Starting Week 7 of the action, the 2023 DraftKings showdown slate- Jacksonville @New Orleans. This game is projected to be low-scoring. The Jaguars have a question at QB with Lawrence struggling with injury this week. Could change the salte quite quickly if he isn’t able to play. The O/U has been set at 39.5, with the Saints favored by around a FG.
DraftKings TNF Showdown 2023 – Jacksonville @New Orleans Captain Picks
Alvin Kamara ($15,600 Capt/ $10,400 Flex)
Kamara has really underlined his importance to the Saints offense since his return from suspension. He leads the backfield in rushing attempts and yards. Through the air he is 4th in targets, 3rd in receptions. Simply put, the Saints need Kamara on the field and when he is- he is getting the ball plenty. Has a safe floor, and with his ability to make defenders miss, has an incredible ceiling too.
Travis Etienne Jr. ($15,300 Capt/ $10,200 Flex)
Etienne is getting plenty of touches out of the backfield, with only one game with fewer than 18 rush attempts this season. Typically getting 18/19 touches a game, with some targets thrown in too. The Saints DST are a tough unit to run on, having allowed the second-fewest DKPts on average to the position (13.7). Prefer him in the flex as a result, but he gets enough volume to consider him as a CPT.
Chris Olave ($13,500 Capt/ $9,000 Flex)
Olave is getting a good chunk of work in the offense, leading the team in targets, receptions and yards. The Jaguars secondary has given up plenty through the air this season, and an average of over 40 DKPts to the position. Olave has a chance to be the highest scorer on the slate if he manages to have a ceiling-type game.
Christian Kirk ($12,000 Capt/ $8,000 Flex)
Kirk has similar stats to Ridley on the season, the difference between the two is that Kirk has been far more consistent. Has the potential to get up in scoring quickly with DK’s PPR scoring too. As a result, I’d consider Kirk as a decent CPT play on the slate. Leaves plenty of salary on the table to build the rest of your lineup too.
DraftKings TNF Showdown 2023 – Jacksonville @New Orleans Flex Picks
Trevor Lawrence ($9,600 Flex)
Lawrence is questionable heading into this game, which could really turn the slate on it’s head. The news is that he is going to suit up, even though he has been limited in practice all week. His injury is likely to impact his mobility if he does play though, which could impact his ability to move around. With the Saints pass-rush being effective, Lawrence feels like a fade for me on the slate.
Derek Carr ($8,800 Flex)
Carr has looked comfortable in the offense since his move during the offseason. Not taking the top off for fantasy, but he has been getting it done. Carr has plenty of weapons on offense, and they could drag him to relevance in this matchup. The pricing is nice for a QB, and he does have some upside.
Calvin Ridley ($8,400 Flex)
Ridley has been able to put up decent numbers this season, but they are quite inconsistent. The injury to Lawrence could help Ridley, who can make defenders miss for making a big gain, have a solid game. You could combine Ridley and Kirk together, but really needs Zay Jones to be ruled out.
Michael Thomas ($7,000 Flex)
Thomas aka Mr. Slants finally seems healthy. Has a decent target share in the offense so far this season, and with his ability to get free in the short and medium field, leads to alot of completions. That gives him a decent floor in any given week. The discussion then becomes around his ceiling. He hasn’t had a game with over 80 yards since 2020 (although he missed practically two seasons), and not managed to score a TD yet this season.
Taysom Hill ($6,200 Flex)
Hill had alot of involvement last week against Houston, with 8 targets- which he caught for 7 receptions for 49 yards. The thing is, he can completely dismantle a showdown slate if he has one of those games where he has all the goalline work. But there is literally no floor for him week to week. At the pricing, it’s hard to justify rolling the dice.
Evan Engram ($5,800 Flex)
Engram feels like he is being underpriced on the slate. Not had a boom game this season, but has been consistent. Has a great floor with his 7-8 targets a game, and we have seen he can fall into the endzone a few times if given the opportunity. If Jones is ruled out, he becomes a smash play on the slate with a great ceiling.
