Another 2023 DraftKings showdown slate this time Buffalo @Cincinnati. This is going to be an interesting game to see who puts their hand up to be a challenger in the AFC. The Bengals offense really struggled to start the season, but there have been signs that things are starting to get back on track. The O/U here is set at 48.5, with the Bengals favored by a FG.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Buffalo @Cincinnati Captain Picks
Stefon Diggs ($16,500 Capt/ $11,000 Flex)
Diggs is just getting so much volume this season. Has 90 targets this season, and has been doing well with them too. With DK’s PPR scoring, and bonus for 100+ yard game he is a great play against this Bengals secondary. Only thing to really consider is that to stack Allen and Diggs, you are going to need to take a few more shots to fit both in your lineup.
Ja’Marr Chase ($16,200 Capt/ $10,800 Flex)
As important to the Bengals offense as Diggs is for Buffalo. Has a great relationship with Joe Burrow, and is constantly given targets in this offense. Has had at least 8 targets in every game this season, but typically getting double-digits. Should be able to have his way against this Bills secondary. No-brainer flex play if you don’t put him in your CPT slot.
Dalton Kincaid ($10,200 Capt/ $6,800 Flex)
Kincaid is a sneaky CPT play on the slate. Getting more involved in the offense, with 15 targets in his last two games. The Bengals are definitely a team to target for the TE position too, as they have given up a league-high 16.1 DKPts to the position this season. Playing him as a CPT frees up alot of salary to use elsewhere too.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Buffalo @Cincinnati Flex Picks
Josh Allen ($11,400 Flex)
Just behind CPT consideration for me on this slate. Has great upside with his arm talent and dual-threat on the ground. Has scored multiple TDs through the air in all but two of his games, and hit the 300+ yardage bonus total in 3 games. The Bengals secondary just allowed Brock Purdy (without Deebo Samuel) to throw for 365 yards. If Allen can put together a strong showing through the air, he could really hit value here (and make me look foolish for not having him as a CPT play)
Joe Burrow ($10,200 Flex)
Burrow started the season out slowly, but seems to be more like the version we saw in previous seasons over the last three weeks. Has multiple TDs through the the air in each of his three games. The Bills defense has been rough for QBs this season though, only allowing 13.8 DKPts on average this season. With a lack of rushing upside too, hard for him to hit value for me- unless this Bills defense just implodes.
Joe Mixon ($8,000 Flex)
Mixon is a nice volume play on the slate. The Bills defense have allowed 24.6 DKPts to the position this season, and could be overlooked as the field look to target the passing game here. Mixon gets plenty of carries on the ground, with usage in the passing game too. With a lack of a ‘TD-vulture’ for the Bengals too, has good TD upside too.
Gabriel Davis ($7,400 Flex)
Davis is the showdown-wrecker. And that can be either way. Has a ceiling unlike many on the slate, with some scoring 60+ yardage games, but could flame out with a single 6 yard reception too. Has had that once-a-season 150-yard and multiple-TD game. You have to have some lineups with him in, but really only roll the dice in GPPs.
Tee Higgins ($6,600 Flex)
Higgins has been quiet this season, with the exception of his Week 2 performance against the Ravens where he caught 8 of his 12 targets for 89 yards and 2 scores. Looked better last week, with 5 catches for 69 yards as he recovers from injury. Could make the argument to make him a cheap CPT play, with his ability and importance in this offense.
James Cook ($6,200 Flex)
Cook is the lead-back for the Bills (at least he is the one given carries first). But its really hard to fully trust him here against the Bengals. Doesn’t get into the endzone enough, with just one rush and one receiving TD this season. With the team happy to bring Latavius Murray in for the redzone, and the constant vulture threat of Allen, doesn’t have a massive amount of upside.
Tyler Boyd ($5,400 Flex)
With the struggles of Higgins this season, Boyd is second on the team in targets, receptions and yardage totals. Scored in each of his last two games, and gets a decent number of checkdowns- which is fine for DK’s PPR scoring. With Higgins a full-go, Boyd should see his ownership decrease which gives him a bit more appeal here.
Khalil Shakir ($3,400 Flex)
Shakir seems to be creating a gap between him and the other receivers vying for the WR3 role for the Bills. Had a great time last time out, catching all six of his targets for 92 yards. Was on the field far more often, with the Bills running less two-TE sets with Dawson Knox ruled out.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- Trayveon Williams (RB, CIN) $4,600 Flex – This pricing is crazy. Williams has only touched the ball 11 times this season! Would need a Mixon injury to have any value on the slate. But, as we have seen this season, that can happen.
- Latavius Murray (RB, BUF) $2,600 Flex – The long-term value of Murray has to have taken a huge hit with Fournette being brought into the facility. Murray has value as a TD-vulture for the Bills for the time being, but the clock is ticking.
- Irv Smith Jr (TE, CIN) $1,600 Flex – Smith hasn’t really panned out the way I thought it might during the offseason. Has his best game of the season last week, but it was still just four catches for 25 yards. With the team bringing Tanner Hudson off the practice squad, Smith is going to need to score his first TD since Week 6 of the 2022 season.
- Trenton Irwin (WR, CIN) $800 Flex – Irwin seems to keep popping up as the WR4 for the team. Only gets a few targets in a game, but seems to be the trusted depth player if one of the starters goes down. I’ll quickly mention Andrei Iosivas ($1,000) who has scored in each of the past two weeks. Not likely to see much action with Higgins looking back to full fitness, and at some point not every catch can be a TD.
- Trent Sherfield/ Deonte Harty (WR, BUF) $400/ $200 Flex – Neither of these players are really putting their hand up as the WR4 here. Sherfield has only had 2 targets in the last four games for the Bills, and Harty isn’t seeing much more (4 targets in his last four games).
- Tanner Hudson (TE, CIN) $1,600 Flex – Hudson was signed from the practice squad this week, and has been looking like a decent TE for the Bengals. Min-price really means he doesn’t have to do much of anything to hit value, and he is getting a few targets in each game.
My favorite plays from the above are Irwin/ Hudson. This slate feels like the cheaper dart throws have just as much chance of doing anything as any other, and the cheaper tag allows for more elite options to be rostered.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Buffalo @Cincinnati Kickers and DSTs
DraftKings continues to bring the kickers cost up. Tyler Bass ($5,200) was only called upon once (for a FG attempt) last week, and slotted it. Hasn’t really seen the field all that much this season though, with 14 attempts in total this season. Feels like a nice play on the slate though, as the Bengals offense are a decent ‘bend-don’t break’ defense. Evan McPherson ($4,800) has almost identical stats as Bass, although significantly fewer PAT attempts (as the Bengals have struggled to score TDs). Should get a good number of attempts here, and as the cheaper play and playing at home, my preferred kicker option.
The defenses have decent punt appeal here. The Bills DST ($4,200) are priced up higher than the Bengals, with their pass-rush able to get after the QB consistently. That pressure can lead to errand passes too with 8 INTs this season too. Can take over a game though, if they are given the opportunity. The Bengals DST ($3,800) are rightly cheaper, with their pass-rush a little inconsistent this season. They do have playmakers though, with 10 INTs this season. We have seen from Allen that he isn’t immune from turning the ball over either. Sneaky play that could pay off.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of Buffalo @Cincinnati! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Rich Barnes – USA TODAY Sports