Another 2023 DraftKings showdown slate this time Buffalo @Miami. Plenty on the line still in this one. To start the day, the outcomes for the Bills could have been the #2 seed, or elimination from the playoffs. With the early slate finishing, now it’ll be if they win the division or not. The Dolphins come into this one extremely hobbled, with injuries all over the field. The O/U is around 48 points, with the Bills favored by around a FG.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Buffalo @Miami Captain Picks
Josh Allen ($16,500 Capt/ $11,000 Flex)
Allen is my favorite CPT selection on the slate. Has a great floor with the way the Bills throw the ball, and his rushing workload. And his goaline work gives him a fantastic ceiling. Towards the start of the season, Allen threw for over 300 yards and had 4 TDs through the air, with another on the ground.
Stefon Diggs ($15,300 Capt/ $10,200 Flex)
Diggs used to be the automatic pivot from Allen as CPT on the slate, but has struggled in the second half of the season. But, in a game where the Bills need a result, he has a good opportunity to bounce back here against the Dolphins secondary. The game early this season he was ELITE, with his best game this season. Has decent upside here.
De’Von Achane ($13,500 Capt/ $9,000 Flex)
Achane should be the starter here, with Mostert ruled out. Should get plenty of volume here, which makes him interesting. Has big-play ability, and had over 100 yards last week in a game the Dolphins were crushed in. With his ability in the passing game too, shouldn’t really be off the field too much.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Buffalo @Miami Flex Picks
Tyreek Hill ($11,200 Flex)
Hill could burn me here, but I’m looking at him as a flex option instead of a CPT. With Waddle out, he is the only ‘real’ receiver for the Dolphins. As a result, I could see the Bills just trying to eliminate him downfield with double-teams all day and force Tua to go elsewhere. If the Dolphins do get a result, then you need to be putting Hill in your lineups (probably as a CPT). The pricing mainly hurts your builds though.
Tua Tagovailoa ($10,000 Flex)
Tua has some appeal, but with Hill slightly out of my CPT consideration, and the lack of receiving options, it limits his appeal on the slate. The way to look at it, if you are going for Hill as your CPT it’ll most likely mean stacking with Tua. If you aren’t, then it’s hard to put him in your flex.
James Cook ($8,000 Flex)
Cook has been great for the Bills down the stretch. Getting plenty of volume on the ground, with decent usage through the air. And has been able to find the endzone too. His ceiling is a little limited with Allen’s redzone involvement but has a decent floor here.
Gabe Davis ($7,000 Flex)
Davis playing in a primetime game towards the end of the season? It’s going to be a huge game or a dud here. Almost feels like I’ll go for CPT selection, or nothing to match his ceiling/ floor combo. Decent pricing though in case there is a middling game as a flex option
Dalton Kincaid ($6,200 Flex)
Kincaid had a decent game last week, after a stretch of five games where he didn’t have over 50 yards through the air. An important part of the offense, second on the team in targets, he should see decent volume in a game that the Bills are going to need to pass it in. If he finds the endzone here he will smash here.
Khalil Shakir ($5,200 Flex)
Shakir is a nice flex option as the WR3 for the Bills. The team are going to be throwing the ball often, which should give him a decent floor in this game. The real variable is how effective he is with that volume. Has the ability to break off a reception for a big gain, could also end up with a minimal yardage total- where he would need to find the endzone. Think there are better options on the slate though.
Cedrick Wilson ($4,400 Flex)
Wilson is likely to be a popular play on the slate at this pricing. With Waddle out, he is likely to be the WR2 here. Didn’t make an impact last week with the same opportunity, but the offense overall struggled. A great value selection on the slate.
Jeff Wilson ($3,200 Flex)
Wilson is going to be the RB2 with Mostert ruled out. Only had 3 carries and 3 receptions last week in a game where the Dolphins struggled to be productive on offense. Assuming the Dolphins don’t have a repeat, Wilson should see more work here. Should hit value here at this price, if he finds the endzone, he would crush here.
Durham Smythe ($3,000 Flex)
Smythe has had back-to-back strong games, with over 50 yards in both of them. Hasn’t failed to catch a target that has come his way in his last three games. The Dolphins don’t have lots of passing options this week, and at this price, you can get plenty of the studs in your lineup.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- Braxton Berrios (WR, MIA) $2,600 Flex – Waddle being out puts Berrios in as the likely WR3 for Miami. That should lead to a few more targets from him. Ceiling is a little low overall though, with his role in the offense, unless he finds the endzone.
- Latavius Murray (RB, BUF) $2,200 Flex – Backup RB who has vultured some TDs this season. Don’t really know why they use him the way they do though. If the team continue to rotate in Johnson too, then he is going to have an even lower floor previously.
- Dawson Knox (TE, BUF) $2,000 Flex – Knox is getting on the field, but isn’t getting the targets with Kincaid a far more effective receiver. With his size, redzone ability, and snap count he could find the endzone. If he does, he’ll be great here. Otherwise, will struggle to hit anything close to value.
- Ty Johnson (RB, BUF) $1,400 Flex – Got some carries last week, cutting into Murray’s role. Not sure that continues here, but if it does, he could be a sneaky value here. (Although far more likely to dud)
- Robbie Chosen/ Chase Claypool (WR, MIA) $600/ $200 Flex – I’m not really interested in River Cracraft ($800). Simply don’t think there is enough volume to get him to hit value- even at that price. Chosen should be active here, with Waddle ruled out, and has shown he is still a deep threat. Claypool is running out of time to catch the 2TDs for two yards I thought he’d get at some point this season. He has ability in the redzone, so could flop in for a score. Most likely duds, but if he does manage to do something you have a min-price option that is going to have little ownership.
- Alec Ingold (RB, MIA) $200 Flex – Ingold has had four targets in his last two games. Also had a few earlier this season. Could pop up with some usage here. If that comes near the goalline, he could score and unlock the slate.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Buffalo @Miami Kickers and DSTs
The kickers here are both viable. Jason Sanders ($5,000) has been accurate all season, with his misses coming from long-range. The issue for him has been volume of attempts, with 28 on the season. Has been getting more in the second half of the season, with 13 in his last four games. Needs the offense to keep up to keep that volume here though. Tyler Bass ($4,800) has been solid this season, with 24 of 29 FG attempts. With how the Bills have consistently managed to move the ball this season, he isn’t needed all that much. With the injuries Miami has in defense, I’m not sure how many stops they’ll be able to make.
As you might guess, I’m not looking to have the Dolphins DST ($4,000) on many (any?) lineups. They just lack playmakers with how many injuries they have. You’ll need to catch lightning in a bottle and have them force a turnover for a score. The Bills DST ($3,800) on the other hand I love here. The Dolphins are missing players all over the field, and the defense has playmakers at each level. They are a potential sneaky CPT play on a GPP lineup too.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of Buffalo @Miami! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Rich Barnes – USA TODAY Sports