We are here to cover the opening game on Thanksgiving of the 2023 season and the DraftKings showdown slate- Green Bay @Detroit. The Packers come into this one with alot of injuries, with their backfield, receivers and TE positions all looking like they will be needing to involve some new names in this one. The Lions playing at home are a different team, with Goff performing much better than when he is on the road. The O/U here has been set at 46.5, with the Lions a more than TD favorite
DraftKings Thanksgiving Showdown 2023 – Green Bay @Detroit Captain Picks
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($17,100 Capt/ $11,400 Flex)
St. Brown is just elite. Used everywhere on the field by the Lions, and is a target monster. Really doesn’t dud, with his only sub-100 yard games being ones he has found the endzone in. The Packers secondary has been tough to play against this season, but we just saw Keenan Allen rip through this secondary. Safest CPT on the slate.
Jahmyr Gibbs ($15,300 Capt/ $10,200 Flex)
The way to attack the Packers defense is on the ground, and the Lions use their backfield effectively. Gibbs has been involved on the ground, with carries and targets, as well as usage near the goal-line. With his receiving floor in the offense with DK’s PPR scoring he has a solid floor and can find the endzone multiple times giving him a decent ceiling too. With the saving from St. Brown as CPT I’ll have a chunk of Gibbs as CPT.
Jordan Love ($13,500 Capt/ $9,000 Flex)
I always like to offer up an option for the other team, so here we are. Not going crazy with him though. Love has had a decent season, but hasn’t really made headlines. Has five games with multiple TDs, and one game with over 300 yards through the air. Has shown a little bit of ability on the ground too. The way the Packers offense has been spreading the ball around, and the injury concern in the backfield, it’s hard to really trust any other play at this point. The Lions have given up an average of 20.2 DKPts to the position too (7th in the league).
DraftKings Thanksgiving Showdown 2023 – Green Bay @Detroit Flex Picks
Jared Goff ($10,000 Flex)
Goff struggled a little last week against the Bears, with 3 INTs, but overall he has been great when playing at home. Even in that game last week, he still had 236 yards and 2 scores through the air. The Lions offense really is playing well and is playing to Goff’s strengths of getting the ball out to his playmakers early. With the way the team have given the ball to their backfield in the redzone, lacks massive upside here. Could work in a stack with St. Brown and/ or Gibbs.
David Montgomery ($9,400 Flex)
As I said with the Gibbs write up, the way to attack the Packers is on the ground. Montgomery had a massive game against them earlier in the season with a huge 32 carries for 121 yards and 3 scores. The thing is, since that game Gibbs has been getting more involved in the offense, and has been the clear receiving option for the team. Montgomery still has a solid game, and a great flex option, but just misses out on CPT consideration here. And yes, I think you can go for Gibbs and Montgomery in the same lineup if you really want.
Jayden Reed ($8,200 Flex)
Reed has looked good this season, and has been used in a variety of ways. In his last two games he has found the endzone through the air and on the ground. Getting a decent target share too and is second on the team in targets with 51 for the season. The Lions secondary has struggled at times to limit receivers, and Reed is the most versatile for the Packers. You need to keep an eye on injury reports though, as he popped up with a chest injury this week.
Aaron Jones/ AJ Dillon ($7,600/ $7,000 Flex)
The Packers backfield isn’t looking healthy for this one. Jones was forced to miss time in the game, with what was originally thought was an ACL tear. It wasn’t that serious (looks like a MCL injury which should keep him out of this one). Can’t really consider him, even if he is active can’t imagine he sees any work here.
Dillon was at one point the only healthy player the Packers had in the backfield. Jones went down with an injury during the game, as did backup Emanuel Wilson. If Dillon is the only man standing, he has value as a volume play. If there is anyone else notable that suits up, then he isn’t at this price tag. He has limited usage in the receiving game and has struggled for efficiency this season. The Lions defense are one of the best at limiting production to the position too. I’d prefer to load up on the Packers receivers in this one.
Sam LaPorta ($6,600 Flex)
LaPorta has been having a great rookie season. Second on the team in targets, receptions, yards and TDs. Getting around 5 targets a game, with the odd spike week where he has had double-digits. Hasn’t found the endzone for a few weeks, which is likely to continue here. The Lions have been fine to rely on their backfield in the redzone, and the Packers are one of the most effective defenses in the league against the position.
Romeo Doubs ($6,200 Flex)
Doubs is the target leader for the Packers, and has the most receptions and scores through the air. The thing is though, his TDs are saving his fantasy performances. Other than the two games with 73 and 95 yards, he has only had more than 40 yards in one game. Being used as a downfield target in the offense, so could hit in one or two catches. I don’t mind him at the price, but know that he needs to get into the endzone (most likely) to hit value here.
