Finishing off another Sunday of the 2022 season (and the last one of the regular season)- the DraftKings showdown, Detroit @Green Bay. This game could end up being an ‘win-and-in’ but relies on Seattle losing to the Rams for any chance of Detroit to have a chance.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Detroit @Green Bay Captain Picks
Aaron Jones ($15,000 Capt/ $10,000 Flex)
Jones has been getting out-snapped by Dillon recently, but he is looking the more effective back for the Packers. Jones has been getting usage on the ground and through the air, really been doing it all. The reason it might not feel that he has been overly dominant is he has struggled to get into the endzone.
Jared Goff ($14,400 Capt/ $9,600 Flex)
One thing is nearly guaranteed when the Lions play- they score points, and Goff throws the ball alot. Has a good opportunity to be the highest-scoring player in the game with multiple TDs (who doesn’t love a TD to a backup TE!). With how he has played this season, you can still play the Packers DST and feel ok about it.
Allen Lazard ($11,100 Capt/ $7,400 Flex)
Lazard hasn’t really done too much this season, despite leading the team in targets. His size gives him a real advantage though, and Rodgers surely takes advantage of that at some point (and if it is going to happen, it has to happen now). Had one of his better games against the Lions earlier in the season. The worry will be if the Packers just run the ball in this one and don’t have too much volume through the air as a result.
DJ Chark ($8,700 Capt/ $5,800 Flex)
The ‘cheap CPT play for multiple studs’ play is Chark. Has shown his speed, with some big games in the offense- albeit only one 100+ yard game this season. Going to face secondary coverage as the Packers look to limit St. Brown through the air.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Detroit @Green Bay Flex Picks
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($11,000 Flex)
St. Brown is among the safest players on the slate, with double-digit targets a real possibility. The team are going to need to keep him moving around the formation to avoid Alexander and Douglas on the outside. With the attention he is going to get I’m not a fan of him as a CPT, but he is a great flex play here.
Aaron Rodgers ($10,400 Flex)
There used to be a time where you’d slot Rodgers in your CPT spot, and work it out from there. In this offense though, Rodgers isn’t hitting those previous highs. Hasn’t had a single week where he has thrown for more than 255 yards with the exception of his 291 yard performance against the………Lions. I’ll have him in the flex a decent amount combined with the Packers receivers
Christian Watson ($9,000 Flex)
Watson has speed and been developing good chemistry with Rodgers. The secondary for the Lions didn’t face Watson earlier in the season, as he missed the game through injury, and that is the concern with Watson- durability. If the Packers end up feeling comfortable in the game, he is going to be one of the first ones they pull off the field. I prefer the discount on Lazard.
D’Andre Swift/ Jamaal Williams($7,600/ $7,000 Flex)
The Packers defensive line has struggled against RBs for what feels like forever, bringing both of these into play. Swift being priced above Williams is a little confusing, given how they have split the workload. Has only had double-digit touches (carries and receptions) six times this season, with some real duds thrown in. Doesn’t have the same TD equity that Williams does though.
Williams, on the other hand, has all the TD equity with 15 scores this season. The chance to have a big game on the ground against his former team and divisional rivals? Feels like he is the better play given the volume he gets in the offense (and cheaper!?).
AJ Dillon ($6,800 Flex)
Dillon is getting on the field, but hasn’t been getting the ball as he has been used in pass coverage as a blocker. The Packers have been splitting carries between Dillon and Jones, but Dillon has struggled with production and isn’t getting the targets in the offense either. Could become a nice volume play if the Packers pull Jones. If he does split with Jones, is going to need a TD to hit value here.
Romeo Doubs ($5,200 Flex)
Doubs is in a timeshare with Cobb was the WR3 in the offense with Watson back from injury, shown in his price. Hasn’t done anything of note since returning from injury with a total of 11 receptions for a total of 111 yards from 3 games. Is really going to need to get in the endzone to hit value here.
Robert Tonyan ($5,000 Flex)
Tonyan really hasn’t done all that much consistently for fantasy, but somehow finds himself fourth on the Packers team in targets, and third in receptions. Despite that, he is hard to really play on this slate at the price. Has only scored 2 TDs this season, and only two games where he has had over 50 yards. I’ll still have some shares, as he has shown his redzone connection with Rodgers in previous seasons, but don’t go crazy.
Randall Cobb ($3,600 Flex)
Cobb is the odd man out for the Packers receivers now, with other players returning to health. He is on the field a decent amount, around 50% since Week 11, but not getting targets in the offense with just 4 in his last two games. If he finds himself in the endzone he will smash value, but I’d prefer the play of Wright on the slate (below).
Brock Wright ($3,000 Flex)
Wright is the starting TE for the Lions, a position that the Lions have strongly targetted in the past few weeks, with 5 TDs thrown to their TEs in the past two weeks. Wright doesn’t really have much of a floor, with just 23 targets on the season. But, with the way the team have been targeting the position in the redzone, a nice upside piece.
Jameson Williams ($2,400 Flex)
Williams usage is going to be interesting here. Had his highest snap count of the season last week against the Bears, and got a rush for 40 yards. But he really isn’t much of a factor in the passing game yet, with just a single catch on the season (a 41-yard TD in Week 14). If this game has consequence, we could see him on the field a decent amount.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Detroit @Green Bay Kickers and DSTs
The kickers are both very much in play here. Michael Badgley ($4,000) has been playing well this season, with 18 FGs from 21 attempts, and kicking all 31 of his PATs. The Lions have needed to lean on him to convert when the offense has stalled out, and that could happen here against this strong Packers defense. At the price, and expected volume of attempts, Badgley is a nice play. In recent weeks, Mason Crosby ($4,200) has been called upon alot more, with around half of his total FG attempts coming in the 5 games since Week 12. Crosby’s leg power was shown last week too, as he sunk a 56-yard kick. If the running game can’t move the ball consistently, Crosby could be brought out to keep the scoreboard moving.
There is some value to both defenses here too. Lions DST ($3,400) did well when these teams met previously, getting 3 INTs from Aaron Rodgers. Detroit are also looking like they are coming together as a unit, with James Houston and Aidan Hutchinson both getting to the QB effectively. The thing that gives me pause is I’m not sure we see that many turnovers from Rodgers again. The Packers are running the ball effectively, and Rodgers has only thrown that many INTs 5 times in his career. With the playmakers that they have, I do like the Packers DST ($3,800). Playing at home, and in a rich vein of form, forcing 8 turnovers and 4 sacks in their last 2 games. The kick-returning ability of Keisean Nixon too, always leaves the potential of a special teams score.
Image Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports