Finishing off another Sunday of the 2022 season- Indianapolis @Dallas and the DraftKings showdown slate. The O/U in this one is set at 44.5 points, with Dallas currently a 10.5-point favorite. A lot of that margin is down to the strength of this pass rush. Matt Ryan could legitimately score next to nothing if the Dallas pass rush is successful in bringing the heat. I think my main strategy will be split between the DAL DST and RBs, and some lineups with some Colts receivers, assuming Ryan stays vertical.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Indianapolis @Dallas Captain Picks
Dak Prescott ($15,300 Capt/ $10,200 Flex)
Prescott is a nice CPT option on the slate. I can see the field looking to the headline talent of CeeDee Lamb, or one of the RBs, which leaves Prescott under-owned. If Prescott can avoid turning the ball over, he should be able to put up one of the highest (possibly the highest) scores on the slate. If the defense really manages to do things though, he could struggle.
Ezekiel Elliott ($11,700 Capt/ $7,800 Flex)
Elliott is a nice cheap pivot for the CPT spot. Tony Pollard is the guy that’s making the headlines and highlight reels, but the team still look to Elliott to convert short-yardage situations, including at the goal-line. Elliott has multi-TD upside, but allows you a nice (cheap) pivot from the field, giving you plenty of salary savings to use elsewhere.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Indianapolis @Dallas Flex Picks
CeeDee Lamb ($10,800 Flex)
Lamb is a massive target hog in the offense, and with his ability that could well mean that he hits value here, but with the ability of the Colts secondary and the price tag, I prefer him in the flex. I will have CPT shares, but you really need to make allowances further down your lineup with him.
Jonathan Taylor ($10,000 Flex)
Taylor is hugely important for the offense with an average of around 22 carries on the ground which gives him a nice floor. His recent involvement in the passing game too, helps him with DK’s scoring. I can’t discount him, but this is a really tough matchup with the Dallas defensive line being one of the best units in the league. Flex play with the pricetag.
Michael Pittman ($9,600 Flex)
Pittman has the ability to put up a big score, he just needs the Colts to be forced to throw the ball. In this game, I can see that happening, given the strength of the Dallas defensive line. That is going to mean more passing volume, and more targets for Pittman. A personal matchup against Trevon Diggs shouldn’t hurt him too much either, with a decent height advantage.
Matt Ryan ($9,200 Flex)
Ryan has volume, averaging 39 pass attempts on the season, but not alot of production to back that up. He hasn’t thrown for multiple TDs in 7 games and has only gone for more than 300 yards once. If you CPT Pittman then a pairing with Ryan is a nice play, but outside of that I’m not interested- there isn’t enough upside for me.
Tony Pollard ($8,200 Flex)
Pollard is going to be popular on the slate, he has the highlight reel to pop. The thing is while he is getting used on the ground and through the air, he doesn’t have a reliable TD floor. When the team get closer to the goal-line, they bring Elliott in to convert. His involvement in the passing game helps him with his floor, which is great. But he is going to need several big-plays to hit value here, against this effective defense, that’s a tough ask.
Michael Gallup ($6,400 Flex)
Gallup is dealing with illness, but is expected to play here. Hasn’t had a big game this season after returning from his ACL injury. He has the potential each week to break the slate, but realistically, he would need Lamb to be limited in some way to get the targets he needs.
Dalton Schultz ($5,800 Flex)
Schultz has a decent floor in this one. His involvement in the offense isn’t huge, but he is averaging 6 targets a game when Dak Prescott is throwing the ball. The Colts defense is a decent unit, but have still given up 11.8 DKPts on average to the position. Nice mid-value selection, especially in cash.
Parris Campbell ($5,200 Flex)
Campbell didn’t live up to the expectations I had for him last time out, as Pittman dominated the aerial production. I’m hoping that turns off people for this week, as I’m still on him with the way that the Colts are going to need to attack this game.
Noah Brown ($4,800 Flex)
Brown normally wouldn’t get much consideration for me, but Gallup has been struggling with illness so could see limited work in this one. Hasn’t done all that much since the start of the season when Gallup was unavailable. Could be a nice sneaky play on the slate here.
Jelani Woods/ Kylen Granson/ Mo Alie-Cox ($4,200/ $2,800/ $800 Flex)
This Colts TE carousel is one of those things that can really win you a week if you get the right guy. Woods had a great game last week, catching 8 passes for 98 yards. Outside of that game though, he hasn’t really seen much usage at all. Had a 2 TD game in Week 3, but since then has one scored double digits in Week 6 against the Jags.
Granson has been getting decent usage in the offense, and is actually the only one of the trio that hasn’t had that multi-TD game. I don’t know if that’s going to come in this one either, with the team only giving up 1 TD to the position all season. Probably my favored selection of this group.
Alie-Cox is cheap and with his performances, in recent weeks you can see why. Has TOTALLED 6 receptions for 48 yards since Week 5. Getting on the field, which is nice and you don’t need much from him at the price, but I can’t see myself opting for him on the slate.
Alec Pierce ($3,800 Flex)
Pierce has become the third receiving option in the offense, behind Pittman and Campbell. Feels very cheap on this slate, as we have seen him have a good week with DK’s PPR scoring. Could dud, as he has in the last three weeks, but this slate doesn’t have too many appealing options for less.
Jake Ferguson ($2,200 Flex)
Ferguson is my line in the slate. Below him, you are really forcing yourself to make a selection, but need alot to go your way really. Ferguson has popped in some weeks, with a 4 catch, 40 yards, and a TD in Week 6 and his 3 catch 57-yard performance last time out. I’m not expecting too much, but think Ferguson offers a nice cheap pivot from other options on the slate.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2022 – Indianapolis @Dallas Kickers and DSTs
Both kickers are definitely in play, simply because after them there really aren’t many options you can bank point on. Brett Maher ($4,400) has an impressive leg and has been given the opportunity to kick the ball when this offense has struggled to keep the chains moving. I’m expecting him to be more highly owned of the two. Chase McLaughlin ($4,000) has been needed plenty of times this season on a team that has really struggled to move the ball. The question mark for me is whether this team manage to get Taylor moving the ball. If he has some success then McLaughlin could be the highest-scoring Colt on the slate. If the running game can’t do anything, we could be looking at a dud.
I don’t know if I can remember a gap this wide between two DSTs. The Cowboys DST ($6,200) are priced highly, and it’s obvious to see why. This is going to be a long day for veteran Matt Ryan who has been sacked 32 times in 10 games, and turned the ball over 24 times. When you then consider the strength of this defensive front, we could see plenty of points for them in this one. I don’t even hate it if you slot them in the CPT spot. The Colts DST ($3,200) is a real-life good unit, but that doesn’t always translate to fantasy. With the strength of the Cowboys offense too, I’m not going to have too many shares here.
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Image Credit: Jerome Miron – USA TODAY Sports