Christian Watson ($5,600 Flex)
Watson is a live wire and a talented receiver, and seems to be healthy. Can be quiet for 3 quarters then light up the 4th quarter. The pricing here is great, as it takes into account his lack of floor, as he has only had more than 40 yards one time this season. But, his pricing doesn’t take into account his ceiling against this struggling Lions secondary.
Jameson Williams ($5,200 Flex)
Williams is only getting a handful of targets each week, and hasn’t really shown his talent on the field. He has the ability to make big-plays, but has been limited in the offense and with Goff’s arm. Would need to use his deep-threat effectively if he is going to hit value against an effective Packers secondary. Nearly was a dart-throw but feel slightly better than that about him here. At some point he should be able to get everything together and have a big game.
Dontayvion Wicks ($2,200 Flex)
Wicks is another Packer receiver who can make big-plays on minimal targets, but he has been able to make plays deep downfield. Not sure he plays in this one, after suffering a knee and concussion last week. But, he had a good game last week against the Chargers, catching just three passes for 91 yards. Could have another big game against this Lions secondary, and has a massive ceiling in this game. And unlike some other options at this price, has a decent-ish floor here too.
Tucker Kraft ($1,200 Flex)
Kraft got in the endzone last week, before it was called back. But should have a chance to have a good performance here as the starter for the Packers (with Luke Musgrave on IR). Going to be a popular play on the slate as a starter at this price- but sometimes you need to eat it. Allows you to fit in the studs in the slate.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- Josh Reynolds (WR, DET) $4,000 Flex – Reynolds started the season well, but has fallen to the side a little with Williams and Kalif Raymond getting more involved.
- Kalif Raymond (WR, DET) $3,000 Flex – Raymond is getting a handful of targets, but has been able to be relatively effective with them. Normally getting 2-3 receptions for 30-40 yards. Has been losing out on snaps to Williams in recent weeks too. If he finds the endzone, as he can, on a pass then he smashes value here.
- Craig Reynolds (RB, DET) $1,800 Flex – Reynolds has had some games where he has been giving a decent amount of the ball, but that’s been where the backfield starting duo has been injured and missed time. It’ll need an injury for him to even get on the field- but that could happen. If you are entering a massive number of lineups, then make one lineup with him in. But only worth considering in that scenario.
- Brock Wright (TE, DET) $600 Flex – Can’t wait for Wright to appear out of nowhere and score a random TD in the endzone, as he has done in previous seasons. It’ll need that for him to hit value here though, as he is only getting 1-2 targets (if any) in games this year.
- Ellis Merriweather (RB, GB) $200 Flex – I’m writing up Merriweather, but truly this could be any number of RBs for the Packers. With Jones unlikely to play in this one, there will be an opportunity for someone to play here who isn’t normally in the rotation. Especially with normal third-string RB Emanuel Wilson ($2,400) not practicing with a shoulder injury. See who the Packers activate ahead of this as a punt.
- Ben Sims (TE, GB) $200 Flex – Not only is Musgrave going to miss here, but Josiah Deguara looks like he is going to miss too. Opens up Sims as the TE2, but Kraft isn’t massively more expensive here and will be given the run of the field to start.
DraftKings Thanksgiving Showdown 2022 – Green Bay @Detroit Kickers and DSTs
The kickers are both viable on the slate, to varying amounts, given the way that both offenses have stalled out this season. Riley Patterson ($4,800) has been great this season, only missing two FGs (one from long range) from his 15 attempts and getting all 31 PATs. Should have a solid floor in this one. When these two last met this season he had two FG attempts and hit 4 PATs. The Packers Anders Carlson ($4,600) has had some accuracy issues so that impacts his value here. In his last three games he has either missed a FG or a PAT, or both (as he did against the Chargers). Could really see the Packers having to settle for more FG attempts in this one though with the number of missing pieces on offense.
The DSTs have so GPP value, but that’s really it. The Lions DST ($4,200) haven’t consistently managed to get after the QB, but have been able to force 15 turnovers this season. They could take advantage of the battered offense and make some plays though, but don’t consider them in cash. Equally, the Packers DST ($3,400) have been streaky with their sacks and have struggled to force turnovers, with just nine on the season. Been more of an effective real-life defense than a fantasy one. Goff struggled last week against the Bears, but has generally been solid at home this season. As a result, I’m not massively excited by them- despite the discount.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of Green Bay @Detroit! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Raj Mehta – USA TODAY Sports