capt/ $11,600 Flex)
Mahomes looked very average last week, as he just imploded against the Broncos. Has a decent chance to get right here in an international game against this poor Dolphins secondary. I could really see him having the type of performance he had against the Chargers here. His obvious stack, albeit expensive, would be with Travis Kelce. But, he spreads the ball around. You could even go for a lone Mahomes build with Dolphins pass-catchers to make up the rest of your lineup here.
Travis Kelce ($16,200 Capt/ $10,800 Flex)
Kelce is simply elite. Even against the Broncos last week, where the whole offense stalled had 6 receptions for 58 yards. Lead receiver in a Mahomes-led offense, and should see double-digit targets here. The Dolphins have given up 13.8 DKPts to the TE position this season, and really haven’t had to face an ‘elite’ one yet.
DraftKings SMF Showdown 2023 – Miami @Kansas City Flex Picks
Tua Tagovailoa ($10,400 Flex)
Tua could end up being the highest-scoring Dolphin on the slate, if he manages to get Hill and Jaylen Waddle moving with the ball. This matchup isn’t easy, but he is expected to put up points in a (projected) shootout. An expensive stack with Hill, but Tua is likely to need to throw the ball a chunk against this Chiefs secondary to keep up with Mahomes’ big arm.
Jaylen Waddle ($9,400 Flex)
Waddle doesn’t have the same ceiling as Hill (clearly) but with so much attention on Hill, Waddle could have a good game here. Had his best game of the season last week against the Patriots where he (marginally) outperformed Hill. At the price, he is a nice pivot from Hill and saves a little salary.
Isiah Pacheco ($8,600 Flex)
Pacheco really flamed out last week, as he only managed 40 yards on the ground and somehow managed to get -3 yards through the air. With Edwards-Helaire out, and Jerick McKinnon appearing on the injury report this week, Pacheco is in-line for alot of work. The Dolphins have given up an average of 19.4 DKPts to the position this season, and Andy Reid could lean on the run game if they can’t get success through the air.
Raheem Mostert ($7,800 Flex)
Mostert had been dealing with an injury, but lost that designation and should be a full go here. The Chiefs are a tough unit to run on though, only giving 17.6 DKPts to the position this season (26th in the league). The pricing is nice, but he is likely to need a TD to hit value in this game- especially if the Dolphins mix in Jeff Wilson some more.
Rashee Rice ($6,800 Flex)
The receivers for the Chiefs outside of Kelce are all in a bunch. But, there is a bit of a gap forming between Rice and the others on the roster. The pricing puts him into a bit of an odd zone, which might hurt his ownership. But, he feels like the safest ‘wide-receiver’ for the Chiefs.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($4,800 Flex)
MVS has made headlines this week, as his dogs have been hit by his international trip, but he has some GPP upside here. Not getting much play in the offense, with his best game this season being 5 targets. If he catches a long pass here, he hits. If he doesn’t you could be looking at one or two receptions for sub-30 yards.
Jerick McKinnon ($4,400 Flex)
McKinnon could see some more touches here, with CEH ruled out with illness. But, after appearing on the injury report himself, Pacheco is likely to take the vast majority of the work here. That being said, McKinnon has never been a volume player in this offense. Instead, he gets brought in near the goal-line and catches a target for a short gain and score. So, as with most of the Chiefs offense, could hit but there is almost a zero floor- even with DK’s PPR scoring.
Justin Watson ($1,400 Flex)
Watson is slightly more appealing than a dart-throw here. Been working as a deep-threat in the offense and averaging just under 22 yards per reception. Could have a decent game here against this Dolphins secondary- especially at this price tag.
