Adonai Mitchell - WR - Texas

Adonai Mitchell, formerly a Georgia Bulldog, took advantage of the transfer portal and made his way to Texas for his final year. In that final year at Texas, he had career marks across the board and made it known that he is a legitimate NFL prospect in this upcoming NFL Draft.

Measurables

Height: 6′ 2″

Weight: 205 lbs

Age: 21

40-yard dash: 4.34s

3-cone drill: DNP

20-yard shuttle: DNP

Vertical Jump: 39.5″

Broad Jump: 11’4″

Bench Press: DNP

*age is at the start of player’s rookie year

College Stats

Receiving & Rushing Table
ReceivingRushingScrimmage
YearSchoolConfClassPosGRecYdsAvgTDAttYdsAvgTDPlaysYdsAvgTD
*2021GeorgiaSECFRWR152942614.740002942614.74
*2022GeorgiaSECSO6913414.93000913414.93
*2023TexasBig 12JRWR145584515.411210.505784614.811
CareerOverall93140515.118210.5095140614.818
Georgia3856014.770003856014.77
Texas5584515.411210.505784614.811
Provided by CFB at Sports Reference: View Original Table
Generated 2/25/2024.

Notable Headlines

Despite being just a 3-star recruit committing to the Georgia Bulldogs, Mitchell made his impact known right out of the gates as a true freshman. While Brock Bowers led the team in overall receiving, the three leading wide receivers on the team were all within 71 yards of each other. Jermaine Burton was the leading wide receiver with 497 yards, but Mitchell was right behind him with 426 receiving yards. Ladd McConkey was in between Burton and Mitchell with 447 receiving yards, and all 4 of the players mentioned so far (Bowers, Burton, McConkey, and Mitchell) are expected to be drafted in the 2024 NFL Draft.

The following season was Mitchell’s true sophomore season, but it was a disappointing one. He suffered a high ankle sprain early in the season which either held him fully out or significantly limited him in the games he did play. The following season he looked for a fresh start and made his way to Texas. He hit receiving career highs across the board as he played alongside Xavier Worthy. His 2023 season was good enough for Second-Team All-Big-12 Honors as he decided to declare for the 2024 NFL Draft as a true junior.

Scouting Report

Positives

Mitchell has great length as he is listed at 6’4” and 196 lbs. But he also knows how to use that length as he has incredible extension that he can utilize to expand his catch radius. He catches with natural hands away from his body and was super reliable this season as he was credited with just 1 drop and a low 1.8% drop rate. Building on his impressive ball skills is his body control at the catch point. He put multiple acrobatic catches on display. Pair that ability with his extension and reliable hands and you have a quarterback’s best friend.

He proved to already be a very developed deep threat which is evident by his 16-yard aDOT in his final year in college. He showed great ball tracking and a nuanced ability to stack DBs on deep routes to gain separation. Additionally, he flashed explosive ability at the stems of his route to create massive amounts of separation. On top of all of that, Mitchell is an excellent blocker for his teammates.

Negatives

While Mitchell showed flashes of good route running, overall it was still lacking. He excelled on deeper routes, but otherwise, there needed to be more consistency. Additionally, it would’ve been nice to see more utilization of leverage with his routes, especially at his size and crisper breaks. The leverage issue might be part of the reason that he tended to struggle with physical DBs within his route and at the line of scrimmage. This raises questions about how he’ll fare when he faces press coverage at the line of scrimmage more often at the next level.

Additionally, Mitchell provides next to zero yards after the catch ability. He consistently goes down at first contact and rarely makes defenders miss in the open field. The only yards after the catch Mitchell can provide is if he has wide-open green grass in front of him. While he showed good ball skills, he didn’t have a lot of contested catch opportunities to display his ability. But with his ball skills and extension, one can be fairly confident in his ability to at least be sufficient in this area with more opportunity.

Pre Draft Analysis

Expected Draft Capital- Round 4

Landing Spots

Mitchell is a tough evaluation because he’s extremely good at the things he does well but is significantly lacking in the areas he isn’t as strong. Analytically, he struggles across the board, but when watching the film there are things to like. The Chiefs were my original pick but the addition of Hollywood Brown dampens the need a bit. Instead, there is a lot of talk about the Bengals moving on from Tee Higgins. And while not an upgrade by any means, Adonai Mitchell could serve as a great WR2 in the Bengals’ offense.

The Bills are another team that is on the cusp of needing wide receiver help with the departure of Gabe Davis and the aging of Stefon Diggs. While Mitchell isn’t likely to be a 1 right off the bat, there is potential there, but in the meantime, he could work alongside Diggs and newcomer Curtis Samuel next season.

Post Draft Analysis

Indianapolis Colts – Round 2, Pick 20

Landing Spot

The landing spots with the Indianapolis Colts is an interesting one as the Colts have a fairly young and talented receiving core already. The team just locked up Michael Pittman to a 3-year long deal for $70 million and he’s only 27 years old. Josh Downs is 23 years old and still has 3 seasons left on his rookie deal after showing impressive flashes in 2023. And Alec Pierce isn’t a world-beater, but a viable WR3 in this offense with 2 years left on his rookie deal at only 24 years old. Adonai Mitchell has the potential to ascend past any of the previously mentioned three wide receivers at his peak and is likely at least able to provide an upgrade over Pierce. 

The Colts had other pressing needs in the draft but decided to take a gamble in the second round on the upside that Mitchell provides. And they made this pick despite the presence of Anthony Richardson, a rushing quarterback, and Jonathan Taylor who is a premier running back in this league who just agreed to a long-term extension with the team last year. It’s an intriguing move by the Colts and will be interesting to see how it plays out.

Fantasy Impact

Adonai Mitchell showed he was a special talent when on the field, but had some serious analytical concerns and some character concerns that seemed to pop up a lot pre-draft – warranted or not. That all aside, this is a fairly crowded wide receiver room with Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce. All three are young and have plenty of time left on their contracts. It’s not hard to envision Mitchell taking over Pierce’s role, but Downs commanded nearly 100 targets last season and Michael Pittman has commanded between 129 and 156 targets the last three seasons. In addition, this offense is headed by a rushing quarterback in Anthony Richardson and they have a workhorse running back in Jonathan Taylor. 

The question with Mitchell’s situation is how big is the passing volume pie in Indianapolis going to be and how does that pie get split up? This feels like it could end up being a much better NFL move than a fantasy one. There’s a scenario with rose-colored glasses on that Adonai Mitchell and Michael Pittman are the next AJ Brown and Devonta Smith in Shane Steichen’s offense, but that’s discounting the talent that Downs is and what he did as a rookie. Downs, a rookie taken on Day 2 in the 3rd round of the NFL Draft just last year. It’s honestly a hit to Adonai’s rookie value as it’ll be an uphill climb for him to be a WR2 for fantasy anytime soon without injuries ahead of him.

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