Week 12 Stash Guide

As Week 12 approaches, we need a look at the stash guide! A key aspect of managing our rosters is the ability to remain active and not get complacent. In the past, I have worked on a Game Theory I call “The Revolving Door”. I will combine that knowledge with this article to produce My Week 11 Stash Guide. Check out the full article at www.theleaguewinners.com if you want a full explanation of the theory. For this article, I will summarize it:

“The Revolving Door”

The Revolving Door is simple. Unless you have had extremely good luck in your drafts, you are bound to have two or three players at the bottom of your lineup that you will move on from. Instead of just letting these players take up space at the bottom of your bench, you should be sending out the revolving door in favour of high-upside stashes.

The key to this theory is to break the week of games into slates. Say I have two players on my team that I wish to move on from. Instead of simply dropping them for a player I want, I will go through my flowsheet. First I will drop them for two players I like from the Thursday Night Football game. If those two stashes don’t hit, I will drop them for two players from the 1:00 p.m. games on Sunday. If those players don’t produce results I will then drop them for two players from the 4:00 p.m. games on Sunday. I continue this process for Sunday Night Football as well as Monday Night Football.

Game Theory

So by the end of week one, I will have rotated those two dropped players through an additional eight dart throws. You may be wondering why I would do this. It’s simple. Those players aren’t producing, so I will drop them in hopes that one of the players I stash either breaks out or has an injury in front of him opening him up for an increased role.

Some weeks, this theory produces no usable players, so I continue with it into the following week. In approximately half the weeks, however, I will find a valuable asset. From there I can then choose to keep that player or try and sell high. This strategy frequently keeps me out in front of the waiver wire. It saves me countless FAABs when I already have that week’s hot waiver added to my roster. If I don’t believe in that player, I simply flip him to someone who does. That strategy has no downside. I’m already dropping the two players, so why not take free stabs at a potential league winner? The only thing this strategy requires is some patience and planning by the person who uses it.

So, now that you have an idea of my Revolving Door strategy. Let’s implement it for Week 11 and take a look at some of the players I will look to stash where available.

We are getting to the point in the season where every team’s need varies, so I will be changing the format slightly and will be giving stash options based on several categories of needs.

Thanksgiving Early Game (Packers-Lions)

High Upside: Jameson Williams (DET-WR), Jayden Reed (GB-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: AJ Dillon (GB-RB)

Handcuffs: Tucker Kraft (GB-TE), Craig Reynolds (DET-RB)

Dart Throws: Dontayvion Wicks (GB-WR), Donovan Peoples-Jones (DET-WR)

Injury Stashes: Luke Musgrave (GB-TE)

Thanksgiving Dinner Game (Commanders-Cowboys)

High Upside: Jake Ferguson (DAL-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Brandin Cooks (DAL-WR), Curtis Samuel (WSH-WR), Logan Thomas (WSH-TE)

Handcuffs: Antonio Gibson (WSH-RB), Chris Rodriguez (WSH-RB), Rico Dowdle (DAL-RB)

Dart Throws: Luke Schoonmaker (DAL-TE), Peyton Hendershot (DAL-TE)

Injury Stashes: None

Thanksgiving Late Game (49ers-Seahawks)

High Upside: Zach Charbonnet (SEA-RB), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: Jauan Jennings (SF-WR)

Handcuffs: Elijah Mitchell (SF-RB)

Dart Throws: Jake Bobo (SEA-WR), Noah Fant (SEA-TE)

Injury Stashes: None

Friday Afternoon Game (Dolphins-Jets)

High Upside: Israel Abanikanda (NYJ-RB)

Boring Fill-Ins: Tyler Conklin (NYJ-TE)

Handcuffs: Jeff Wilson (MIA-RB)

Dart Throws: Braxton Berrios (MIA-WR), Xavier Gipson (NYJ-WR), Durham Smythe (MIA-TE)

Injury Stashes: None

Sunday 1:00 Slate

This slate of games is always the most difficult because most of the teams will play in it. Here I prefer to target handcuff running backs behind injury-prone starters and upside young receivers who could be primed for a breakout. It won’t hold in week one, but young players coming off of a bye are the best targets here.

