The 2020 regular NFL season is over, but we are still here with some DraftKings selections for Wildcard Weekend.
Throughout the season, I have been providing players that I feel you should be including in your lineups, with some rationale and this week is no different! So, let’s dig into whom I am thinking of slotting in my lineups!
Lamar Jackson ($7,800)
For me, not much has changed since my Week 15 selection of Jackson.
The Baltimore QB still has that solid rush floor, which is vital in playing QBs in DraftKings. Last week saw Jackson have 97 rushing yards, ensuring that he would head over 1,000 rushing yards on the season once again. However, it would be good of Jackson this week to get those 3 extra rushing yards to hit that bonus.
The minimal passing attempts, 18 in Week 17 would be a slight worry if Baltimore were not facing Tennessee, an offense who consistently have an implied total that they hit week-on-week.
Do not be put off by his price tag; Jackson is more than viable play.
Russell Wilson ($6,700)
Wilson’s price this week is the lowest price we have seen all season for the Seattle QB. But perhaps the reason for this are justified, with Wilson not hitting the 20 DK point mark since Week 14.
However, I am expecting playoff football to re-ignite the Wilson we saw earlier in the season, and the fourth quarter of last week against San Fransisco saw Wilson rally back, coming from 6-16 down to win 26-23. Wilson contributed two passing touchdowns to this comeback.
The Seattle QB faces a familiar foe in Los Angeles this Wildcard Weekend. Wilson has scored 12.92 and 19.9 DK points against the fellow NFC West opponents.
We would be hoping for the latter at least with our selection, but I have seen enough to justify including him here.
CONSIDER: Josh Allen ($7,500) & Mitch Turbisky ($5,300)
AVOID: LAR QBs (Goff $6,000 and Wolford $4,900), Phillip Rivers ($5,500)
Jonathan Taylor ($7,900)
Like mentioned last week, the Indianapolis backfield is Taylor’s to lose, with a minimum of 18 touches in the previous three weeks and solid points total to back that up (19.5, 19.4 and 41.4). Taylor’s monster 250 rushing yard game put the rookie back way clear of the 1,000 rushing yard mark, a significant milestone.
It is a good job the Indianapolis back is in fine form as Indianapolis will need him against a high-powered Buffalo offense who have taken the league by storm. Taylor and his teammates will need to put up points in this matchup to stand any chance of advancing to the Divisional Round. There is a good chance that Taylor is a pivotal part of that plan.
J.K. Dobbins ($6,600)
Onto another rookie back now and one which seems to have taken over his backfield in Dobbins and Baltimore. Edwards (12 carries in W17) and the returning Ingram (9 carries in W17) both still have roles in this offense, but the rookie is making the most of his chances.
Dobbins 31 DK point performance last week came off the back of 13 carries, which two of those resulting in touchdowns. Dobbins’ efforts were part of a dominant performance for the now No.5 seed.
This No.5 seed takes the trip to Tennessee on Wildcard Weekend, a defense who has been a poor one for some time now. For example, their rush defence in Weeks 12-16 have been the 27th worst over that period, giving up 28.5 DK points per game to RBs.
Cam Akers ($5,100)
After all the speculation, Akers ended up playing last week against Arizona and totalled 25 touches in a crucial win for Los Angeles. Now Akers’ 1.6 yards per carry is not desirable at all. However, this came across as an anomaly, with the rookie averaging 4.3 yards per carry this season.
Akers’ opportunity cost is not high whatsoever, especially with Darrell Henderson now on Injured Reserve, so Akers should expect to keep the bulk of the workload.
Furthermore, Seattle is not the robust rush defense they once were at the start of the season. In Weeks 12-16, Seattle ranked 16th for points allowed per game at 21.3, but more importantly, Seattle ranked 27th against RBs in the red zone from that same period, giving up 14 points per game.
Akers could be quite chalky this week if people catch on to the matchup and workload for the Los Angeles, but this selection’s attractiveness is there regardless.
CONSIDER: Alvin Kamara ($8,500), Chris Carson ($5,900), J.D. McKissic ($4,900) and Latavius Murray ($4,500)
AVOID: David Montgomery ($6,900), Antonio Gibson ($5,700) and Kareem Hunt ($4,800)
Stefon Diggs ($7,700)
No need to complicate this selection.
Diggs’ 29.2% target share on the season has seen the wide receiver dominate any opponent he comes up against this season, showcased by his WR3 finish for fantasy purposes in the regular season, contributing mostly to this league-leading 1,534 receiving yards.
Whilst the Indianapolis secondary is still the shutdown one that many interpret them as in the red zone (2nd best to WRs, only allowing 0.9 points per game in Weeks 12-16), the AFC South team give up 39.7 points per game to WRs in Weeks 12-16, the 23rd highest. So very much a ‘bend but do not break’ approach from Reich and his unit.
