Another 2023 DraftKings showdown slate this time Houston @Indianapolis. Both teams have a chance to make the playoffs with a win. Feel like this one is going to be down to how Houston starts the game. Think they will try and get out to a lead early, and then protect it. Even with the injuries on offense, the Texans have put up points consistently. As a result, I’m targetting the Colts passing game, as they look to keep up. The O/U has been set at around 48, with the Texans favored to win by a point.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Houston @Indianapolis Captain Picks
Michael Pittman Jr. ($15,300 Capt/ $10,200 Flex)
Pittman is a great play on the slate. The Colts are going to need to push the action, and Minshew has no concerns about force feeding his favorite receiver. Has the ability to score multiple TDs in a ceiling game, and with his target share has as solid floor as anyone else on the slate.
Jonathan Taylor ($15,000 Capt/ $10,000 Flex)
Taylor has had volume since he returned to the field, but hasn’t had a ceiling game to match that opportunity. Really needs to get involved in the passing game more to be a no-brainer, but has a good floor here. If he manages to find the endzone, he could have a good chance of smashing value here.
Gardner Minshew II ($14,400 Capt/ $9,600 Flex)
Minshew could be forced to throw the ball a bunch here if the Colts have to chase the game. With his gunslinging tendency, he has great upside as a CPT play. I prefer him as a flex stack with Pittman at CPT though.
Devin Singletary ($12,600 Capt/ $8,400 Flex)
Singletary has taken command of the Texans backfield, and should have plenty of volume here. The Colts defensive line have really struggled to limit production to the positon. Combine the two, and Singletary is a decent CPT play. Offers a decent discount here against some of the pricey Colts plays here.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Houston @Indianapolis Flex Picks
C.J. Stroud ($11,200 Flex)
Earlier in the season, Stroud would be an almost automatic CPT play here. But, with the number of injuries he has in his receiver room, it’s going to be harder for him to make plays. Think the Texans are going to want to protect a lead too, which limits his appeal here. If he is going to hit value, it’ll be in a scenario where the Colts have managed to get up to a lead. So going for Taylor as a CPT, with Stroud as a flex play is a nice combination.
Nico Collins ($10,400 Flex)
Collins is the WR1 for the Texans, due in part to him being (nearly) the only one who isn’t injured. Has been great this season, but is going to get plenty of attention from the Colts secondary- which could limit his ceiling here. Still a nice flex play, but not sold on him as a CPT play given his pricing (and likely game-flow).
Josh Downs ($6,600 Flex)
Downs is the slot receiver for the Colts, and that is a nice role to have against the Texans. Can see the ownership being really low too after struggling last week, and the field flocking to Pittman’s volume. Has boomed in some games this season, with some long receptions. The pricing makes him a great flex option on the slate.
Zack Moss ($6,400 Flex)
Moss is making a return from injury this week, but not sure he will see that much work with Taylor’s return. Taylor is an absolute workhorse, and with how Moss has struggled at times to be productive I don’t think he gets there on his likely workload. In a GPP lineup I don’t mind it, as he could vulture some TDs, but that’s what you are hoping for.
Alec Pierce ($6,200 Flex)
Pierce is getting on the field alot, but struggling to really do anything with it. Has the ability to make a big-play though, and should be in line for additional opportunity in this one. Decent flex option on the slate.
Dalton Schultz ($5,800 Flex)
Schultz just misses out on CPT potential here, but I might mix in a few lineups with him in there. Prefer him as a flex though. Noah Brown has been ruled out, and Robert Woods could join him on the sidelines. As a result, Schultz could end up leading the team in targets here. Mix in his red-zone ability, and he could be a great play. Maybe I’m talking myself back into him as a CPT after all.
Kylen Granson ($4,000 Flex)
Granson is the starting TE for the Colts, and this matchup is a nice one for him. There is some risk to playing him, with Pittman and Downs getting more targets, and the constant threat of Alie-Cox catching redzone passes. But, nice flex play regardless- could easily see him having a score or two here.
John Metchie III ($1,000 Flex)
If Woods is ruled out with his hip injury, Metchie is going to be on the field for alot of the game. At $1k he is going to be a popular play, but hard to pass up here. Should hit value based on nothing other than volume. Has great ability, just hasn’t been able to stay healthy to show that on the field in his career. An automatic selection on the slate.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in GPPs:
- D.J. Montgomery (WR, IND) $3,600 Flex – Montgomery is a long-shot here. Barely on the field last week, and buried on the depth chart. Against this secondary, I wouldn’t expect much at all.
- Dameon Pierce (RB, HOU) $3,200 Flex – Pierce has struggled this season to make an impact. The starting RB spot looks like it’s Singletary’s now. Can’t see him doing much here- if he does hit value it’ll be as a result of an injury, or a random TD.
- Brevin Jordan (TE, HOU) $3,000 Flex – Back to being a backup with Schultz back in the team. Caught a TD pass last week. If he doesn’t find the endzone this week, I can’t see him hitting value here.
- Trey Sermon (RB, IND) $2,600 Flex – Sermon is back to the RB3 for the Colts with the return of Taylor and Moss. Think he will still be active incase one of them suffers a setback with their injury recovery, but more likely to see special teams involvement than anything else.
- Will Mallory/ Mo Alie-Cox (TE, IND) $2,000/ $1,200 Flex – Both are GPP plays here. Mallory is only likely to see the field consistently if the Colts fall behind. Alie-Cox could ruin the slate with his big body near the endzone. Mainly used to block, but could kill the slate if he has a multi-TD game here.
- Xavier Hutchinson (WR, HOU) $800 Flex – Hutchinson could be the WR3 for the Texans if Woods ends up being ruled out. Stroud is an elite passer, and at this pricing he could hit value even if he is the WR4 for the team. I prefer Metchie though.
DraftKings SNF Showdown 2023 – Houston @Indianapolis Kickers and DSTs
The importance of Ka’imi Fairbairn ($5,000) can’t really be understated. Since returning from injury, and the Texans receivers spending more time on the treatment table, he has been great for fantasy. Hit 50+ FGs in two of his last three games, and getting plenty of FG attempts when the offense has stalled. Matt Gay ($4,800) was solid to start the season, but down the stretch has struggled a little with some FG attempts. Seems like he has put that behind him though, and should get some chances to kick here.
The Texans DST ($4,200) are a sneaky play on the slate, with Minshew more than capable of turning the ball over. They have playmakers at each level of their defenses, and will feel good coming off the back of a strong performance last week against the Titans. Colts DST ($3,800) are going to be limited to making big plays. Stroud might be missing his starting receivers, but he has been great at limiting turnovers. Can’t ignore them in GPPs, but you don’t go crazy with exposure.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of Houston @Indianapolis! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
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