Running Backs

High Upside: Jaylen Warren (PIT-RB), Tyjae Spears (TEN-RB), Kendre Miller (NO-RB), Devin Singletary (HOU-RB)

Boring Fill-Ins: Tyler Allgeier (ATL-RB), Miles Sanders (CAR-RB), Chuba Hubbard (CAR-RB), D’Ernest Johnson (JAC-RB), Ezekiel Elliott (DAL-RB), Jamaal Williams (NO-RB), Matt Breida (NYG-RB)

Handcuffs: Trayveon Wiliams (CIN-RB), Chris Evans (CIN-RB), Chase Brown (CIN-RB), Zach Moss (IND-RB), Tank Bigsby (JAC-RB)

Dart Throws: Raheem Blackshear (CAR-RB), Sean Tucker (TB-RB)

Injury Stashes: None

Wide Receivers

High Upside: Noah Brown (HOU-WR), Josh Downs (IND-WR), Demario Douglas (NE-WR), Rashid Shaheed (NO-WR), WanDale Robinson (NYG-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: Tyler Boyd (CIN-WR), Darius Slayton (NYG-WR)

Handcuffs: Jonathan Mingo (CAR-WR), Alec Pierce (IND-WR), AT Perry (NO-WR), Jalin Hyatt (NYG-WR), Calvin Austin (PIT-WR)

Dart Throws: Trey Palmer (TB-WR)

Injury Stashes: Zay Jones (JAC-WR)

Tight Ends

High Upside: Taysom Hill (NO-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Jonnu Smith (ATL-TE), Robert Woods (HOU-TE), Hunter Henry (NE-TE), Juwan Johnson (NO-TE)

Handcuffs: None

Dart Throws: Tanner Hudson (CIN-TE), Kylen Granson (IND-TE), Mike Gesicki (NE-TE), Daniel Bellinger (NYG-TE), Cade Otton (TB-TE), Chigoziem Okonkwo (TEN-TE)

Injury Stashes: Jelani Woods (IND-TE), Darren Waller (NYG-TE), Pat Freiermuth (PHI-TE), Treylon Burks (TEN-TE)

Sunday 4:00 Slate

The 4:00 slate of games is not as big as the 1:00 slate, but it’s still a hefty one to sort through. The same principles apply as above, handcuff running backs and young receivers.

Running Backs

High Upside: Michael Carter (ARI-RB), Jaleel McLaughlin (DEN-RB)

Boring Fill-Ins:

Handcuffs: Latavius Murray (BUF-RB), Boston Scott (PHI-RB), Samaje Perine (CIN-RB), Jerick McKinnon (KC-RB), Royce Freeman (DEN-RB)

Dart Throws: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC-RB), Zamir White (LV-RB), Leonard Fournette (BUF-RB), Keaontay Ingram (ARI-RB), Emari Demarcado (ARI-RB), Pierre Strong (CLE-RB)

Injury Stashes: None

Wide Receivers

High Upside: Michael Wilson (ARI-WR), Khalil Shakir (BUF-WR), Marvin Mims (DEN-WR), Tuta Atwell (LAR-WR), Rashee Rice (KC-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: Rondale Moore (ARI-WR), Elijah Moore (CLE-WR), Julio Jones (PHI-WR)

Handcuffs: Tre Tucker (LV-WR)

Dart Throws: Skyy Moore (KC-WR), Kadarius Toney (KC-WR)

Injury Stashes: None

Tight Ends

High Upside: Trey McBride (ARI-TE), Dalton Kincaid (BUF-TE), David Njoku (CLE-TE), Michael Mayer (LV-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Tyler Higbee (LAR-TE)

Handcuffs: Noah gray (KC-TE)

Dart Throws: Adam Trautman (DEN-TE)

Injury Stashes: Dallas Goedert (PHI-TE)

Sunday Night Football (Ravens-Chargers)

High Upside: Keaton Mitchell (BAL-RB), Gus Edwards (BAL-RB), Isaiah Likely (BAL-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Odell Beckham Jr (BAL-WR), Justice Hill (BAL-RB)

Handcuffs: Joshua Kelley (LAC-RB)

Dart Throws: Rashod Bateman (BAL-WR), Joshua Palmer (TB-WR), Jalen Guyton (LAC-WR), Quentin Johnston (LAC-WR), Donald Parham (LAC-TE), Stone Smartt (LAC-TE)

Injury Stashes: None

Monday Night Football (Bears-Vikings)

High Upside: Roschon Johnson (CHI-RB), D’Onta Foreman (CHI-RB), Ty Chandler (MIN-RB)

Boring Fill-Ins: Darnell Mooney (CHI-WR), KJ Osborn (MIN-WR)

Handcuffs: Josh Oliver (Min-TE)

Dart Throws: Tyler Scott (CHI-WR), Jalen Nailor (MIN-WR)

Injury Stashes: None

Bye Week Stashes (None)

There are no teams on bye in Week 12.

Final Thought

The theme here is preparation and patience. This strategy is not for the casual fantasy manager. It’s for those of us in tough leagues who realize even the smallest edge can be the difference between winning and losing.

Not all of these stash players will hit. Realistically, most of them will miss. Even if we only hit on one of these stashes a month, it’s an extra four undrafted players that we paid nothing for, but who added value to our fantasy team.

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