Wildcard weekend is here and another 2023 DraftKings showdown slate this time Green Bay @Dallas. Plenty of history in this one. Did Dez catch it? Green Bay facing their old coach from previous successes. Dallas looked strong this season on their way to the NFC East, while the Packers made it through a Wildcard place. The O/U has been set at around 50, with the Cowboys a 7 point favorite.
DraftKings Wildcard Showdown 2023 – Green Bay @Dallas Captain Picks
CeeDee Lamb ($18,300 Capt/ $12,200 Flex)
Dallas have been in plenty of showdowns this season, and I’m struggling now to have different ways to describe Lamb. Simply, he is just a fantasy monster. Should be able to have his way with this secondary and his target share in the offense. With his ability to make big-plays and ability to score at will from nearly anywhere on the field.
Dak Prescott ($17,100 Capt/ $11,400 Flex)
Prescott normally makes it into the ‘just missed out on CPT consideration’ but here I’m including him. Prescott has been doing well recently, throwing effectively for yards and TDs. Pulling the strings nicely and getting the ball out to his playmakers. Would love it if he ran a little bit more, but the volume of passing here should see him hit value nicely.
Aaron Jones ($13,500 Capt/ $9,000 Flex)
Jones has shown his importance to this offense recently, with 20+ carries in each of his last three games with 100+ yards in each of those games too. With his ability as a receiver too, it’s hard to see a gamescript that Jones is on the sidelines for a chunk of it. With Dillon doubtful here, should see plenty of volume in the offense. Solid CPT choice if you want to go for a Packer, but think he is better as a flex with a Cowboy CPT.
DraftKings Wildcard Showdown 2023 – Green Bay @Dallas Flex Picks
Jordan Love ($10,000 Flex)
Love has put together a great season in his first one as a starter. Multiple TDs through the air in 11 games this season, and a few 300+ games. Getting more involved on the ground near the redzone too, which gives him some appeal here against a pass rush that can allow gaps up the middle. One thing Love added to end the season was better ball security, with just 1 INT in his last 8 games. I’ll have some CPT lineups with Love, but think I prefer him as a flex on this slate.
Tony Pollard ($8,800 Flex)
Pollard hasn’t had the fantasy season that people would have hoped for, but he is still a good player. It’s the redzone stallouts that have hurt his scoring. The Packers defense have struggled to limit production on the ground, giving up an average of 22.6 DKPts to the position this season. With his volume in the offense, you can’t overlook him here to be productive. I’m even tempted as a massively overlooked CPT option on the slate here. Strong flex play.
Jayden Reed ($8,200 Flex)
Reed had a great end to the season, showing his ability as a receiver. Scored 3 TDs in his last three games, and hit 100+ yards once. Generally getting around 8/9 targets in the offense, and has a good chance to score. If the Cowboys secondary plays their positions aggressively, we have seen that there are gaps to exploit deep.
Brandin Cooks ($7,800 Flex)
Cooks has been in a run of form to end the season, with a TD in each of his last three games. Working as the WR2 in this offense, he can carve up secondaries that forget about his ability as they try and deal with Lamb. The Packers secondary are decent at stopping production to WRs, but I still think that Cooks has a good opportunity to hit value on the slate.
Romeo Doubs ($6,600 Flex)
Doubs was forced onto the sidelines after suffering a chest injury against the Bears, but should be fine to go here. That injury has given Doubs a discount, which increases his appeal here. Doubs leads the team in targets, and he has scored 8 TDs this season. He has an important role in this offense that is often overlooked though as a possession option. 41 of his 59 receptions have been for first downs.
Dontayvion Wicks ($5,600 Flex)
Wicks has been a good WR3 option that has stepped in as the WR2 plenty of times this season to cover injury. Boom/ bust for the team though. He hasn’t topped 100 yards this season, but has two games of 90+ and found the endzone 3 times in his last two games. But, there is definitely a lack of floor here too with one of those scoring games being a two-catch game for just 29 yards. This isn’t an easy matchup, but Wicks is worth some GPP consideration.
Jake Ferguson ($5,400 Flex)
Ferguson feels like he is constantly underpriced on these showdown slates. Second on the team in targets, receptions, yards and TDs. Prescott looks his way plenty for key downs on 3rd and near the redzone. He hasn’t scored in his last 5 games, but has a solid floor with around 7 targets (and a high catch %). Almost a must-flex at the price.
Tucker Kraft ($3,600 Flex)
Kraft has taken advantage of injury to Musgrave, got 30 targets in the six games that Musgrave was on IR, scoring two TDs. In Musgrave’s first game back last week, Kraft had more targets. The competition at TE makes his outlook a little more mixed than before, so I’ll mix in both into lineups and hope I get a redzone TD. If I was forced, I’d stick with Kraft who has the momentum.
