Finishing the 2022 season- the DraftKings Superbowl showdown, Kansas City @Philadelphia. This is it. The last opportunity to play DFS and watch any NFL action until the new season. Patrick Mahomes looks like his ankle issue is behind him, and comes into this one fresh off winning his second MVP trophy. The Eagles though are a slight favorite in this one, with a nice O/U of 51 points. With the ability of both QBs to get the best out of the offensive playmakers they have, this should be a great game to watch.
DraftKings Superbowl Showdown 2022 – Kansas City @Philadelphia Captain Picks
Jalen Hurts ($16,800 Capt/ $11,200 Flex)
Hurts is going to be a popular CPT selection, with his ability to have great fantasy scores on the ground and through the air. In the playoffs he hasn’t really shown his true ceiling, as the Eagles defense has helped the team managed to 30+ point wins. The price tag is high, but if the Chiefs offense actually force the Eagles to throw the ball to put up points, Hurts is set for a big game.
Patrick Mahomes ($16,500 Capt/ $11,000 Flex)
Mahomes is a great play on the slate. After leaving the games against the Jaguars with an ankle injury, he looked fine against the Bengals defense and had another 300+ yard performance. The only knock there could be is that the Eagles pass rush is a really tough unit and is going to be putting his offensive line to the test. But, it’s lucky that his best receiver is great on short and medium routes. With the other Chiefs offensive playmakers, Mahomes gives you exposure to them all.
Travis Kelce ($15,900 Capt/ $10,600 Flex)
After Hurts/ Mahomes, the safest option is Kelce. His target share is just ridiculously high, and production follows. Not likely to dud despite the strength of the Eagles defense. The price is nice with his floor, and he could easily score multiple TDs for a high ceiling. Nice pivot from the QBs on the slate.
A.J. Brown ($13,800 Capt/ $9,200 Flex)
Brown hasn’t done much in the playoffs, but really hasn’t needed to with how comfortable the Eagles have won. This secondary is one to target, and Brown is surely set to showcase his talent at some stage. His pricing means that you can really get solid pieces in your flex spots. Meanwhile, he is a nice pivot from Smith, who is marginally cheaper and has been more consistent with his fantasy performances this season.
DeVonta Smith ($12,900 Capt/ $8,600 Flex)
Smith is doing fantastically for the Eagles working on the other side of the field from Brown. His route-running ability, and red zone threat make him a nightmare for defenses. Has great upside and if you don’t have him as a CPT here, he is a nailed-on flex play.
DraftKings Superbowl Showdown 2022 – Kansas City @Philadelphia Flex Picks
Miles Sanders ($7,800 Flex)
Sanders has put together a decent string of performances together in the playoffs, with the Eagles easing to victory has enabled them to run Sanders plenty. In this one, the score is far more likely to remain close, and with the ability of Chris Jones for the Chiefs, Sanders could struggle for production. Where I could see him succeeding though is by getting into the endzone. With how he was used last week, he could score multiple TDs here- that is what you are going to need to hope for.
Isiah Pacheco ($7,200 Flex)
Pacheco was dominating the early down work on the ground for the Chiefs, but saw a decent amount of work through the air last time out against the Bengals. If the Eagles do continue to bring the pressure, that could lead to a few more dump-offs instead of asking Mahomes to scramble. If that is the case here, Pacheco could have a big game. The worry will be if it ends up being McKinnon who finishes drives, but Pacheco is a highly effective runner.
Jerick McKinnon ($6,800 Flex)
McKinnon has really fallen off the radar in recent weeks. With his limited workload, he really was TD-dependent, and his scoring streak was broken at the start of the playoffs. Hard to really justify selecting him in many lineups at the price, with how TD-dependent he is.
Dallas Goedert ($6,400 Flex)
Goedert is probably the best flex play on the slate with his floor and upside. Gets a decent number of targets in the offense with how little the Eagles use RBs in the passing game, and has multiple TD upside with his size in the redzone. I would be tempted to slot him in as a cheap CPT play in some lineups, as it lets you spend nicely elsewhere. But, he really is going to be a flex consideration for me on the slate.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($6,200 Flex)
MVS had a decent game last week as the Chiefs receivers suffered injuries at the position. The matchup and ability of the defensive line make this a tough play for his ceiling. I don’t know if he manages to get downfield enough consistently to really hit value here. But, with the Chiefs struggling for health, he could get a bump in targets here. I’ll have a decent share of him in my lineups, as he seems to have a safe floor (!?!) here, but he doesn’t have the same ceiling as he normally would.
