Finishing off another Sunday of the 2022 season- Green Bay @Buffalo and the DraftKings showdown slate. The Packers offense feels like it has been stalling all season, especially through the air. I’m not really holding out too much hope for them in this one against a tough Bills defense, who play at home. The Bills offense has been firing, torching teams through the air. The Packers defense have been effective this season, but they really haven’t faced an offense as effective as the Bills. As a result, I’m looking to load up on Bills, with different shots on Packers in lineups.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Green Bay @Buffalo Captain Picks
Josh Allen ($18,300 Capt/ $12,200 Flex)
The question at CPT for me is trying to get the right Buffalo player in the slot. Allen is set to smash on the slate against this Packers defense. The front has been able to put pressure on the QB, but their secondary has really struggled. With Allen’s dual-threat we should see him able to run it when under threat, and air it deep when it’s on. A popular CPT choice for the field, but with great reason.
Stefon Diggs ($17,700 Capt/ $11,800 Flex)
Diggs has been great this season, with a healthy target share and production with it. I mean he is averaging around 8 receptions a game for just under 110 yards a game and a TD. If you aren’t opting for Allen in your CPT spot, then for me it has to be Diggs. There are going to be worries about if the team shadows Diggs with Jaire Alexander, but Diggs has been moved around plenty in the offense, which should limit that impact.
Gabriel Davis ($12,600 Capt/ $8,400 Flex)
Davis is a little bit more boom or bust than Diggs, but still worthy of CPT consideration as a pivot to Diggs. If the Packers go all in on trying to contain Diggs, it is going to mean that Davis is going to be able to carve it up deep. Could end up with a stat line as he did against the Steelers, where he caught 3 passes for 171 yards and 2 TDs.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Green Bay @Buffalo Flex Picks
Aaron Jones ($10,400 Flex)
If the Packers are going to get anything out of this game, then the team are going to need to try and control the clock and establish the run. As a result, Jones should see plenty of touches in this one. With how Jones has been running, and with the work he has been getting in the receiving game, Jones has a decent floor- but needs to find the endzone if he is going to hit value.
Aaron Rodgers ($9,800 Flex)
I’m going to be really underweight with Rodgers in my lineups. Rodgers has really struggled this season to really make the same impact for fantasy he has in previous seasons. He is still Aaron Rodgers so it’s hard to completely discount him, but with his struggles against lesser defenses, it’s hard to really feel confident with him in this one.
Devin Singletary ($7,200 Flex)
Singletary has really stepped up in the backfield, leading the backfield in touches with 4.5 YPC too. The Packers defense have long struggled against the run, which should give Singletary plenty of touches. If he manages to score his first TD of the season on the ground, which is entirely possible, then he is going to hit value.
Robert Tonyan ($6,200 Flex)
Tonyan feels expensive, given the other receiving options the team has at receiver (where they feel incredibly cheap). If he gets targets, then he has upside in this offense as one of the few receivers that has established rapport in the offense with Rodgers. A big-body receiver who has a history of use in the redzone for the Packers.
Isaiah McKenzie ($5,600 Flex)
McKenzie is the WR3 in the offense, but he is getting important targets in the offense. The volume of pass attempts in the offense has allowed him a decent target share, and has had a great strike rate with 3 TDs with his 26 targets for 17 receptions. Struggled against the Chiefs before the bye week, has sneaky appeal on the slate as a pivot away from the main Bills receivers.
Dawson Knox ($5,200 Flex)
Knox isn’t the TD heavy player he was last season. Instead, he has been struggling to make the same impact. To put it another way, by this point last season, Knox had caught 5 TDs with some decent individual yardage totals. This season, he has only managed to catch 15 passes for 148 yards and a single score. The Packers have defended the TE position effectively this season too. I prefer McKenzie, who has a similar cost but with a better outlook.
AJ Dillon ($4,200 Flex)
Dillon started the season as a potential flex play, but has really fallen off as the Packers have struggled to move the ball. Aaron Jones instead has been getting the majority of carries in the offense. The gameplan for the Packers has to be to establish the run, so if Jones struggles, then Dillon is likely to see some opportunities in this one. The thing that hurts him is his lack of involvement through the air.
Romeo Doubs ($4,000 Flex)
I really don’t understand the pricing here. Allen Lazard is unlikely to play in this one, which makes Doubs the lead receiver in the offense. This feels like an every-lineup type of selection. If he scores a TD (on a busted coverage, or just converts a reception) then he is going to hit value, and allows you to stack in a lot of talent elsewhere.
Sammy Watkins ($2,600 Flex)
Watkins is another cheap play that lets you do alot elsewhere. The pricing again is strange given the lack of available WRs. Watkins is likely to be on the field for the whole game, and returned to action last week after a long time out with 4 targets. WIth Allen Lazard likely out of the contest, there should be more targets to go around.
Christian Watson ($1,400 Flex)
The pricetag is a massive appeal. With Allen Lazard set to miss the game, the Packers receivers are going to see more targets in the offense. Watson managed to get in limited practice this week, so should be involved albeit in WR-heavy sets only. With his speed, Watson has the ability to create big plays. If he manages one then he is going to immediately hit value as a sneaky upside option.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Green Bay @Buffalo Kickers and DSTs
The Bills DST ($5,400) has been solid all year, with playmakers at each level of the defense. The protection that Rodgers has been getting isn’t to the same level as in previous seasons, with an average of just over 2 sacks per game. Rodgers has also coughed the ball up to the defense, with 3 INTs and 6 fumbles so far this season. As a result, the Bills have a decent appeal in this one. The Packers DST ($3,400) are priced significantly cheaper, but with good reason. The Bills offense are going to be putting their stamp on the game, unless the Packers force a turnover they return for a score I really can’t see them paying off.
The kickers in this one, I’m not as sold on as with other slate this season. Tyler Bass ($4,600) has been great this season, he just hasn’t needed to settle for FGs this season with the ability of the Bills to convert to TDs instead of going for 3 points. Against the Packers secondary, it’s hard to think that the Bills stall out too often in this one. Mason Crosby ($4,400) could see some action early, as the Packers try to put together points early. I just don’t know if the Packers are going to be happy to settle for FGs very often in this one.
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