Dart Throw Plays (Various)
Instead of writing up a line for a few options with their own sections, thought I’d list out a few in one area. Not really worth considering these as core plays, only in multi-entry GPPs:
- Christian Watson (WR, GB) $5,200 Flex – Watson is questionable with a hamstring injury, and hasn’t played since the start of December. If he plays, then he can make big-plays with his speed against this secondary. But know that he doesn’t really have an established role as a receiver in this offense after Reed and Doubs have nailed down the WR1/2 roles. But, keep an eye on reports as he could quite easily be ruled out here.
- Rico Dowdle (RB, DAL) $4,400 Flex – Dowdle is the RB2 for the Cowboys, but only getting work if the Cowboys get a comfortable lead. Not sure that would happen here, so you’d need an injury for him to get anything close to hitting value here.
- AJ Dillon/ Patrick Taylor (RB, GB) $4,200/ $400 Flex – Dillon is doubtful with a neck injury, and doesn’t seem like he is trending the right way. As a result, we could get a cheap Taylor play as the RB2. If he is the RB2, he feels almost like an ugly must-play to hit value. But think the Packers will just ride Jones more. Would allow you to spend up elsewhere on the slate and feel comfortable.
- Luke Musgrave (TE, GB) $3,400 Flex – Musgrave was having a solid season before he was forced to go on IR. Since then, Kraft stepped up as the receiving TE in the offense and has performed well. Musgrave was able to catch his lone target to end the season. I’d mix in some shares of Musgrave, but prefer Kraft with the similar pricing.
- Bo Melton/ Malik Heath (WR, GB) $3,000/ $1,400 Flex – If Watson is able to play, these two go back to a minimal workload and feel like a GPP punt. But, on the premise that Watson is forced to miss, one of these is going to the WR3 in the offense. Melton has been far more productive to finish the season, totalling 15 catches for 211 yards and a single score, as well as some rushing work too. Heath feels a little bit as the odd man out. Not getting many opportunities in the offense, and struggling to be productive with them. Would need to strike lucky, or multiple injuries to have value here.
- Michael Gallup (WR, DAL) $2,800 Flex – WR3 in the offense, but the fourth receiving option on the team. With Cooks performing well as the WR2 Gallup has really been pushed out of the offense. Only has 5 targets in their last 4 games. Could hit with a long reception, but more likely to dud.
- Jalen Tolbert/ KaVontae Turpin (WR, DAL) $2,000/ $800 Flex – Gadget players in the offense. Tolbert has been seeing more usage, and seems to be getting more involved in the offense than Gallup. At the price I think you need him to score to hit value, but he can make big-plays. Turpin is near enough just a special teams player here now. Punt play at best.
- Peyton Hendershot/ Luke Schoonmaker (TE, DAL) $1,000/ $600 Flex – The TE2 role here means they are on the field, but rarely used on offense as they block while Ferguson runs routes. Schoonmaker has found the endzone twice this season as a big-bodied receiver, and is slightly cheaper, so would be my selection of the two. But, far more likely to have 2 receptions for a minimal gain between the two of them.
DraftKings Wildcard Showdown 2023 – Green Bay @Dallas Kickers and DSTs
The kickers are both viable, but Brandon Aubrey ($5,000) is clearly the safer option between the two of them. Nearly made a perfect season, before two misses in the end of the season. Playing at home though, he is going to get plenty of FG attempts here, and he can hit them from nearly any distance. Great floor (and ceiling) here. Anders Carlson ($4,600) has been better to end the season, after struggling a little earlier in the season. Getting a few FG attempts each game as the Packers offense stalls out. Hit 27 of 33 attempts, with a long of 53 yards.
The Cowboys DST ($4,800) are big-play or bust really. Their pass rush has been decent this season, with 46 on the season. But it’s their conversion of 31 turnovers to 6 TDs that really gives them value. Playing at home, they are very capable of putting significant pressure on Love. You need to have some exposure to them on the slate, but with how Love has been playing they could struggle to hit value here. The Packers DST ($3,200) have been ok at getting to the QB, with 45 sacks on the season, but struggled to force turnovers with just 17. The Packers don’t really have the playmakers to make a scoring play on a turnover, and Prescott has generally protected the ball at home, so there is limited appeal. Long-shot GPP play.
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the Wildcard Showdown 2023 – Green Bay @Dallas! Remember any DFS questions, you can check out our articles here. Or you can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram.
Image Credit: Brad Rempel – USA TODAY Sports