Juju Smith-Schuster ($5,600 Flex)
This season has really been one to forget for Smith-Schuster on the whole. Has had a few performances where he has performed well, but generally has struggled to hit over 50 yards through the air. With him recently being on the injury report with a knee injury too, I’d look elsewhere on the slate. The only way I could see him truly performing is if Kelce struggles in the middle of the field, and the Chiefs don’t get success with MVS or Toney breaking off long receptions with their speed.
Kenny Gainwell ($5,000 Flex)
Gainwell has been getting more involved on the ground in the playoffs, and has looked electric with his size and speed helping him explode through gaps on the field. I’m not sure he would continue getting those touches here though, as the Eagles really have cruised through their two playoff games with 30+ victories in both. Still has cheap upside appeal though with how he has been used near the goalline this season.
Kadarius Toney ($4,400 Flex)
Toney suffered an injury very early on against the Bengals which just put him on the sidelines. Toney was a full participant in practice this week though, so should be set to play here. With his ability to make defenders miss in tight areas, he could actually use the Eagles’ defensive speed against them and make some big plays. But, with his typical usage in the offense combined with his recent injury, he could easily dud here.
Skyy Moore/ Justin Watson ($3,800/ $2,000 Flex)
With the Chiefs receivers being battered by injury, these two cheap plays have decent appeal on the slate. They at least haven’t been carrying injuries into this week. The issue is that they are somewhat buried on the depth chart! Moore saw a decent number of targets against the Bengals, but that was Hardman and Watson ruled out, along with Toney quickly heading to the sidelines. Don’t think he sees that number of targets again.
Watson equally has been struggling to make much of an impact consistently. Gets on the field, but struggles to get more than a handful of targets. Against this tough Eagles defense, I don’t know if I’d be too happy rolling the dice on him.
Boston Scott/ Quez Watkins ($3,000/ $1,400 Flex)
Somehow Boston Scott is still a thing coming into this week, scoring in each of his last 3 games. With that streak, I could easily see a number of people flocking to him as a cheap punt play. But, when you consider how comfortable those victories were, I don’t think we will really see him out on the field too much here.
Instead, I’d rather take a shot on Watkins. His pricing only needs him to catch one decent long pass, which he has managed in a majority of his games. Selecting him allows you to get ALOT of the studs in your lineup, but you have to be prepared for him to have a dud.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($1,000 Flex)
CEH could be a wildcard on the slate with his low pricing. After spending alot of time on the sidelines, he has been taken off IR and could be involved in the offense. His role this season has really been getting a handful of carries and being involved in the redzone. The pricing at $1k is going to make him a popular play as people take a shot on him being involved. I’ll be among them, but I’m preparing myself for high ownership here.
DraftKings Superbowl Showdown 2022 – Kansas City @Philadelphia Kickers and DSTs
The kickers are in play in what should be a tight game, they are likely to be called upon to help the offenses keep the scoreboard moving. Harrison Butker ($4,000) would be my favored option as he is slightly cheaper, and the Chiefs’ offense is more likely to stall with the injuries they have at receiver and the ability of the Eagles’ defensive line. That should lead to plenty of FG opportunities for Butker, who has the leg and accuracy to convert opportunities. Jake Elliott ($4,200) is a fine play and has been solid in recent weeks, with only 3 missed FGs and 2 missed PATs this season. The barrier to Elliott being a strong play is the Eagles limiting him to PATs, rather than FGs.
Playing either DST feels ok, but comes with risk. Eagles DST ($3,600) are a fantastically talented unit throughout, but especially up front where they are able to constantly bring pressure which leads to sacks and turnovers. Mahomes for all of his ability has at times this season looked human, and is dealing with the toughest defensive front he has faced this season. The Chiefs DST ($3,400) I am less interested in overall, but I’ll take a shot on them in some lineups. The Chiefs have playmakers in their defense, starting with Chris Jones up front who can cause offensive lines issues. Hurts, despite his rushing ability, has given up sacks this season. Where he has been effective is limiting the number of turnovers he gives up. If Hurts were to struggle under the lights though, the Chiefs would make a sneaky play on the slate.
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