Rashid Shaheed ($5,000 Flex)
Shaheed is the deep-threat in this offense, and like most deep-threats in the league, is very boom or bust week to week. Still getting a decent number of targets (averaging just under 5 targets a game). The pricing takes into account his busts but doesn’t really account for his ceiling facing this Jaguars secondary. A great GPP shot on the slate.
Jamaal Williams ($4,200 Flex)
Williams was getting a decent amount of work before he was forced onto the sidelines with his injury. Could make a return here, but don’t think he will get the same volume. Likely relegated to a relief back for Kamara, with some goal-line upside. Not a bad play if he suits up at the price- but there has to be news that he is a full go.
Zay Jones ($3,400 Flex)
Jones hasn’t managed to practice at all this week, which isn’t a great sign. If he manages to get on the field he is worth considering due to the price. Let me be clear, with his boom-or-bust production and redzone opportunity, even on a snap count I’d take him as a GPP option.
Foster Moreau ($3,200 Flex)
Moreau’s pricing feels strange, given he has only had 7 targets (and receptions) this season. Not sure I like him as a result here. With the other targets in this offense, Moreau is a bit of an afterthought, and I don’t want to pay up for a roll of the dice that even at it’s ceiling isn’t going to be slate breaking.
Tank Bigsby ($2,200 Flex)
Bigsby is somewhat interesting in GPP lineups. The thing is that he is only averaging 3 carries a game, and a single target.
Kendre Miller ($1,800 Flex)
Miller could see his role cut back if Williams is able to suit up for this game. Got his biggest workload two weeks ago in the comfortable victory over New England, but went back to a bit-part role against the Texans. Miller could be a nice play if the Saints are able to dominate this game, certainly realistic if Lawrence is unable to play. But, he would also need Williams to miss the game.
Jamal Agnew ($400 Flex)
Agnew could see more snaps if Jones were forced to sit the game out. Doesn’t need to do much at all to hit value at the price, and is involved in the offense as the WR3/4 (depending on Jones playing)
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- D’Ernest Johnson (RB, JAX) $1,200 Flex – Johnson is very quickly becoming an afterthought in this backfield. Only had 7 carries and 3 receptions on the season. Would need an injury to Etienne to become remotely viable.
- Brenton Strange/ Luke Farrell (TE, JAX) $1,000/ $200 Flex – The TEs that aren’t Engram have combined for 10 targets, 8 receptions for 64 yards and a single score. Not one player really has stood above the other this season. Not sure I’d go for either outside of a roll of the dice GPP play. Of the two, I’d go for Farrell given the price difference.
- Jimmy Graham (TE, NO) $600 Flex – Graham has been on the field in every game this season, but only managed two targets. Caught his first one for a TD though. Does he still have it? Probably not, but with Johnson ruled out, the TEs here are likely to be rotated. If he fell into the endzone again he would be a great value at the price.
DraftKings TNF Showdown 2023 – Jacksonville @New Orleans Kickers and DSTs
Both kickers are in play on the slate. Blake Grupe ($5,200) missed two kicks last week (one of which was a 29-yard attempt- slightly worrying) but has largely been accurate. Playing at home in a dome is solid, but I prefer Brandon McManus ($4,800). The veteran has been perfect this season, aside from 2 long-range FG attempts back in week 2. Slightly cheaper, and if Lawrence is hobbled he might force more stall outs on offense than normal- and McManus can convert from deep.
The DSTs are both interesting on the slate. Saints DST ($5,400) are priced up, and they could have a big game if Lawrence isn’t able to move freely. The Saints have recorded 13 sacks on the season and forced 9 turnovers. The Jaguars offensive line has allowed 16 sacks so far this season and turned the ball over 20 times- plenty to get excited about. The Jaguars DST ($3,800) have managed to force plenty of turnovers this season, with 8 INTs and 7 FFs. Carr has looked more assured this season, but he is fully capable of having a turnover-prone game. The Jags DST have playmakers that can convert a turnover into a score too, and will be overlooked in GPPs.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the 2023 Showdown of Jacksonville @New Orleans! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Chuck Cook – USA TODAY Sports