Week 14 Stash Guide

As Week 14 approaches, we need a look at the stash guide! A key aspect of managing our rosters is the ability to remain active and not get complacent. In the past, I have worked on a Game Theory I call “The Revolving Door”. I will combine that knowledge with this article to produce My Week 14 Stash Guide. Check out the full article at www.theleaguewinners.com if you want a full explanation of the theory. For this article, I will summarize it:

“The Revolving Door”

The Revolving Door is simple. Unless you have had extremely good luck in your drafts, you are bound to have two or three players at the bottom of your lineup that you will move on from. Instead of just letting these players take up space at the bottom of your bench, you should be sending out the revolving door in favour of high-upside stashes.

The key to this theory is to break the week of games into slates. Say I have two players on my team that I wish to move on from. Instead of simply dropping them for a player I want, I will go through my flowsheet. First I will drop them for two players I like from the Thursday Night Football game. If those two stashes don’t hit, I will drop them for two players from the 1:00 p.m. games on Sunday. If those players don’t produce results I will then drop them for two players from the 4:00 p.m. games on Sunday. I continue this process for Sunday Night Football as well as Monday Night Football.

Game Theory

So by the end of week one, I will have rotated those two dropped players through an additional eight dart throws. You may be wondering why I would do this. It’s simple. Those players aren’t producing, so I will drop them in hopes that one of the players I stash either breaks out or has an injury in front of him opening him up for an increased role.

Some weeks, this theory produces no usable players, so I continue with it into the following week. In approximately half the weeks, however, I will find a valuable asset. From there I can then choose to keep that player or try and sell high. This strategy frequently keeps me out in front of the waiver wire. It saves me countless FAABs when I already have that week’s hot waiver added to my roster. If I don’t believe in that player, I simply flip him to someone who does. That strategy has no downside. I’m already dropping the two players, so why not take free stabs at a potential league winner? The only thing this strategy requires is some patience and planning by the person who uses it.

So, now that you have an idea of my Revolving Door strategy. Let’s implement it for Week 11 and take a look at some of the players I will look to stash where available.

We are getting to the point in the season where every team’s need varies, so I will be changing the format slightly and will be giving stash options based on several categories of needs.

Thursday Night Football (Patriots v Steelers)

High Upside: Jaylen Warren (PIT-RB), Demario Douglas (NE-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: Ezekiel Elliott (NE-RB)

Handcuffs: Darnell Washington (PIT-TE)

Dart Throws: Kevin Harris (NE-RB), Kayshin Boutte (NE-WR), Tyquan Thornton (NE-WR), Calvin Austin (PIT-WR)

Injury Stashes: None

Sunday 1:00 Slate

This slate of games is always the most difficult because most of the teams will play in it. Here I prefer to target handcuff running backs behind injury-prone starters and upside young receivers who could be primed for a breakout. It won’t hold in week one, but young players coming off of a bye are the best targets here.

Running Backs

High Upside: Tyler Allgeier (ATL-RB), Keaton Mitchell (BAL-RB), Zach Moss (IND-RB)

Boring Fill-Ins: Chuba Hubbard (CAR-RB), D’Onta Foreman (CHI-RB), Royce Freeman (DEN-RB)

Handcuffs: Justice Hill (BAL-RB), Kareem Hunt (CLE-RB), Trey Sermon (IND-RB), D’Ernest Johnson (JAC), Sean Tucker (TB-RB)

Dart Throws: Roschon Johnson (CHI-RB), Trayveon Williams (CIN-RB), Chase Brown (CIN-RB), Chris Evans (CIN-RB), Pierre Strong (CLE-RB), Craig Reynolds (DET-RB), Kendre Miller (NO-RB), Israel Abanikanda (NYJ-RB)

Injury Stashes: None

Wide Receivers

High Upside: Jonathan Mingo (CAR-WR), Jameson Williams (DET-WR), Noah Brown (HOU-WR), Josh Downs (IND-WR), Alec Pierce (IND-WR), AT Perry (NO-WR), Trey Palmers (TB-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: Odell Beckham Jr (BAL-WR), Rashod Bateman (BAL-WR), Zay Jones (JAC-WR)

Handcuffs: Cedric Tillman (CLE-WR)

Dart Throws: Darnell Mooney (CHI-WR), Tyler Scott (CHI-WR), Trenton Irwin (CIN-WR), Tutu Atwell (LAR-WR), Xavie Gipson (NYJ-WR)