Mecole Hardman ($1,000 Flex)
Hardman was brought back and really struggled last week against Denver, with a number of fumbled and botched kick returns. But, the team put him out there a decent amount, and they must’ve brought him back for a reason? Would need to get a TD most likely to hit value here, but with return duties and a gadget role, has a decent opportunity in a high-scoring game.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- Kadarius Toney (WR, KC) $3,800 Flex – Toney has constant upside on the field. But this season, it seems that all he is. Not had anything even close to a boom game this season. With his best yardage total being 35 way back in Week 2. Toney has only scored a single TD this season. Absolute dart-throw.
- Cedrick Wilson/ Braxton Berrios (WR, MIA) $3,400/ $2,000 Flex – These two are likely to split the WR3 role for the team. Wilson has been priced up after finding the endzone last week, but he has only had 10 targets this season. I’d prefer Berrios on the slate, with the saving he offers. Has double the number of targets in the offense, and working well out of the slot.
- Jeff Wilson (RB, MIA) $2,400 Flex – Wilson is an interesting play on the slate at the price. Had 5 rush attempts and 2 targets last week, which is promising. Mostert still seems to be the lead back for the team, but Wilson has found the endzone plenty of times in his career and could hit value relatively easy at this price.
- Skyy Moore (WR, KC) $1,800 Flex – Moore has been getting out on the field, but that hasn’t really translated to targets (and production). Hasn’t had more than 40 yards since the victory over Chicago in Week 3. Infact, his Week 2 and Week 3 stats represent a massive majority of his production for the season.
- Chase Claypool (WR, MIA) $1,600 Flex – Got his first involvement in a Miami unifrom last week, with 2 targets in a comfortable victory over the Patriots. There isn’t alot of targets after the pieces ahead of him in the depth chart have had theirs, but I’m going to consider him in this offense. There will be a game where he has 2 catches for 20 yards and 2 scores with his size and speed near the goal-line.
- Salvon Ahmed (RB, MIA) $1,200 Flex – Really restricted to a pass-catching role in the offense. Would need an injury to Mostert/ Wilson to have any chance of hitting value.
- Durham Smythe (TE, MIA) $800 Flex – The starting TE for the Dolphins, but as you can see in his price, not getting alot of work in the offense. Only has 19 targets on the season. With Chase Claypool as a big-body near the goal-line, could struggle to get endzone looks wth the other pieces on this roster.
- Noah Grey (TE, KC) $600 Flex – I kinda love Grey on the slate with the pricing. Has seen a few targets in the offense, with his only game of one happening against the Chargers. If Kelce were to struggle at all, or get injured, Grey is in-line for a decent workload. Even if he doesn’t, really can hit value on minimal work at this price- saving plenty to use elsewhere.
My favored play is Moore. Min-price helps that alot, freeing up salary to use elsewhere and decent involvement in the offense this season.
DraftKings SMF Showdown 2023 – Miami @Kansas City Kickers and DSTs
Kickers continue to have good value on these slates, but they are starting to be priced up. In this one both kickers are over $5k, which definitely starts to be a pain point. Jason Sanders ($5,400) has been decent this season, but has missed a few kicks this season. Missed 2 FGs, both from long-range and a PAT. The issue is that Miami haven’t needed him to hit FGs this season, with only 9 attempts this season. Harrison Butker ($5,200) is the cheaper play and I prefer him on the slate as a result. The Chiefs kicker hasn’t missed a kick all season, hitting all 18 of his FGs and 19 PATs.
Although it’s a high-scoring game, the DSTs have some appeal, given their price-tags. Dolphins DST ($3,200) will have Jalen Ramsey making his second start, after getting an INT in his first game back from injury. The Dolphins pass-rush has been decent too, with 27 sacks this season. We saw last week Mahomes isn’t immune from feeling the pressure. While I don’t expect a repeat of that performance, they have playmakers that could make big plays. The Chiefs DST ($3,000) are my preferred unit in this game. Have the ability to have fantasy production, even if they give up points in the game. Managed to get after the passer and force turnovers this season, and we’ve seen Tua struggle at times in this offense.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of Miami @Kansas City! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Rich Storry – USA TODAY Sports