Diggs balls out no matter the matchup and this one should put you off playing Buffalo’s WR1.
Allen Robinson II ($6,600)
When it comes to the shorter game slates in the season, volume, if it was not king already certainly take its’ crown back in the postseason.
Robinson II has been of one these volume kings for many seasons, and this one has been no different, with the Chicago wide receiver seeing anywhere from 9-16 targets in most weeks in 2020. Robinson makes the most of these targets when they come his way also, having a portfolio of hitting north of 20+ DK points this season alone.
I feel game script will force Chicago to throw the ball here against New Orleans, making Robinson’s targets output absolute instead of the occasional lesser targets he has been seeing when the run game has been clicking.
Diontae Johnson ($6,200)
Another volume king is the Pittsburgh receiver, who is very rare to see with a single-digit target share in the box score week-on-week.
One of those weeks was Week 17 when Mason Rudolph was under centre, with Johnson only seeing 4 targets. Even then Johnson managed 96 yards off of those small looks, asserting his dominance on his wide receiver room.
On Wildcard Weekend, Johnson and Pittsburgh face the same Cleveland team they faced in Week 17. Through Weeks 12-16, Cleveland has been notably bad against opposing WRs, ranking 22nd in points allowed to WRs (37.1 per game) and most notably 32nd or the worst team defending WRs in the red zone (26.6 points per game) over that period.
I am okay with playing all three of Pittsburgh’s receivers this week in this spot, but I would favour Johnson’s volume if I could only select one.
Marquise Brown ($5,400)
Since Brown’s last appearance against Tennesse in Week 11, the Baltimore receiver has been consistently excellent, hitting double-digit DK points each week without fail. That has impressive for a team led by Jackson, who’s passing attempts are limited at the best of times.
Brown gets the chance for redemption against Tennessee on Wildcard Weekend, with the AFC South team being horrible against wide receivers heading into the postseason, giving up the third-most points per game to WRs (47.6 per game) and second-most points per game to the position in the red zone (26.5 per game).
CONSIDER: Michael Thomas ($6,400), Terry McLaurin ($6,300), JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5,500), Chase Claypool ($5,200), Corey Davis ($4,800), John Brown ($4,700) and Gabriel Davis ($4,000)
AVOID: LAR receivers, DK Metcalf ($6,700) and Darnell Mooney ($3,900)
Logan Thomas ($4,900)
Thomas is the only tight end play I can have any confidence in playing.
The Washington tight end runs the most routes by far on this slate at his position (46.75 routes run per game, next highest is Ebron at 28.75). Furthermore, Thomas arguably is unaffected by a potential QB change from Smith to Heinicke, which cannot be said for most players on this offense, as we saw from previous weeks.
With Gibson and the other running backs for Washington facing Tampa Bay’s top-10 rush defense on the season, Smith or Heinicke are going to have to throw the ball more. Therefore, Thomas has more of a chance to hit value and take full advantage of his 19.2% target share on the season.
CONSIDER: Rob Gronkowski ($4,000), Austin Hooper ($3,900), Cole Kmet ($3,000) and Jacob Hollister ($2,700)
Whether Goff or Wolford is under centre for Los Angeles, I like Seattle to continue their solid points production this week.
Over the past month, 3-4 sacks, alongside a turnover through forced fumbles or an interception has quietly become the norm. The defensive unit as a whole has not finished below 5 DK points since Week 9 against Buffalo.
Both Goff or Wolford, the latter especially tend to air the ball out, increasing the chances for turnovers.
A bit like Seattle, Washington has a good pass rush that consistently gets 3-4 sacks a game when the QB they go up against is not very mobile, and it is fair to say Brady lacks mobility.
Furthermore, Washington has shown the ability to generate turnovers in the last four weeks, taking 5 interceptions from those performances.
If Washington is going to win this game (which I think they will), then their defense will be the key to that victory.
CONSIDER: New Orleans ($3,800) and Pittsburgh ($3,600)
AVOID: Chicago ($2,800), Cleveland ($2,500) and Tennessee ($2,200)
NFL 2020: DraftKings Wildcard Weekend Selections – My lineup as it stands
QB1: Lamar Jackson
RB1: Alvin Kamara
RB2: Cam Akers
WR1: Allen Robinson II
WR2: Corey Davis
WR3: Zach Pascal
TE: Logan Thomas
FLEX: Diontae Johnson
So, there are our DraftKings selections for the Wildcard Weekend of the NFL 2020 season! Who have we missed out? You can find us on Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram. Keep your eyes out for our Showdown slate coverage!
Image Credit: Jerome Miron – USA TODAY Sports