Injury Stashes: None

Tight Ends

High Upside: Isaiah Likely (BAL-TE), Taysom Hill (NO-TE), Cade Otton (TB-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Jonnu Smith (ATL-TE), Hayden Hurst (CAR-TE), Tyler Higbee (LAR-TE), Tyler Conklin (NYJ-TE)

Handcuffs: Luke Farrell (JAC-TE), Brevin Jordan (HOU-TE)

Dart Throws: Tanner Hudson (CIN-TE), Foster Moreau (NO-TE), Kylen Granson (IND-TE)

Injury Stashes: None

Sunday 4:00 Slate

The 4:00 slate of games is not as big as the 1:00 slate, but it’s still a hefty one to sort through. The same principles apply as above, handcuff running backs and young receivers.

Running Backs

High Upside: Jaleel McLaughlin (DEN-RB), Ty Chandler (MIN-RB), Zach Charbonnet (SEA-RB)

Boring Fill-Ins: Latavius Murray (BUF-RB), Samaje Perine (DEN-RB)

Handcuffs: Zamir White (LV-RB), Elijah Mitchell (SF-RB)

Dart Throws: Leonard Fournette (BUF-RB), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC-RB), Jerick McKinnon (KC-RB), Joshua Kelley (LAC-RB)

Injury Stashes: None

Wide Receivers

High Upside: Khalil Shakir (BUF-WR), Marvin Mims (DEN-WR), Quentin Johnston (LAC-WR), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: Justin Watson (KC-WR), Jalen Guyton (LAC-WR), KJ Osborn (MIN-WR), Jauan Jennings (SF-WR)

Handcuffs: None

Dart Throws: Kadarius Toney (KC-WR), Skyy Moore (KC-WR), Tre Tucker (LV-WR)

Injury Stashes: Joshua Palmer (LAC-WR)

Tight Ends

High Upside: Dalton Kincaid (BUF-TE), Michael Mayer (LV-TE), Donald Parham (LAC-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Adam Trautman (DEN-TE), Noah Fant (SEA-TE)

Handcuffs: Noah Gray (KC-TE)

Dart Throws: Stone Smarrt (LAC-TE)

Injury Stashes: Greg Dulcich (DEN-TE)

Sunday Night Football (Eagles v Cowboys)

High Upside: Jake Ferguson (DAL-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Kenneth Gainwell (PHI-RB), Brandin Cooks

Handcuffs: Rico Dowdle (DAL-RB)

Dart Throws: Deuce Vaughn (DAL-RB), Michael Gallup (DAL-RB), Jalen Tolbert (DAL-WR), Luke Schoonmaker (DAL-TE)

Injury Stashes: Dallas Goedert (PHI-TE)

Monday Night Football (Packers v Giants)

High Upside: Jayden Reed (GB-WR), WanDale Robinson (NYG-WR), Jalin Hyatt (NYG-WR)

Boring Fill-Ins: AJ Dillon (GB-RB), Matt Breida (NYG-RB)

Handcuffs: Tucker Kraft (GB-TE), Daniel Bellinger (NYG-TE)

Dart Throws: None

Injury Stashes: Luke Musgrave (GB-TE), Darren Waller (NYG-TE)

Monday Night Football (Titans v Dolphins)

High Upside: Tyjae Spears (TEN-RB), Chigoziem Okonkwo (TEN-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Braxton Berrios (MIA-WR)

Handcuffs: Jeff Wilson (MIA-RB)

Dart Throws: Durham Smythe (MIA-TE)

Injury Stashes: Treylon Burks (TEN-WR)

Bye Week Stashes (Cardinals, Commanders)

High Upside: Michael Carter (ARI-RB), Michael Wilson (ARI-WR), Trey McBride (ARI-TE)

Boring Fill-Ins: Curtis Samuel (WSH-WR), Logan Thomas (WSH-TE)

Handcuffs: Antonio Gibson (WSH-RB)

Dart Throws: None

Injury Stashes: None

Final Thought

The theme here is preparation and patience. This strategy is not for the casual fantasy manager. It’s for those of us in tough leagues who realize even the smallest edge can be the difference between winning and losing.

Not all of these stash players will hit. Realistically, most of them will miss. Even if we only hit on one of these stashes a month, it’s an extra four undrafted players that we paid nothing for, but who added value to our fantasy team.

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